Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 1).

Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 1).

by Alfred Rappaport.

It’s become fashionable to blame the pursuit of shareholder value for the ills besetting corporate America: managers and investors obsessed with next quarter’s results, failure to invest in long-term growth, and even the accounting scandals that have grabbed headlines. When executives destroy the value they are supposed to be creating, they almost always claim that stock market pressure made them do it.

The reality is that the shareholder value principle has not failed management; rather, it is management that has betrayed the principle. In the 1990s, for example, many companies introduced stock options as a major component of executive compensation. The idea was to align the interests of management with those of shareholders. But the generous distribution of options largely failed to motivate value-friendly behavior because their design almost guaranteed that they would produce the opposite result. To start with, relatively short vesting periods, combined with a belief that short-term earnings fuel stock prices, encouraged executives to manage earnings, exercise their options early, and cash out opportunistically. The common practice of accelerating the vesting date for a CEO’s options at retirement added yet another incentive to focus on short-term performance.

Of course, these shortcomings were obscured during much of that decade, and corporate governance took a backseat as investors watched stock prices rise at a double-digit clip. The climate changed dramatically in the new millennium, however, as accounting scandals and a steep stock market decline triggered a rash of corporate collapses. The ensuing erosion of public trust prompted a swift regulatory response—most notably, the 2002 passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX), which requires companies to institute elaborate internal controls and makes corporate executives directly accountable for the accuracy of financial statements. Nonetheless, despite SOX and other measures, the focus on short-term performance persists.

In their defense, some executives contend that they have no choice but to adopt a short-term orientation, given that the average holding period for stocks in professionally managed funds has dropped from about seven years in the 1960s to less than one year today. Why consider the interests of long-term shareholders when there are none? This reasoning is deeply flawed. What matters is not investor holding periods but rather the market’s valuation horizon—the number of years of expected cash flows required to justify the stock price. While investors may focus unduly on near-term goals and hold shares for a relatively short time, stock prices reflect the market’s long view. Studies suggest that it takes more than ten years of value-creating cash flows to justify the stock prices of most companies. Management’s responsibility, therefore, is to deliver those flows—that is, to pursue long-term value maximization regardless of the mix of high- and low-turnover shareholders. And no one could reasonably argue that an absence of long-term shareholders gives management the license to maximize short-term performance and risk endangering the company’s future. The competitive landscape, not the shareholder list, should shape business strategies.

The competitive landscape, not the shareholder list, should shape business strategies.

What do companies have to do if they are to be serious about creating value? In this article, I draw on my research and several decades of consulting experience to set out ten basic governance principles for value creation that collectively will help any company with a sound, well-executed business model to better realize its potential for creating shareholder value. Though the principles will not surprise readers, applying some of them calls for practices that run deeply counter to prevailing norms. I should point out that no company—with the possible exception of Berkshire Hathaway—gets anywhere near to implementing all these principles. That’s a pity for investors because, as CEO Warren Buffett’s fellow shareholders have found, there’s a lot to be gained from owning shares in what I call a level 10 company—one that applies all ten principles. (For more on Berkshire Hathaway’s application of the ten principles, please read my colleague Michael Mauboussin’s analysis in the sidebar “Approaching Level 10: The Story of Berkshire Hathaway.”).

Principle 1.

Do not manage earnings or provide earnings guidance.
Companies that fail to embrace this first principle of shareholder value will almost certainly be unable to follow the rest. Unfortunately, that rules out most corporations because virtually all public companies play the earnings expectations game. A 2006 National Investor Relations Institute study found that 66% of 654 surveyed companies provide regular profit guidance to Wall Street analysts. A 2005 survey of 401 financial executives by Duke University’s John Graham and Campbell R. Harvey, and University of Washington’s Shivaram Rajgopal, reveals that companies manage earnings with more than just accounting gimmicks: A startling 80% of respondents said they would decrease value-creating spending on research and development, advertising, maintenance, and hiring in order to meet earnings benchmarks. More than half the executives would delay a new project even if it entailed sacrificing value.

What’s so bad about focusing on earnings? First, the accountant’s bottom line approximates neither a company’s value nor its change in value over the reporting period. Second, organizations compromise value when they invest at rates below the cost of capital (overinvestment) or forgo investment in value-creating opportunities (underinvestment) in an attempt to boost short-term earnings. Third, the practice of reporting rosy earnings via value-destroying operating decisions or by stretching permissible accounting to the limit eventually catches up with companies. Those that can no longer meet investor expectations end up destroying a substantial portion, if not all, of their market value. WorldCom, Enron, and Nortel Networks are notable examples.

Principle 2.

Make strategic decisions that maximize expected value, even at the expense of lowering near-term earnings.
Companies that manage earnings are almost bound to break this second cardinal principle. Indeed, most companies evaluate and compare strategic decisions in terms of the estimated impact on reported earnings when they should be measuring against the expected incremental value of future cash flows instead. Expected value is the weighted average value for a range of plausible scenarios. (To calculate it, multiply the value added for each scenario by the probability that that scenario will materialize, then sum up the results.) A sound strategic analysis by a company’s operating units should produce informed responses to three questions: First, how do alternative strategies affect value? Second, which strategy is most likely to create the greatest value? Third, for the selected strategy, how sensitive is the value of the most likely scenario to potential shifts in competitive dynamics and assumptions about technology life cycles, the regulatory environment, and other relevant variables?

At the corporate level, executives must also address three questions: Do any of the operating units have sufficient value-creation potential to warrant additional capital? Which units have limited potential and therefore should be candidates for restructuring or divestiture? And what mix of investments in operating units is likely to produce the most overall value?

Principle 3.

Make acquisitions that maximize expected value, even at the expense of lowering near-term earnings.
Companies typically create most of their value through day-to-day operations, but a major acquisition can create or destroy value faster than any other corporate activity. With record levels of cash and relatively low debt levels, companies increasingly use mergers and acquisitions to improve their competitive positions: M&A announcements worldwide exceeded $2.7 trillion in 2005.

Companies (even those that follow Principle 2 in other respects) and their investment bankers usually consider price/earnings multiples for comparable acquisitions and the immediate impact of earnings per share (EPS) to assess the attractiveness of a deal. They view EPS accretion as good news and its dilution as bad news. When it comes to exchange-of-shares mergers, a narrow focus on EPS poses an additional problem on top of the normal shortcomings of earnings. Whenever the acquiring company’s price/earnings multiple is greater than the selling company’s multiple, EPS rises. The inverse is also true. If the acquiring company’s multiple is lower than the selling company’s multiple, earnings per share decline. In neither case does EPS tell us anything about the deal’s long-term potential to add value.

Sound decisions about M&A deals are based on their prospects for creating value, not on their immediate EPS impact, and this is the foundation for the third principle of value creation. Management needs to identify clearly where, when, and how it can accomplish real performance gains by estimating the present value of the resulting incremental cash flows and then subtracting the acquisition premium.

Value-oriented managements and boards also carefully evaluate the risk that anticipated synergies may not materialize. They recognize the challenge of postmerger integration and the likelihood that competitors will not stand idly by while the acquiring company attempts to generate synergies at their expense. If it is financially feasible, acquiring companies confident of achieving synergies greater than the premium will pay cash so that their shareholders will not have to give up any anticipated merger gains to the selling companies’ shareholders. If management is uncertain whether the deal will generate synergies, it can hedge its bets by offering stock. This reduces potential losses for the acquiring company’s shareholders by diluting their ownership interest in the postmerger company.

to be continued part 2.

July 25, 2020

Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 3).

Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 3).

by Alfred Rappaport.

Principle 8.

Reward middle managers and frontline employees for delivering superior performance on the key value drivers that they influence directly.
Although sales growth, operating margins, and capital expenditures are useful financial indicators for tracking operating-unit SVA, they are too broad to provide much day-to-day guidance for middle managers and frontline employees, who need to know what specific actions they should take to increase SVA. For more specific measures, companies can develop leading indicators of value, which are quantifiable, easily communicated current accomplishments that frontline employees can influence directly and that significantly affect the long-term value of the business in a positive way. Examples might include time to market for new product launches, employee turnover rate, customer retention rate, and the timely opening of new stores or manufacturing facilities.

My own experience suggests that most businesses can focus on three to five leading indicators and capture an important part of their long-term value-creation potential. The process of identifying leading indicators can be challenging, but improving leading-indicator performance is the foundation for achieving superior SVA, which in turn serves to increase long-term shareholder returns.

Principle 9.

Require senior executives to bear the risks of ownership just as shareholders do.
For the most part, option grants have not successfully aligned the long-term interests of senior executives and shareholders because the former routinely cash out vested options. The ability to sell shares early may in fact motivate them to focus on near-term earnings results rather than on long-term value in order to boost the current stock price.

To better align these interests, many companies have adopted stock ownership guidelines for senior management. Minimum ownership is usually expressed as a multiple of base salary, which is then converted to a specified number of shares. For example, eBay’s guidelines require the CEO to own stock in the company equivalent to five times annual base salary. For other executives, the corresponding number is three times salary. Top managers are further required to retain a percentage of shares resulting from the exercise of stock options until they amass the stipulated number of shares.
But in most cases, stock ownership plans fail to expose executives to the same levels of risk that shareholders bear. One reason is that some companies forgive stock purchase loans when shares underperform, claiming that the arrangement no longer provides an incentive for top management. Such companies, just as those that reprice options, risk institutionalizing a pay delivery system that subverts the spirit and objectives of the incentive compensation program. Another reason is that outright grants of restricted stock, which are essentially options with an exercise price of $0, typically count as shares toward satisfaction of minimum ownership levels. Stock grants motivate key executives to stay with the company until the restrictions lapse, typically within three or four years, and they can cash in their shares. These grants create a strong incentive for CEOs and other top managers to play it safe, protect existing value, and avoid getting fired. Not surprisingly, restricted stock plans are commonly referred to as “pay for pulse,” rather than pay for performance.

In an effort to deflect the criticism that restricted stock plans are a giveaway, many companies offer performance shares that require not only that the executive remain on the payroll but also that the company achieve predetermined performance goals tied to EPS growth, revenue targets, or return-on-capital-employed thresholds. While performance shares do demand performance, it’s generally not the right kind of performance for delivering long-term value because the metrics are usually not closely linked to value.

Companies need to balance the benefits of requiring senior executives to hold continuing ownership stakes and the resulting restrictions on their liquidity and diversification.

Companies seeking to better align the interests of executives and shareholders need to find a proper balance between the benefits of requiring senior executives to have meaningful and continuing ownership stakes and the resulting restrictions on their liquidity and diversification. Without equity-based incentives, executives may become excessively risk averse to avoid failure and possible dismissal. If they own too much equity, however, they may also eschew risk to preserve the value of their largely undiversified portfolios. Extending the period before executives can unload shares from the exercise of options and not counting restricted stock grants as shares toward minimum ownership levels would certainly help equalize executives’ and shareholders’ risks.

Principle 10.

Provide investors with value-relevant information.
The final principle governs investor communications, such as a company’s financial reports. Better disclosure not only offers an antidote to short-term earnings obsession but also serves to lessen investor uncertainty and so potentially reduce the cost of capital and increase the share price.

One way to do this, as described in my article “The Economics of Short-Term Performance Obsession” in the May–June 2005 issue of Financial Analysts Journal, is to prepare a corporate performance statement. (See the exhibit “The Corporate Performance Statement” for a template.) This statement:

separates out cash flows and accruals, providing a historical baseline for estimating a company’s cash flow prospects and enabling analysts to evaluate how reasonable accrual estimates are;
classifies accruals with long cash-conversion cycles into medium and high levels of uncertainty;
provides a range and the most likely estimate for each accrual rather than traditional single-point estimates that ignore the wide variability of possible outcomes;
excludes arbitrary, value-irrelevant accruals, such as depreciation and amortization; and
details assumptions and risks for each line item while presenting key performance indicators that drive the company’s value.

Could such specific disclosure prove too costly? The reality is that executives in well-managed companies already use the type of information contained in a corporate performance statement. Indeed, the absence of such information should cause shareholders to question whether management has a comprehensive grasp of the business and whether the board is properly exercising its oversight responsibility. In the present unforgiving climate for accounting shenanigans, value-driven companies have an unprecedented opportunity to create value simply by improving the form and content of corporate reports.

The Rewards—and the Risks.
The crucial question, of course, is whether following these ten principles serves the long-term interests of shareholders. For most companies, the answer is a resounding yes. Just eliminating the practice of delaying or forgoing value-creating investments to meet quarterly earnings targets can make a significant difference. Further, exiting the earnings-management game of accelerating revenues into the current period and deferring expenses to future periods reduces the risk that, over time, a company will be unable to meet market expectations and trigger a meltdown in its stock. But the real payoff comes in the difference that a true shareholder-value orientation makes to a company’s long-term growth strategy.

For most organizations, value-creating growth is the strategic challenge, and to succeed, companies must be good at developing new, potentially disruptive businesses. Here’s why. The bulk of the typical company’s share price reflects expectations for the growth of current businesses. If companies meet those expectations, shareholders will earn only a normal return. But to deliver superior long-term returns—that is, to grow the share price faster than competitors’ share prices—management must either repeatedly exceed market expectations for its current businesses or develop new value-creating businesses. It’s almost impossible to repeatedly beat expectations for current businesses, because if you do, investors simply raise the bar. So the only reasonable way to deliver superior long-term returns is to focus on new business opportunities. (Of course, if a company’s stock price already reflects expectations with regard to new businesses—which it may do if management has a track record of delivering such value-creating growth—then the task of generating superior returns becomes daunting; it’s all managers can do to meet the expectations that exist.)

Value-creating growth is the strategic challenge, and to succeed, companies must be good at developing new, potentially disruptive businesses.

Companies focused on short-term performance measures are doomed to fail in delivering on a value-creating growth strategy because they are forced to concentrate on existing businesses rather than on developing new ones for the longer term. When managers spend too much time on core businesses, they end up with no new opportunities in the pipeline. And when they get into trouble—as they inevitably do—they have little choice but to try to pull a rabbit out of the hat. The dynamic of this failure has been very accurately described by Clay Christensen and Michael Raynor in their book The Innovator’s Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth (Harvard Business School Press, 2003). With a little adaptation, it plays out like this:

Despite a slowdown in growth and margin erosion in the company’s maturing core business, management continues to focus on developing it at the expense of launching new growth businesses.
Eventually, investments in the core can no longer produce the growth that investors expect, and the stock price takes a hit.
To revitalize the stock price, management announces a targeted growth rate that is well beyond what the core can deliver, thus introducing a larger growth gap.
Confronted with this gap, the company limits funding to projects that promise very large, very fast growth. Accordingly, the company refuses to fund new growth businesses that could ultimately fuel the company’s expansion but couldn’t get big enough fast enough.
Managers then respond with overly optimistic projections to gain funding for initiatives in large existing markets that are potentially capable of generating sufficient revenue quickly enough to satisfy investor expectations.
To meet the planned timetable for rollout, the company puts a sizable cost structure in place before realizing any revenues.
As revenue increases fall short and losses persist, the market again hammers the stock price and a new CEO is brought in to shore it up.
Seeing that the new growth business pipeline is virtually empty, the incoming CEO tries to quickly stem losses by approving only expenditures that bolster the mature core.
The company has now come full circle and has lost substantial shareholder value.
Companies that take shareholder value seriously avoid this self-reinforcing pattern of behavior. Because they do not dwell on the market’s near-term expectations, they don’t wait for the core to deteriorate before they invest in new growth opportunities. They are, therefore, more likely to become first movers in a market and erect formidable barriers to entry through scale or learning economies, positive network effects, or reputational advantages. Their management teams are forward-looking and sensitive to strategic opportunities. Over time, they get better than their competitors at seizing opportunities to achieve competitive advantage.
Although applying the ten principles will improve long-term prospects for many companies, a few will still experience problems if investors remain fixated on near-term earnings, because in certain situations a weak stock price can actually affect operating performance. The risk is particularly acute for companies such as high-tech start-ups, which depend heavily on a healthy stock price to finance growth and send positive signals to employees, customers, and suppliers. When share prices are depressed, selling new shares either prohibitively dilutes current shareholders’ stakes or, in some cases, makes the company unattractive to prospective investors. As a consequence, management may have to defer or scrap its value-creating growth plans. Then, as investors become aware of the situation, the stock price continues to slide, possibly leading to a takeover at a fire-sale price or to bankruptcy.

Severely capital-constrained companies can also be vulnerable, especially if labor markets are tight, customers are few, or suppliers are particularly powerful. A low share price means that these organizations cannot offer credible prospects of large stock-option or restricted-stock gains, which makes it difficult to attract and retain the talent whose knowledge, ideas, and skills have increasingly become a dominant source of value. From the perspective of customers, a low valuation raises doubts about the company’s competitive and financial strength as well as its ability to continue producing high-quality, leading-edge products and reliable postsale support. Suppliers and distributors may also react by offering less favorable contractual terms, or, if they sense an unacceptable probability of financial distress, they may simply refuse to do business with the company. In all cases, the company’s woes are compounded when lenders consider the performance risks arising from a weak stock price and demand higher interest rates and more restrictive loan terms.

Clearly, if a company is vulnerable in these respects, then responsible managers cannot afford to ignore market pressures for short-term performance, and adoption of the ten principles needs to be somewhat tempered. But the reality is that these extreme conditions do not apply to most established, publicly traded companies. Few rely on equity issues to finance growth. Most generate enough cash to pay their top employees well without resorting to equity incentives. Most also have a large universe of customers and suppliers to deal with, and there are plenty of banks after their business.

It’s time, therefore, for boards and CEOs to step up and seize the moment. The sooner you make your firm a level 10 company, the more you and your shareholders stand to gain. And what better moment than now for institutional investors to act on behalf of the shareholders and beneficiaries they represent and insist that long-term shareholder value become the governing principle for all the companies in their portfolios?

July 25, 2020

how to organize your personal year end finances

How to Organize Your Personal Year End Finances.

You should never organize your year-end finances all at once. Rather, you should be engaged in a steady process of organizing and reorganizing your financial documents and information throughout the year. The process you use when organizing at the end of the year will be basically the same process you use monthly or quarterly to evaluate your investments, insurance, and budget. Use the year-end financial organizational process to get the opinion of a financial planner to help you streamline your finances, identify areas of waste, and take corrective actions to save money.

Method 1 Getting Organized.

1. Select your organizational categories. Knowing how to organize your financial documents can be tough. Thinking broadly about the sorts of documents you ought to organize for your year-end finances will help the process move along smoothly. Some documents might need to be copied and placed in multiple locations. For instance, education loan payments might need to be in a “loans” folder and also a “taxes” folder. Depending on what sort of financial documents you have, you may or may not need folders devoted to each of the main financial categories, which include.

Financial management (bank statements and loan records).

Insurance and annuity documents (policies and statements).

Estate documents (wills, trusts, and powers of attorney).

Investments (stocks and bond).

Income tax information (tax returns and documents attesting to charitable giving).

Employment and military records (discharge papers and employee benefits).

Home records (appraisals, renovation receipts).

Medical documents (summaries of recent appointments and any medical bills or payments made).

Legal documents (passports, personal records, and real estate settlements).

2. Use the same organizational system for all your documents. You probably receive and pay some bills through regular mail, and some through digital outlets or automatic account debiting. In this case, it's important to impose a parallel structure on your analog and digital documents alike.

For instance, if you organize your vertical files containing utility bills, credit card bills, and other significant financial documents in order that they were received, you should not organize your digital files into folders containing payments, bills, and receipts according to the company or institution that you made the payments to.

3. Know what to keep. Retain anything tax-related for at least three years. Keep anything that demonstrates a financial loss for seven years. For instance, you ought to keep a bill of sale on a property that sold for less than what you paid for it. You should also retain receipts for transactions paid by credit card until you get the credit card bill that reflects them. Finally, keep all monthly account statements until you get the year-end reconciliation statement.

Conversely, you should know what to get rid of.When new insurance policies arrive, get rid of the old ones.

Err on the side of caution when disposing of financial documents. If you're unsure if you need to keep something, retain it.

For more in-depth guidelines on what you should pitch and keep, consult IRS Publication 17.

4. Use an app or website to help you organize. There are a variety of handy apps to help get your year-end finances organized. For instance, you might check out feedthepig.com, manilla.com, or mint.com.Apps that might help include Mint, Personal Capital, and Spending Tracker.

Method 2 Looking Ahead.

1. Set a budget. Find ways to save next year. Use your year-end financial organization time to identify sources that are draining your money. For instance, if you're paying for cable TV but never watch it, think about cancelling it altogether.

Overall, you should be spending about 35% of your income on home expenses (rent, utilities, and groceries), 15% on transportation expenses (car insurance, train fare, and auto repairs), 25% on entertainment and other miscellaneous expenses, 15% on paying off debt, and putting the final 10% of your income toward savings.

If you live in an expensive area or have a low income, you might need to contribute more money to home expenses and less toward debt or miscellaneous expenditures.

2. Simplify payments and financial data for next year. When you're done organizing your current year's financial data and documentation, look for ways to streamline the process next year. For instance, you can cut back on time spent searching for wayward documents by using automatic bill payments. You might also use debiting by tying regular payments like utilities and credit card charges directly to your bank account.

Cut back on the number of credit cards you use regularly. This will reduce the number of credit card bills you need to juggle. Use the credit card with the lowest interest rate as your day-to-day credit card, and use the other cards once a month in order to prevent their disuse from hurting your credit score.

For the same reason, limit your bank accounts. You should have one checking account and one savings account. If you have multiple checking and savings accounts, close the one with the most fees and least generous terms of service.

Consolidate your retirement accounts and investments, too. If you have several IRAs, transfer all the money into a single IRA. Use one brokerage firm to simplify investments.

3. Keep your finances organized throughout the year. Instead of putting all your receipts, account statements, and other financial documents in a stack and watching them slowly pile up over the course of a year, put them in the appropriate file or folder as you receive them. This will prevent confusion when trying to organize everything at year's end.

Use a three-ring binder with pockets to organize your financial materials in an orderly way. Move non-current financial records to your filing cabinet.

If you feel more comfortable printing out digital documents, print them out and put them in your vertical file or binder.

If you don't print out digital receipts and other documents, ensure that you put them in the appropriate folder according to your predesignated system as you receive them. For instance, when you get your digital W-2, immediately download it and put it with your other tax documents.

If you need to copy certain digital documents to make them accessible in multiple locations, don't be afraid to do so.

Method 3 Evaluating Your Financial Health.

1. Consult a financial planner or accountant. With the help of a certified financial planner or accountant, you'll be able to get your year-end finances under control. They can help you find ways to save when you file taxes in the coming months, and can explain some of the nuances of the tax code. For instance, you might want to ask.

Should I accelerate or defer income?

What losses or gains should I take this year?

Should I convert my traditional IRA to a Roth IRA so that my earnings will grow tax-free?

Are there any charitable donations I should make?

2. Total your year-to-date spending. You should have a column with all the payments, investments, and savings you have at the end of the year. Compare these numbers to their counterparts at the beginning of the year to get an overall sense of your financial health.

Your investment value should be greater at the end of the year than it was at the beginning of the year.

Your savings should be higher at the end of the year than it was at the beginning of the year.

Your spending should be less than the value of your savings.

3. Review your credit reports. Each year, you are entitled to three free credit reports, one each from the three major credit agencies (Experian, Equifax, and TransUnion). These reports will let you know if your credit score is good or if it needs a boost.

The best way to check your credit reports is not to check all three at once, but rather to space them out regularly over time. Ideally, you'd check one every four months.

4. Check your portfolio. Read the latest reports from your stock broker or financial planner to determine the relative health of your investments. If your portfolio is not doing well, think about investing elsewhere. Talk to a certified financial planner or stockbroker for advice about how to develop a robust portfolio.

Method  4 Finding Ways to Save.

1. Analyze your insurance coverage. If you have home, life, auto, or other insurance, contact some agents representing insurers in your area to find out if you have the best coverage you can afford. If you've made improvements to your home over the past year, you may have increased the value of your home, and that value should be reflected in your insurance policy.

Likewise, if you've welcomed a new family member into your family over the past year, you must check with your insurance provider to guarantee that they're covered under your insurance.

2. Review your tax data. Working with a tax professional, find ways to reduce your tax burden before the year is out. Charitable giving is the easiest way to do this. Look for reputable charities whose work you believe in through GuideStar (http://www.guidestar.org), CharityWatch (https://www.charitywatch.org/home) and Charity Navigator (http://www.charitynavigator.org).

You can also make in-kind (material) donations to thrift stores like the Salvation Army in exchange for a tax discount.

You can also qualify for tax deductions based on work-related expenses like travel or items of clothing you bought specifically for work.

3. Update your information where necessary. If you've had a change in your marital status you may need to revise your tax withholding and/or employee health coverage. If you're unsure if you need to update this information, contact a financial planner for assistance.

4. Empty your flexible spending account. A flexible spending account for healthcare should be used to cover outstanding claims from your doctor, dentist, or other health provider. If you have a flexible spending account oriented toward other types of spending like dependent care, employ the account to cover the appropriate expenses before the year is out.

Only $500 of a flexible spending account can carry over into the following year, so it's important to take full advantage of the account before the year ends.

January 22, 2020

How to Organize Your Personal Year End Finances

How to Organize Your Personal Year End Finances.

You should never organize your year-end finances all at once. Rather, you should be engaged in a steady process of organizing and reorganizing your financial documents and information throughout the year. The process you use when organizing at the end of the year will be basically the same process you use monthly or quarterly to evaluate your investments, insurance, and budget. Use the year-end financial organizational process to get the opinion of a financial planner to help you streamline your finances, identify areas of waste, and take corrective actions to save money.

Method 1 Getting Organized.

1. Select your organizational categories. Knowing how to organize your financial documents can be tough. Thinking broadly about the sorts of documents you ought to organize for your year-end finances will help the process move along smoothly. Some documents might need to be copied and placed in multiple locations. For instance, education loan payments might need to be in a “loans” folder and also a “taxes” folder. Depending on what sort of financial documents you have, you may or may not need folders devoted to each of the main financial categories, which include.

Financial management (bank statements and loan records).

Insurance and annuity documents (policies and statements).

Estate documents (wills, trusts, and powers of attorney).

Investments (stocks and bond).

Income tax information (tax returns and documents attesting to charitable giving).

Employment and military records (discharge papers and employee benefits).

Home records (appraisals, renovation receipts).

Medical documents (summaries of recent appointments and any medical bills or payments made).

Legal documents (passports, personal records, and real estate settlements).

2. Use the same organizational system for all your documents. You probably receive and pay some bills through regular mail, and some through digital outlets or automatic account debiting. In this case, it's important to impose a parallel structure on your analog and digital documents alike.

For instance, if you organize your vertical files containing utility bills, credit card bills, and other significant financial documents in order that they were received, you should not organize your digital files into folders containing payments, bills, and receipts according to the company or institution that you made the payments to.

3. Know what to keep. Retain anything tax-related for at least three years. Keep anything that demonstrates a financial loss for seven years. For instance, you ought to keep a bill of sale on a property that sold for less than what you paid for it. You should also retain receipts for transactions paid by credit card until you get the credit card bill that reflects them. Finally, keep all monthly account statements until you get the year-end reconciliation statement.

Conversely, you should know what to get rid of.When new insurance policies arrive, get rid of the old ones.

Err on the side of caution when disposing of financial documents. If you're unsure if you need to keep something, retain it.

For more in-depth guidelines on what you should pitch and keep, consult IRS Publication 17.

4. Use an app or website to help you organize. There are a variety of handy apps to help get your year-end finances organized. For instance, you might check out feedthepig.com, manilla.com, or mint.com.Apps that might help include Mint, Personal Capital, and Spending Tracker.

Method 2 Looking Ahead.

1. Set a budget. Find ways to save next year. Use your year-end financial organization time to identify sources that are draining your money. For instance, if you're paying for cable TV but never watch it, think about cancelling it altogether.

Overall, you should be spending about 35% of your income on home expenses (rent, utilities, and groceries), 15% on transportation expenses (car insurance, train fare, and auto repairs), 25% on entertainment and other miscellaneous expenses, 15% on paying off debt, and putting the final 10% of your income toward savings.

If you live in an expensive area or have a low income, you might need to contribute more money to home expenses and less toward debt or miscellaneous expenditures.

2. Simplify payments and financial data for next year. When you're done organizing your current year's financial data and documentation, look for ways to streamline the process next year. For instance, you can cut back on time spent searching for wayward documents by using automatic bill payments. You might also use debiting by tying regular payments like utilities and credit card charges directly to your bank account.

Cut back on the number of credit cards you use regularly. This will reduce the number of credit card bills you need to juggle. Use the credit card with the lowest interest rate as your day-to-day credit card, and use the other cards once a month in order to prevent their disuse from hurting your credit score.

For the same reason, limit your bank accounts. You should have one checking account and one savings account. If you have multiple checking and savings accounts, close the one with the most fees and least generous terms of service.

Consolidate your retirement accounts and investments, too. If you have several IRAs, transfer all the money into a single IRA. Use one brokerage firm to simplify investments.

3. Keep your finances organized throughout the year. Instead of putting all your receipts, account statements, and other financial documents in a stack and watching them slowly pile up over the course of a year, put them in the appropriate file or folder as you receive them. This will prevent confusion when trying to organize everything at year's end.

Use a three-ring binder with pockets to organize your financial materials in an orderly way. Move non-current financial records to your filing cabinet.

If you feel more comfortable printing out digital documents, print them out and put them in your vertical file or binder.

If you don't print out digital receipts and other documents, ensure that you put them in the appropriate folder according to your predesignated system as you receive them. For instance, when you get your digital W-2, immediately download it and put it with your other tax documents.

If you need to copy certain digital documents to make them accessible in multiple locations, don't be afraid to do so.

Method 3 Evaluating Your Financial Health.

1. Consult a financial planner or accountant. With the help of a certified financial planner or accountant, you'll be able to get your year-end finances under control. They can help you find ways to save when you file taxes in the coming months, and can explain some of the nuances of the tax code. For instance, you might want to ask.

Should I accelerate or defer income?

What losses or gains should I take this year?

Should I convert my traditional IRA to a Roth IRA so that my earnings will grow tax-free?

Are there any charitable donations I should make?

2. Total your year-to-date spending. You should have a column with all the payments, investments, and savings you have at the end of the year. Compare these numbers to their counterparts at the beginning of the year to get an overall sense of your financial health.

Your investment value should be greater at the end of the year than it was at the beginning of the year.

Your savings should be higher at the end of the year than it was at the beginning of the year.

Your spending should be less than the value of your savings.

3. Review your credit reports. Each year, you are entitled to three free credit reports, one each from the three major credit agencies (Experian, Equifax, and TransUnion). These reports will let you know if your credit score is good or if it needs a boost.

The best way to check your credit reports is not to check all three at once, but rather to space them out regularly over time. Ideally, you'd check one every four months.

4. Check your portfolio. Read the latest reports from your stock broker or financial planner to determine the relative health of your investments. If your portfolio is not doing well, think about investing elsewhere. Talk to a certified financial planner or stockbroker for advice about how to develop a robust portfolio.

Method  4 Finding Ways to Save.

1. Analyze your insurance coverage. If you have home, life, auto, or other insurance, contact some agents representing insurers in your area to find out if you have the best coverage you can afford. If you've made improvements to your home over the past year, you may have increased the value of your home, and that value should be reflected in your insurance policy.

Likewise, if you've welcomed a new family member into your family over the past year, you must check with your insurance provider to guarantee that they're covered under your insurance.

2. Review your tax data. Working with a tax professional, find ways to reduce your tax burden before the year is out. Charitable giving is the easiest way to do this. Look for reputable charities whose work you believe in through GuideStar (http://www.guidestar.org), CharityWatch (https://www.charitywatch.org/home) and Charity Navigator (http://www.charitynavigator.org).

You can also make in-kind (material) donations to thrift stores like the Salvation Army in exchange for a tax discount.

You can also qualify for tax deductions based on work-related expenses like travel or items of clothing you bought specifically for work.

3. Update your information where necessary. If you've had a change in your marital status you may need to revise your tax withholding and/or employee health coverage. If you're unsure if you need to update this information, contact a financial planner for assistance.

4. Empty your flexible spending account. A flexible spending account for healthcare should be used to cover outstanding claims from your doctor, dentist, or other health provider. If you have a flexible spending account oriented toward other types of spending like dependent care, employ the account to cover the appropriate expenses before the year is out.

Only $500 of a flexible spending account can carry over into the following year, so it's important to take full advantage of the account before the year ends.

January 22, 2020

How to Build a Stock Portfolio

How to Build a Stock Portfolio.

The stock market and its potential for risk intimidates many people. Nonetheless, a well-built stock portfolio is likely to outperform other investments over time. It is possible to build a stock portfolio alone, but a qualified financial planner can help. Knowing your goals and your willingness to take risks in advance, as well as understanding the nature of the market, can help you build a successful portfolio.

Part 1 Designing Your Portfolio.
1. Know what you're willing to invest. As you invest, you'll need to balance your potential risks against your potential rewards. A portfolio's assets are typically determined by the investor's goals, willingness to take risks, and the length of time the investor intends to hold his portfolio. Some of the most important factors to consider in making these decisions are:
The investor's age.
How much time the investor is willing to spend allowing his investments to grow.
Amount of capital the investor is willing to invest.
Projected capital needs for the future.
Other resources investor may have.
2. Decide what kind of investor you'll be. Portfolios usually fall somewhere in the spectrum between aggressive, or high-risk portfolios, and conservative, or low-risk portfolios. Conservative investors simply try to protect and maintain the value of a portfolio, while aggressive investors tend to take risks with the expectation that some of those risks will pay off. There are various online risk assessment tools you can utilize to help assess your risk tolerance.
Understand that your financial goals may change over time, and adjust your portfolio accordingly. Generally, the younger you are, the more risk you can afford or are willing to take. You may be better served with a growth-oriented portfolio. The older you become, the more you'll think about retirement income, and may be better served with an income-oriented portfolio.
Even during retirement, many still need some portion of their portfolio for growth, as many people are living 20, 30 or more years beyond their retirement date.
3. Divide your capital. Once you've decided what kind of investor you'd like to be and what type of portfolio you want to build, you'll need to determine how you intend to allocate (spread around) your capital. Most investors who are new to the market don't know how to pick stocks. Some important factors include:
Determining which sector(s) to invest in. A sector is the category a given industry is placed in.[8] Examples include telecommunications, financial, information technology, transportation and utilities.
Knowing the market capitalization (aka market cap), which is determined by multiplying a given company's outstanding shares by the current price of one share on the market (large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, etc.).
It is important to diversify holdings across a variety of sectors and market capitalization to lower a portfolio's overall risk.

Part 2 Making Investments.
1. Understand the different kinds of stocks. Stocks represent an ownership stake in the company that issues them. The money generated from the sale of stock is used by the company for its capital projects, and the profits generated by the company's operation may be returned to investors in the form of dividends. Stocks come in two varieties: common and preferred. Preferred stocks are so called because holders of these stocks are paid dividends before owners of common stocks. Most stocks, however, are common stocks, which can be subdivided into the categories below:
Growth stocks are those projected to increase in value faster than the rest of the market, based on their prior performance record. They may entail more risk over time but offer greater potential rewards in the end.
Income stocks are those that do not fluctuate much but have a history of paying out better dividends than other stocks. This category can include both common and preferred stocks.
Value stocks are those that are "undervalued" by the market and can be purchased at a price lower than the underlying worth of the company would suggest. The theory is that when the market "comes to its senses," the owner of such a stock would stand to make a lot of money.
Blue-chip stocks are those that have performed well for a long enough period of time that they are considered fairly stable investments. They may not grow as rapidly as growth stocks or pay as well as income stocks, but they can be depended upon for steady growth or steady income. They are not, however, immune from the fortunes of the market.
Defensive stocks are shares in companies whose products and services people buy, no matter what the economy is doing. They include the stocks of food and beverage companies, pharmaceutical companies and utilities (among others).
Cyclical stocks, in contrast, rise and fall with the economy. They include stocks in such industries as airlines, chemicals, home building and steel manufacturers.
Speculative stocks include the offerings of young companies with new technologies and older companies with new executive talent. They draw investors looking for something new or a way to beat the market. The performance of these stocks is especially unpredictable, and they are sometimes considered to be a high-risk investment.
2. Analyze stock fundamentals. Fundamentals is the term given to the pool of qualitative and quantitative data that are used to determine whether or not a stock is a worthwhile investment in a long-term analysis of the market. Analyzing a company's fundamentals is usually the first step in determining whether or not an investor will buy shares in that company. It is imperative to analyze fundamentals in order to arrive at a company's intrinsic value - that is, the company's actual value as based on perception of all the tangible and intangible aspects of the business, beyond the current market value.
In analyzing the fundamentals of a company, the investor is trying to determine the future value of a company, with all of its projected profits and losses factored in.
3. Analyze qualitative factors. Qualitative factors, such as the expertise and experience of a company's management, various courses of industry cycles, the strength of a company's research and development incentives, and a company's relationship with its workers, are important to take into account when deciding whether or not to invest in a company's stock. It's also important to understand how the company generates its profits and what that company's business model look like in order to have a broad spectrum of qualitative information about that company's stock options.
Try researching companies online before you invest. You should be able to find information about the company's managers, CEO, and board of directors.
4. Look at the price-to-earnings ratio. The P/E ratio can be figured as either the stock's current price against its earnings per share for the last 12 months ("trailing P/E") or its projected earnings for the next 12 months ("anticipated P/E"). A stock selling for $10 per share that earns 10 cents per share has a P/E ratio of 10 divided by 0.1 or 100; a stock selling for $50 per share that earns $2 per share has a P/E ratio of 50 divided by 2 or 25. You want to buy stock with a relatively low P/E ratio.
When looking at P/E ratio, figure the ratio for the stock for several years and compare it to the P/E ratio for other companies in the same industry as well as for indexes representing the entire market, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the Standard and Poor's (S&P) 500.
Comparing the P/E of a stock in one sector to that of a stock in another sector is however, not informative since P/E's vary widely from industry to industry.
5. Look at the return on equity. Also called return on book value, this figure is the company's income after taxes as a percentage of its total book value. It represents how well shareholders are profiting from the company's success. As with P/E ratio, you need to look at several years' worth of returns on equity to get an accurate picture.
6. Look at total return. Total return includes earnings from dividends as well as changes in the value of the stock. This provides a means of comparing the stock with other types of investments.
7. Try investing in companies trading below their current worth. While a broad spectrum of stock investments is important, analysts often recommend buying stock in companies that are trading for lower than they are worth. This sort of value investing does not, however, mean buying "junk" stocks, or stocks that are steadily declining. Value investments are determined by comparing intrinsic market value against the company's current stock share price, without looking at the short-term market fluctuations.
8. Try investing in growth stocks. Growth stocks are investments in companies that exhibit or are predicted to grow significantly faster than other stocks in the market. This involves analyzing a given company's present performance against its past performance amid the industry's ever-fluctuating climate.

Part 3 Maintaining Your Portfolio.
1. Avoid dipping into investments. Once you've invested capital in a stock, it's important to let the stock grow for at least a year without selling your shares. Consider for all intents and purposes that this money cannot be withdrawn and spent elsewhere.
As part of investing for the long term, determine the amount of money you can afford to commit to the stock market for five years or longer, and set that aside for investing. Money you'll need in a shorter period of time should be invested in shorter-term investments such as money-market accounts, CDs or U.S. Treasury bonds, bills or notes.
2. Diversify your portfolio. No matter how well a stock might be doing at the moment, the price and value of stocks are bound to fluctuate. Diversifying your investment portfolio can help you avoid this pitfall by spreading around your money to a number of stocks.
A well-diversified portfolio is important because in the event that one or more sectors of the economy start to decline, it will remain strong over time and reduce the likelihood of taking a significant hit as the market fluctuates.
Don't just diversify across the spectrum of asset classes. Some experts recommend you should also diversify your stock picks within each asset class represented in your portfolio.
3. Review your portfolio (but not too often). Anticipate that the market will fluctuate. If you check your stocks every day, you might end up feeling anxious over the value of your investments as things go up or down. But by the same token, you should check on your investments periodically.
Checking your portfolio at least once or twice a year is a good idea but research has shown that making rebalancing changes (selling the gains from those holdings which have been profitable and buying shares of those which have lost value) more than twice per year does not offer any benefit.
Some experts recommend checking on the quarterly earnings reports of a given company to see if your predictions for that company are holding true. Make changes as necessary, but don't jump ship every time a share reports a minor decrease in value.
Also important to keep in mind is tax implications of selling: if this is an account into which you've invested after-tax dollars (non-IRA or similar type of brokerage account), then try not to sell anything at a gain for at least one year in order to receive long-term capital gains rather than ordinary income tax treatment on your profits. For most people, the capital gains rate is more favorable than their income tax rate.

FAQ

Question : How do I create an imaginary portfolio ?
Answer : Follow these same steps without investing any money. Follow the progress of the stocks you chose.
Question : Where do I go to invest in marijuana stocks?
Answer : Ask a stockbroker who does business in an area where marijuana is legal.
Question : What does a gain or loss mean in a portfolio chart?
Answer : It refers to an increase or a decrease in the value of an investment.
Question : Which sector does better for next 3 years? In this sector, what are the names of the top 2 companies?
Answer : Anyone who tells you s/he knows what a given economic sector is going to do in the next three years is delusional. Your best bet is to invest in most or all sectors and in various companies with strong reputations.
Question : How do I calculate my returns in my diversified portfolio? And will my returns be lesser if I diversify my investments versus investing a lump sum in a single investment?
Answer : The easiest way to calculate total return on a diversified portfolio is to compare the total current value with the total value at the beginning of whatever period of time you're examining. If the value has risen, you would subtract the original value from the current value, then divide the difference by the original value. You would then multiply the quotient by 100 to get a percentage of return. Divide that percentage by the number of years you're considering to arrive at an annual percentage (which is the most commonly used percentage for the sake of comparison). Diversified portfolios often deliver better results than do single investments over a long period of time.
Question : How do I purchase stocks in South Africa?
Answer : Make online contact with any South African stockbroker registered to trade on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Ask if they do business with foreign investors.
Question : How do I open an account so that I can buy stocks?
Answer : Go to any local or online broker, fill out an application, and deposit some money.
Question : Will the initial money I deposit to open an account to buy or sell stocks be used toward buying or selling, or is it just the fee for opening the account?
Answer : Typically it is for buying stock. Brokers' terms may vary: some may remove part of your deposit to cover fees if you fail to pay them separately.

Tips.
Be aware of wash sale rules: if you decide to sell a stock or stock fund at a loss and buy into a stock or stock fund which is considered substantially similar within a 30-day period, you will not be able to claim that loss on your taxes.
Consult with a qualified financial planner if you're unsure of how to invest or what stocks are safe to invest in.
Be aware of tax consequences (see comments about long-term vs. short-term capital gains under "Maintaining your portfolio" above), and be aware that you will owe taxes on the dividends you earn on those stocks which pay them to you in the year they are earned, whether they were paid out to you or not.
Warnings.
Be aware that not all common stocks pay dividends. Whether a stock pays dividends should be only one factor in choosing it, not necessarily the only factor.

March 30, 2020

How to Find Great Companies to Invest In

How to Find Great Companies to Invest In.

Smart investors put their money in reputable companies and investigate new companies thoroughly before committing their money. By carefully considering the qualities of the companies you invest in and incorporating your own knowledge of the market, you can make informed decisions in the hopes of choosing stocks of good quality and value. Be aware, however, this is no small task. Mutual fund companies and the like dedicate entire teams of experts whose full-time jobs are to research and understand how to invest in companies. Be sure you have the time and inclination to do this yourself, as well as the willingness to take the risks of doing so.

Method 1 Buying What You Know.
1. Stay within your circle of competence. If you have a field of expertise, you may be best able to identify quality within that area. Experience can provide you with the insights you need to make more informed choices. For example, if you work in retail, you may be better positioned to determine if you should invest in companies like Walmart, Target, or Best Buy, than you are in evaluating the latest bio-tech company.
Having competence in a certain area doesn't have to come from workplace experience. If you're a techie who spends his time buying and reading about the latest gadgets, you can draw on the information you obtain to help you make decisions on how to invest in the technology sector.
2. Focus on a few industries or markets. These can be either your direct area of competence or other areas that you are interested in investing in. The important thing is to realize that you can't keep track of everything going on in the global economy. Large financial institutions have whole departments for doing this so don't think you can do it on your own. Instead, narrow your focus to include only a few key industries or markets.
This doesn't mean you should avoid focusing on individual companies. You should always investigate every company you plan to invest in individually.
3. Stay up to date on news within that industry. Examples of quality sources for this are online finance websites like Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. They'll give you up-to-date information on many of the goings-on in various sectors of the economy and the World. Again, focus your energy on a few key areas and become knowledgeable on the happenings in them. Look for things like trends, mergers, acquisitions, relevant legislation changes, and any global events that may affect your chosen market.
4. Plan ahead. Identify a company that you think stands to benefit from some change or trend in the market. Look ahead for when this change will take place and move around your money to prepare to invest in the company. For example, if you think that a new product being released by your favorite tech company is going to be a huge success, you may choose to invest in the company before the rest of the world realizes this and drives up the stock price.

Method 2 Investing in Companies with Competitive Advantages.
1. Understand competitive advantages. There are some companies that manage to be consistently profitable and successful in their industry over many years. These companies have succeeded in building a "moat" around them to keep their competitors away. This distance from their competitors is also known as a competitive advantage. Competitive advantages allow these companies to make money and retain customers more easily than others. In turn, these companies are able to provide greater value and return to their shareholders.
An investment in one of these companies allows you to participate in their competitive advantage. While they may not grow as quickly as smaller companies, they often can be less likely to fail in economic downturns and can provide consistent growth throughout the years to come.
Blue-chip stocks are examples of large, successful companies with competitive advantages. These companies have provided consistent growth or dividends over many years and are listed on large stock indexes.
2. Invest in trusted brands. Think Harley Davidson, Coke, BMW. These are brand names etched in the public mind as the best in their class. These companies can raise their prices on the strength of their brands, resulting in deeper profits.These companies are so well-known and essential that they are unlikely to lose a significant amount of customers to competitors.
3. Find companies with high switching costs. When was the last time you switched banks? Or cell phone providers? These services retain customers because switching between them is more time-consuming than it's worth. Companies that have high switching costs can be expected to hold on to their customers longer than companies that don't.
4. Search for economies of scale. Companies that are able to make products and sell them at much lower prices than their competition automatically attract customers -- lots of them -- as long as quality is not compromised. In a crowded market, this is generally the result of economies of scale, a phenomenon where a large company is able to experience lower production costs solely due to its size. Walmart and and Dell have perfected this concept to a science.
5. Invest in legal monopolies. Some companies are granted legal (if temporary) monopolies by the government. Large pharmaceutical companies and manufacturing companies with patents are able to bring a truly unique product to market. Companies that own copyrights, drilling rights, mining rights, and other forms of protected property are often the sole producer or service provider in their area. Thus, these companies can raise prices without fear of losing customers, resulting in higher profits.
Be sure to check how long the company's patent or usage rights are in effect. Some of these are temporary and when they go, there's a chance the company's profit will go with them.
6. Look for opportunities for easy growth. Some companies are easily scalable. That is, their products or services with the potential to network or add more users over time. Adobe has become the de facto standard in publishing; Microsoft's Excel has done the same in spreadsheets. eBay is a great example of a user network. Each additional user to the network costs the company virtually nothing. The additional revenues that come in as the network expands go straight to the bottom line.
For a more current example, consider Netflix. As a streaming service, they make more money for each subscriber, even as their costs remain virtually the same. That way, as they gain more users they will continue to grow in profitability, assuming they don't choose to increase costs significantly.

Method 3 Evaluating Company Performance and Valuation.
1. Check the quality of management. How competent is the management running the company? More importantly, how focused are they toward the company, customers, investors, and employees? In this age of rampant corporate greed, it's always a great idea to research the management of any company you're thinking of investing in. Newspaper and magazine articles are good places to get this information.
This doesn't just mean that management has provided good financial results recently. Rather, look for indications of other important qualities like responsiveness, adaptability, capacity for innovation, and organizational ability.
2. Watch for management changes. A good leader can successfully turn around a company that many consider to be a lost cause. Watch the news and financial reports for changes in management positions, especially CEOs. If you believe in the new CEO of a company, based on your research, you may choose to invest in that company. Here, you're essentially putting your faith in the person, not the company.
3. Avoid overvalued stocks. Even a great company can be overvalued. Learn to interpret financial statements and pick stocks with fundamental analysis to find companies the market has overvalued. Know that these companies may be some of the most buzzed-about and invested in companies around, but they are still overvalued and may experience drastic declines in price once their day in the spotlight is over.
One way to determine if a stock is overpriced is to examine its price-earnings-ratio. The price to earnings ratio can usually be found in the company's stock summary on financial websites. Generally, PE ratios are between 20-25, but this varies by industry.
To evaluate a company's PE ratio, search online for the average PE ratio in the company's industry. If the P/E ratio is over the industry average, the company could be overpriced in view of its earnings.
4. Buy undervalued stocks. Undervalued stocks are those that are trading at a lower value than their financial information would indicate. These may be companies that have only started to do well recently. In these cases, the market has not yet caught up with their newfound success. To identify stocks with room to grow in value, you can also use the price-earnings ratio mentioned above and look for companies with low PE ratios compared to the industry average.
You can also look for companies with a price-to-book-value of less than 2. The price-to-book ratio is the price of the company divided by the total value of its assets minus its liabilities and intangible assets. A low ratio may indicate that the company is relatively cheap.

FAQ.

Question : How can I know a company's management?
Answer : A company's stock prospectus will list its management personnel. For suggestions on researching company management, go here: Investopedia.com/articles/02/062602.asp.

Tips.
Start thinking about everyday companies in terms of this new framework.
Learn the basics of reading financial statements. Check the profitability of companies you're interested in. Check their debt position. See if they have been growing steadily.
Visit the company’s website and other financial websites that will give you insight into the stock.
While it may be advantageous to invest in companies you know, do not limit yourself to just one or two sectors of the economy. Try to research companies in a variety of sectors. Doing so further diversifies your portfolio to better insulate it from a downturn in a single sector or company.

Warnings.
Be aware of stock tips: Whether they come from someone you see on TV or someone you meet in person, these are more often not well-researched or are even based on someone's grandiose theory about getting rich quick. They may also be provided by salesmen paid to inflate a stock's price to allow a company to raise as much capital as possible.
Jumping into buying stocks in a company without doing thorough research can be a quick way to lose your money.
Investing always carries risk. Even if you do everything right, there's no guarantee that you'll make money.

April 07, 2020

How to Use the Rule of 72

How to Use the Rule of 72.

The Rule of 72 is a handy tool used in finance to estimate the number of years it would take to double a sum of money through interest payments, given a particular interest rate. The rule can also estimate the annual interest rate required to double a sum of money in a specified number of years. The rule states that the interest rate multiplied by the time period required to double an amount of money is approximately equal to 72.
The Rule of 72 is applicable in cases of exponential growth, (as in compound interest) or in exponential "decay," as in the loss of purchasing power caused by monetary inflation.

Method 1 Estimating "Doubling" Time.
1. Let R x T = 72. R is the rate of growth (the annual interest rate), and T is the time (in years) it takes for the amount of money to double.
2. Insert a value for R. For example, how long does it take to turn $100 into $200 at a yearly interest rate of 5%? Letting R = 5, we get 5 x T = 72.
3. Solve for the unknown variable. In this example, divide both sides of the above equation by R (that is, 5) to get T = 72 ÷ 5 = 14.4. So it takes 14.4 years for $100 to double at an interest rate of 5% per annum. (The initial amount of money doesn't matter. It will take the same amount of time to double no matter what the beginning amount is.)
4. Study these additional examples:
How long does it take to double an amount of money at a rate of 10% per annum? 10 x T = 72. Divide both sides of the equation by 10, so that T = 7.2 years.
How long does it take to turn $100 into $1600 at a rate of 7.2% per annum? Recognize that 100 must double four times to reach 1600 ($100 → $200, $200 → $400, $400 → $800, $800 → $1600). For each doubling, 7.2 x T = 72, so T = 10. So, as each doubling takes ten years, the total time required (to change $100 into $1,600) is 40 years.

Method 2 Estimating the Growth Rate.
1. Let R x T = 72. R is the rate of growth (the interest rate), and T is the time (in years) it takes to double any amount of money.
2. Enter the value of T. For example, let's say you want to double your money in ten years. What interest rate would you need in order to do that? Enter 10 for T in the equation. R x 10 = 72.
3. Solve for R. Divide both sides by 10 to get R = 72 ÷ 10 = 7.2. So you will need an annual interest rate of 7.2% in order to double your money in ten years.

Method 3 Estimating Exponential "Decay" (Loss).
1. Estimate the time it would take to lose half of your money (or its purchasing power in the wake of inflation). Let T = 72 ÷ R. This is the same equation as above, just slightly rearranged. Now enter a value for R. An example.
How long will it take for $100 to assume the purchasing power of $50, given an inflation rate of 5% per year?
Let 5 x T = 72, so that T = 72 ÷ 5 = 14.4. That's how many years it would take for money to lose half its buying power in a period of 5% inflation. (If the inflation rate were to change from year to year, you would have to use the average inflation rate that existed over the full time period.)
2. Estimate the rate of decay (R) over a given time span: R = 72 ÷ T. Enter a value for T, and solve for R. For example.
If the buying power of $100 becomes $50 in ten years, what is the inflation rate during that time?
R x 10 = 72, where T = 10. Then R = 72 ÷ 10 = 7.2%.
3. Ignore any unusual data. If you can detect a general trend, don't worry about temporary numbers that are wildly out of range. Drop them from consideration.

Method 4 Derivation.
1. Understand how the derivation works for periodic compounding.
For periodic compounding, FV = PV (1 + r)^T, where FV = future value, PV = present value, r = growth rate, T = time.
If money has doubled, FV = 2*PV, so 2PV = PV (1 + r)^T, or 2 = (1 + r)^T, assuming the present value is not zero.
Solve for T by taking the natural logs on both sides, and rearranging, to get T = ln(2) / ln(1 + r).
The Taylor series for ln(1 + r) around 0 is r - r2/2 + r3/3 - ... For low values of r, the contributions from the higher power terms are small, and the expression approximates r, so that t = ln(2) / r.
Note that ln(2) ~ 0.693, so that T ~ 0.693 / r (or T = 69.3 / R, expressing the interest rate as a percentage R from 0-100%), which is the rule of 69.3. Other numbers such as 69, 70, and 72 are used for easier calculations.
2. Understand how the derivation works for continuous compounding. For periodic compounding with multiple compounding per year, the future value is given by FV = PV (1 + r/n)^nT, where FV = future value, PV = present value, r = growth rate, T = time, and n = number of compounding periods per year. For continuous compounding, n approaches infinity. Using the definition of e = lim (1 + 1/n)^n as n approaches infinity, the expression becomes FV = PV e^(rT).
If money has doubled, FV = 2*PV, so 2PV = PV e^(rT), or 2 = e^(rT), assuming the present value is not zero.
Solve for T by taking natural logs on both sides, and rearranging, to get T = ln(2)/r = 69.3/R (where R = 100r to express the growth rate as a percentage). This is the rule of 69.3.
For continuous compounding, 69.3 (or approximately 69) gives more accurate results, since ln(2) is approximately 69.3%, and R * T = ln(2), where R = growth (or decay) rate, T = the doubling (or halving) time, and ln(2) is the natural log of 2. 70 may also be used as an approximation for continuous or daily (which is close to continuous) compounding, for ease of calculation. These variations are known as rule of 69.3, rule of 69, or rule of 70.
A similar accuracy adjustment for the rule of 69.3 is used for high rates with daily compounding: T = (69.3 + R/3) / R.
The Eckart-McHale second order rule, or E-M rule, gives a multiplicative correction to the Rule of 69.3 or 70 (but not 72), for better accuracy for higher interest rate ranges. To compute the E-M approximation, multiply the Rule of 69.3 (or 70) result by 200/(200-R), i.e., T = (69.3/R) * (200/(200-R)). For example, if the interest rate is 18%, the Rule of 69.3 says t = 3.85 years. The E-M Rule multiplies this by 200/(200-18), giving a doubling time of 4.23 years, which better approximates the actual doubling time 4.19 years at this rate.
The third-order Padé approximant gives even better approximation, using the correction factor (600 + 4R) / (600 + R), i.e., T = (69.3/R) * ((600 + 4R) / (600 + R)). If the interest rate is 18%, the third-order Padé approximant gives T = 4.19 years.
To estimate doubling time for higher rates, adjust 72 by adding 1 for every 3 percentages greater than 8%. That is, T = [72 + (R - 8%)/3] / R. For example, if the interest rate is 32%, the time it takes to double a given amount of money is T = [72 + (32 - 8)/3] / 32 = 2.5 years. Note that 80 is used here instead of 72, which would have given 2.25 years for the doubling time.


FAQ.
Question : When would I need to use the rule of 72?
Answer : It's a handy shortcut when considering compounded, monetary gains or losses. For example, you might want to know how long it would take for invested money to double in value, given a specific rate of interest.
Question : How do I calculate compound interest?
Answer : The formula for annual compound interest (A) is: P [1 + (r / n)]^(nt), where P=principal amount, r = the annual interest rate as a decimal, n = the number of times the interest is compounded per year, and t = the number of years of the loan or investment.
Question : What is APY for an APR of 3.5% compounded?
Answer : It depends on how often the interest compounds: annually, semi-annually, quarterly, monthly or daily.

Tips.

Let the Rule of 72 work for you by starting to save now. At a growth rate of 8% a year (the approximate rate of return in the stock market), you would double your money in nine years (72 ÷ 8 = 9), quadruple your money in 18 years, and have 16 times your money in 36 years.
The value of 72 was chosen as a convenient numerator in the above equation. 72 is easily divisible by several small numbers: 1,2,3,4,6,8,9, and 12. It provides a good approximation for annual compounding at typical rates (from 6% to 10%). The approximations are less exact at higher interest rates.
You can use Felix's Corollary to the Rule of 72 to calculate the "future value" of an annuity (that is, what the annuity's face value will be at a specified future time). You can read about the corollary on various financial and investing websites.

Warnings.
Let the rule of 72 convince you not to take on high-interest debt (as is typical with credit cards). At an average interest rate of 18%, semiretired credit card debt doubles in just four years (72 ÷ 18 = 4), quadruples in eight years, and becomes completely unmanageable after that.

April 10, 2020

how to reduce finance charges on a car loan

How to Reduce Finance Charges on a Car Loan.

Finance charges applied to a car loan are the actual charges for the cost of borrowing the money needed to purchase your car. The finance charge that is associated with your car loan is directly contingent upon three variables: loan amount, interest rate, and loan term. Modifying any or all of these variables will change the amount of finance charges you will pay for the loan. There are a number of ways to reduce finance charges on a loan, and the method you choose will be contingent upon whether you already have a loan or are taking out a new loan. Knowing your options can help you save money and pay off your vehicle faster.

Method 1 Reducing Finance Charges for a New Loan.

1. Learn your credit score. Automobile loans are largely determined by the borrower's credit score; the better the borrower's credit score is, the lower his interest rate will likely be. Knowing your credit score before you apply for an automobile loan can help ensure that you get the best possible loan terms. You can obtain a free copy of your credit report (one free copy is guaranteed every 12 months) by visiting AnnualCreditReport.com or by calling 1-877-322-8228.

Your credit report won't explicitly contain your credit score, but it will contain information that determines your credit score. Because of this, it's tremendously important to review all of the information contained in your credit report and understand what determines your credit score to ensure that there are no errors.

If your credit score is low, you may need to improve your credit score. Improving your credit score will likely get you much better terms on your loan. If you can hold off on purchasing your vehicle until you've repaired your credit, it may be worth waiting.

Consider contacting a credit counseling organization to help you rebuild your credit. A credit counselor can work with you to build and stick to a budget, and can even help you manage your income and your debts. You can find a credit counseling organization near you by searching online - just be clear on the terms and fees of the services offered before signing up with a credit counselor.

2. Shop around for your loan. Most dealerships offer automobile loans at the dealership, which can make it convenient for buyers. However, the dealership may not be offering the best available loan. Many automobile dealers arrange loans by acting as a "middle man" between you and a bank, which means that the dealership may charge you extra to compensate for its services. Even if the dealership's fees aren't unreasonable, it's likely that the dealer will then sell your contract to a bank, credit union, or finance company, and you may end up making payments to that third party. Even if you end up going with the dealer's financing option, it's worth shopping around for a better loan from a local bank or credit union.

3. Don't take out a small loan. Every loan term is different, depending on factors like your credit score and the amount you're requesting to borrow. Smaller loans typically have very high monthly finance charges, because the bank makes money off of these charges and they know that a smaller loan will be paid off more quickly. If you intend to take out an auto loan for only a few thousand dollars, it may be worth saving up until you have the whole amount that you'll need to purchase an automobile, or purchasing an automobile that fits in your available price range.

4. Get a pre-approved loan before you buy a car. Pre-approved loans are arranged in advance with a bank or financial institution. This may be helpful, as many people feel pressured to go with the loan options that a dealer offers at the car lot, and end up getting a loan with high finance charges. If you get a pre-approved loan beforehand, you'll know exactly how much you can afford to spend on an automobile, which will also help you stay within your budget.

5. Consider leasing instead of buying. Leasing a vehicle allows you to use your vehicle for an arranged duration of time and a predetermined number of miles. You won't own your car, but lease payments are typically lower than what the monthly payments on a loan would be for the exact same vehicle. Some lease terms also give you the option of purchasing your vehicle at the end of the leasing period. Before you decide to lease, it may be helpful to consider.

the lease costs at the beginning, middle, and end of the leasing period.

what leasing offers and terms are available to you.

how long you want to keep the automobile.

Method 2 Refinancing an Existing Loan.

1. Contact your lender. You can apply to refinance your automobile loan with the lender from the original loan, or you can switch to a new lender. Lenders who allow refinancing will replace your existing loan with a new loan, typically offering lower monthly finance charges. Not every lender will allow borrowers to refinance a loan, so it may be worth comparing your options to determine which lender to go with, or whether you're eligible to refinance at all.

2. Gather the necessary information. As part of the refinancing application process, you'll need some basic information to provide the lender. Before you apply to refinance your loan, you'll need to have ready:

your current interest rate.

how much money is still owed on the existing loan.

how many months remain in the existing loan's terms.

the make, model, and current odometer reading of your vehicle.

the current value of your vehicle.

your current income and employment history.

your current credit score.

3. Compare refinance loan options. If you are eligible for an automobile loan refinance with your existing lender, you may be eligible for a better loan through a different lending institution. It's worth comparing your refinance loan options to get the best available loan terms. When you search around and compare refinance options, it's worth considering:

the loan rate.

the duration of the loan.

whether there are pre-payment penalties or late payment penalties.

any fees or finance charges.

what (if any) the conditions for automobile repossession are with a given lender.

Method 3 Pre-paying an Existing Loan.

1. Learn whether you're able to pre-pay your loan. If refinancing isn't an option, you may be eligible for pre-paying your loan. Pre-payment, also called early loan payoff, simply means that you pay off your debt before the agreed-upon end date of an existing loan.[29] The benefit of pre-paying your loan is that you're not subjected to the monthly finance charges you would otherwise be paying on your loan, but for that reason many lenders charge a pre-payment penalty or fee.[30] The terms of your existing loan should specify whether there is any pre-payment or early loan payoff penalty, but if you're unsure you can always consult with your lender.

2. Learn the pre-payment process for your lender. If your lender permits you to make pre-payments on your loan, there may be a special process for making those payments. These payments are sometimes referred to as principal-only payments, and it's important to specify to your lender that you intend for that payment to be applied to the principal loan, not the finance charges for upcoming months. Each lender's process may be different, so it's best to call or email the lender's customer service department and ask what you need to do to make a principal-only payment towards your loan.

3. Calculate your early loan payoff amount. There are many early loan payoff "calculators" available online, but all of them factor in the same basic information to determine how much you will need to pay in order to payoff your loan early:

the total number of months in your existing loan term.

the number of months remaining on your existing loan.

the amount your existing loan was for.

the monthly payments remaining on your loan.

the current annual interest rate (APR) on your existing loan.

Tips.

Reducing the finance charges by reducing the term of the loan will lower the finance charges overall but it will also increase your monthly payment, because you take less time to repay the loan.

Consider working with a credit counseling organization if you're having trouble sticking with your budget or paying off your loans.

November 26, 2019

How to Reduce Finance Charges on a Car Loan

How to Reduce Finance Charges on a Car Loan.

Finance charges applied to a car loan are the actual charges for the cost of borrowing the money needed to purchase your car. The finance charge that is associated with your car loan is directly contingent upon three variables: loan amount, interest rate, and loan term. Modifying any or all of these variables will change the amount of finance charges you will pay for the loan. There are a number of ways to reduce finance charges on a loan, and the method you choose will be contingent upon whether you already have a loan or are taking out a new loan. Knowing your options can help you save money and pay off your vehicle faster.

Method 1 Reducing Finance Charges for a New Loan.

1. Learn your credit score. Automobile loans are largely determined by the borrower's credit score; the better the borrower's credit score is, the lower his interest rate will likely be. Knowing your credit score before you apply for an automobile loan can help ensure that you get the best possible loan terms. You can obtain a free copy of your credit report (one free copy is guaranteed every 12 months) by visiting AnnualCreditReport.com or by calling 1-877-322-8228.

Your credit report won't explicitly contain your credit score, but it will contain information that determines your credit score. Because of this, it's tremendously important to review all of the information contained in your credit report and understand what determines your credit score to ensure that there are no errors.

If your credit score is low, you may need to improve your credit score. Improving your credit score will likely get you much better terms on your loan. If you can hold off on purchasing your vehicle until you've repaired your credit, it may be worth waiting.

Consider contacting a credit counseling organization to help you rebuild your credit. A credit counselor can work with you to build and stick to a budget, and can even help you manage your income and your debts. You can find a credit counseling organization near you by searching online - just be clear on the terms and fees of the services offered before signing up with a credit counselor.

2. Shop around for your loan. Most dealerships offer automobile loans at the dealership, which can make it convenient for buyers. However, the dealership may not be offering the best available loan. Many automobile dealers arrange loans by acting as a "middle man" between you and a bank, which means that the dealership may charge you extra to compensate for its services. Even if the dealership's fees aren't unreasonable, it's likely that the dealer will then sell your contract to a bank, credit union, or finance company, and you may end up making payments to that third party. Even if you end up going with the dealer's financing option, it's worth shopping around for a better loan from a local bank or credit union.

3. Don't take out a small loan. Every loan term is different, depending on factors like your credit score and the amount you're requesting to borrow. Smaller loans typically have very high monthly finance charges, because the bank makes money off of these charges and they know that a smaller loan will be paid off more quickly. If you intend to take out an auto loan for only a few thousand dollars, it may be worth saving up until you have the whole amount that you'll need to purchase an automobile, or purchasing an automobile that fits in your available price range.

4. Get a pre-approved loan before you buy a car. Pre-approved loans are arranged in advance with a bank or financial institution. This may be helpful, as many people feel pressured to go with the loan options that a dealer offers at the car lot, and end up getting a loan with high finance charges. If you get a pre-approved loan beforehand, you'll know exactly how much you can afford to spend on an automobile, which will also help you stay within your budget.

5. Consider leasing instead of buying. Leasing a vehicle allows you to use your vehicle for an arranged duration of time and a predetermined number of miles. You won't own your car, but lease payments are typically lower than what the monthly payments on a loan would be for the exact same vehicle. Some lease terms also give you the option of purchasing your vehicle at the end of the leasing period. Before you decide to lease, it may be helpful to consider.

the lease costs at the beginning, middle, and end of the leasing period.

what leasing offers and terms are available to you.

how long you want to keep the automobile.

Method 2 Refinancing an Existing Loan.

1. Contact your lender. You can apply to refinance your automobile loan with the lender from the original loan, or you can switch to a new lender. Lenders who allow refinancing will replace your existing loan with a new loan, typically offering lower monthly finance charges. Not every lender will allow borrowers to refinance a loan, so it may be worth comparing your options to determine which lender to go with, or whether you're eligible to refinance at all.

2. Gather the necessary information. As part of the refinancing application process, you'll need some basic information to provide the lender. Before you apply to refinance your loan, you'll need to have ready:

your current interest rate.

how much money is still owed on the existing loan.

how many months remain in the existing loan's terms.

the make, model, and current odometer reading of your vehicle.

the current value of your vehicle.

your current income and employment history.

your current credit score.

3. Compare refinance loan options. If you are eligible for an automobile loan refinance with your existing lender, you may be eligible for a better loan through a different lending institution. It's worth comparing your refinance loan options to get the best available loan terms. When you search around and compare refinance options, it's worth considering:

the loan rate.

the duration of the loan.

whether there are pre-payment penalties or late payment penalties.

any fees or finance charges.

what (if any) the conditions for automobile repossession are with a given lender.

Method 3 Pre-paying an Existing Loan.

1. Learn whether you're able to pre-pay your loan. If refinancing isn't an option, you may be eligible for pre-paying your loan. Pre-payment, also called early loan payoff, simply means that you pay off your debt before the agreed-upon end date of an existing loan.[29] The benefit of pre-paying your loan is that you're not subjected to the monthly finance charges you would otherwise be paying on your loan, but for that reason many lenders charge a pre-payment penalty or fee.[30] The terms of your existing loan should specify whether there is any pre-payment or early loan payoff penalty, but if you're unsure you can always consult with your lender.

2. Learn the pre-payment process for your lender. If your lender permits you to make pre-payments on your loan, there may be a special process for making those payments. These payments are sometimes referred to as principal-only payments, and it's important to specify to your lender that you intend for that payment to be applied to the principal loan, not the finance charges for upcoming months. Each lender's process may be different, so it's best to call or email the lender's customer service department and ask what you need to do to make a principal-only payment towards your loan.

3. Calculate your early loan payoff amount. There are many early loan payoff "calculators" available online, but all of them factor in the same basic information to determine how much you will need to pay in order to payoff your loan early:

the total number of months in your existing loan term.

the number of months remaining on your existing loan.

the amount your existing loan was for.

the monthly payments remaining on your loan.

the current annual interest rate (APR) on your existing loan.

Tips.

Reducing the finance charges by reducing the term of the loan will lower the finance charges overall but it will also increase your monthly payment, because you take less time to repay the loan.

Consider working with a credit counseling organization if you're having trouble sticking with your budget or paying off your loans.

November 28, 2019