Highest paying majors not engineering

Below Highest paying majors not engineering

Try this list of the ten highest paying non-STEM majors. Salaries are estimates made with data from Payscale. Majors are ranked by early-career salary which covers the first 5 years in the workforce.

Note that this is a ranking of bachelor-degrees only. Students who pursue a higher degree typically will have better earning potential.

We define STEM as those majors that fall into the categories of Agriculture, Architecture, Biological & Biomedical Services, Communications Technology, Computer & Information Science, Engineering, Mathematics & Statistics, Natural Resources & Conservation, Physical Sciences, Science Technologies.

Some sources consider majors in the medical fields and social sciences as STEM, but for the purposes of this article, we did not.

1. Nursing
Nursing is one of the best college majors for students who want to graduate immediately into a well-paying career. It is also one of the most popular majors students choose to study with over 154,000 graduates yearly.

The average early-career salary of a nurse is $53,300 while the average mid-career salary is just over $70,000. Nurses can specialize in a number of areas giving you the opportunity to become a nurse midwife, nurse anesthetist, nurse practitioner or registered nurse.

If you enjoy working one on one with people and want to help them prevent and fight illness while working on the front-lines of healthcare, a career in nursing may be for you. Top-ranked schools for nursing include Molloy College, New York University and Drexel University.

2. Construction Management
Although construction management isn’t a popular major choice with only 1,736 yearly graduations, it is a highly paid non-STEM major. Students graduating with a degree in construction management can expect an average starting salary of $49,200 and an average mid-career salary of $83,300.

Top-ranked colleges include Wentworth Institute of Technology, Arizona State University, and Virginia Polytechnic Institute. If you have a love of building and a knack of managing complex projects, problem-solving and expecting the unexpected, a degree in construction management may be for you.

3. Economics
Do you love working with money and mathematics? Like to track trends in spending and how governments spend money? You may want to consider majoring in economics. With an average early career salary of nearly $46,000 and average mid-career salary of $88,000 – economists can earn a great wage. Top schools include the University of Chicago, Columbia University, and Harvard University. US colleges graduate about 37,000 students with degrees in economics per year.

4. Finance
A degree in finance will let you work within a company’s financial team helping manage business assets and capital for long-term investments. You’ll need to have a good background in mathematics and enjoy problem-solving. Similar to economics majors, there are about 38,000 graduates in finance each year. Salaries are also similar to economists as well with an early career salary of $45,000 and average mid-career salary of just over $81,000. Top schools include the University of Pennsylvania, Boston College, and Bentley University.

5. Real Estate
If you are a people person and like working on a bit of everything from law to finances, and you love seeing houses, you may want to consider a major in real estate. Although the real estate agent might be the first thing you think of, real estate is a broad industry with many different career opportunities from financial services, insurance sales, and appraisals. Salaries will vary depending on the market you are in. However, an average early career salary for students graduating with a real estate degree is $44,500 with a mid-career salary of $76,500.

6. Accounting
Attention to detail is the name of the game when considering a career in accounting. Whereas finance deals mostly with investments and transitory numbers, accountants deal with fact-based numbers. Accountants work with budgets, accounts payable and accounts receivable to ensure the flow of money within a business is tracked. About 60,000 students graduate with a degree in accounting each year. The average starting salary is $44,500 with an average mid-career salary of just over $75,000. Top schools include Bentley University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Bryant University.

7. Public Policy
Working in the field of public policy requires a natural inquisitiveness and desire to dig in and get to the bottom of your topic of study. A degree in public policy will help prepare you to work in the political arena as an analyst or scientist. Careers in the in the social sciences are also available to public policy graduates. Top colleges for public policy include Princeton University, Duke University, and Brandeis University. Graduates can expect an early career salary of $43,400 and an average mid-career salary of $73,700.

8. Business/Managerial Economics
A degree in business and managerial economics applies the principles of economics to businesses. Business economists may help the business by analyzing certain external factors to determine how they may impact the business’s bottom line. The average early career salary is about $43,000 with an average mid-career salary of $78,000. Top schools include Bentley University, Lehigh University and the University of California – Los Angeles.

9. Dietetics & Clinical Nutrition Services
Students graduating with majors in dietetics and clinical nutrition services can find careers helping both individuals and groups of people plan for and evaluate their nutritional needs. Dieticians can work in large-scale settings such as schools or business cafeterias or in a one on one clinical setting. Graduates earn an average early career salary of $42,500 and an average mid-career salary of just under $54,900. Top dietetics schools include the University of Delaware, California Polytechnic State University-San Luis Obispo, and California State University – Long Beach.

10. International Business
Students graduating will be prepared to travel internationally and conduct business. You’ll have to have a love of travel and willingness to learn other cultures and customs – doing so can be very rewarding. International business students can attend a number of top-ranked schools including Georgetown University, Villanova University, and Bryant University. Graduates can expect an average early career salary of $42,000 with an average mid-career salary of $79,000.

11. Public Health
Until recently Public Health was typically offered as a Master's Degree, but the popularity of it as a bachelor's degree has grown significantly. Students who achieve an undergraduate degree in public health are well prepared for an advanced degree in the same subject or may enter the workforce as a healthcare administrator, social worker, or health educator. The average graduate earns $41,400 in their early career and $77,200 in their mid-career.

12. Business Administration & Management
Business Administration and Management has been the most popular college major for years. This is the standard major most students take who are interested in running a business or working their way up the corporate ladder. The average early-career salary for graduates of this major is $41,200 and the mid-career salary is $70,700. Some students choose to pursue an MBA which can raise salary prospects.

13. Marketing
Marketing is a popular major within the business field that lets students focus on advertising and promotional aspects of a business. This can lead to prosperous careers in public or private organizations as marketing creatives, directors or advertising agents. Early career salaries average $39,600, and mid-career salaries average $75,300.

14. Geography & Cartography
A major in Geography & Cartography can lead to careers in security, government, business, and education. This is the perfect subject for students who loved geography classes in high school, who can pay close attention to detail, and are good with technology. Average early career salaries in this field are $39,400 and mid-career salaries are $67,800.

15. East Asian Languages
Students who major in East Asian language usually pick a concentration to focus on such as Chinese, Japanese, Korean or Tibetan. Classes will include writing, grammar, and literature, and will touch on East Asian philosophy, religions, politics, business, and technology. This could be excellent preparation for a student who whishes to launch a career in international relations specializing in East Asia, or who may be considering moving to the region to work as an educator, translator, business-person, or government representative. The average graduate earns $39,400 in their early career.

16. Entrepreneurial Studies
Students who have an interest in starting and running their own business can major in Entrepreneurial Studies. The more creative and diverse the program, the better. The average graduate earns $39,100 soon after graduation and $85,300 in their mid-career.

17. Public Administration
This major is for students who love the idea of making a difference in public life with their administrative and organizational skills! Classes will be a mix of political science, government, policy, and sociology. Graduates earn an average of $38,900 in early career and $64,000 in mid-career.

18. Political Science & Government
Political Science & Government is an ideal major for students interested in getting into politics, and can also pave the way for further education in law, education, or public policy. For students who stick with just a bachelor's degree, their average expected earnings are $38,700 in their early career and $74,200 in the mid-career.

19. Area Studies
A student who majors in Area Studies usually picks a specific geographic location, culture or group to focus on such as the U.S., Africa, Russia, China, Native Americans, African Americans, etc. This major is excellent preparation for careers in education, politics, social work, or even business. Graduates earn $38,700 in their early career and $64,800 in their mid-career.

20. International Relations & National Security
Students who study this major may be interested in diplomacy, trade, travel, culture, international business, politics and national security, and their classes may cover all of those subjects. After college, graduates may find themselves working for public or private organizations, in the military, or as a teacher. The average graduate earns $38,400 in their early career and $82,900 in mid-career.

21. Gerontology
Gerontology majors focus on the medical issues associated with aging. This important degree prepares students for a variety of careers in the healthcare field. Some students go on to earn an MD or another advanced degree, while some go into careers as a nurse-aid, occupational therapist, social worker, or healthcare administration. Early career salaries average $38,300.

22. Philosophy
Despite being the butt of many jokes, philosophy majors do pretty well for themselves after graduation. A philosophy degree will empower you with sharp critical thinking skills, the ability to write and reason well, and a broad skill-set that can translate to many different career fields. The average graduate earns $38,200 in their early career and $69,600 mid-career.

23. Business/Corporate Communications
Want to specialize in business communications? This is the major for you. Understand how large and small businesses operate, and how effective methods of communication can improve relations and better your bottom-line. Less than a thousand students a year graduate with this major that can be fairly profitable. In their early career graduates earn $38,000, and in their mid-career $64,100.

24. Music
Music is a fairly popular major that can prepare students for a wide number of fields. Some students become teachers working in public or private schools or run their own home studio giving music lessons. Students with a music background can also find work as a singer or songwriter, in music production, music leaders or directors, and creative professionals in many industries. Graduates with bachelor's in music often earn $36,900 in their early career and $57,900 in their mid-career.

25. Urban Studies
Urban Studies is an interdisciplinary major that can include classes from many different subjects such as history, economics, sociology, public policy, and law. Most students who pursue this degree are interested in getting into government or law, but it can also be excellent preparation for teachers or lawyers. Graduates with a degree in Urban Studies average $35,500 as a starting salary with a mid-career salary of $64,100.

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May 25, 2019

Ray Dalio gives 3 financial recommendations for millennials

Ray Dalio gives 3 financial recommendations for millennials

By Jacob Wolinsky.
Founder, Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio talks to Julia La Roche in 2018 of Yahoo Finance about the value of savings and investing.

These are Ray Dalio Gives 3 Financial Recommendations For Millennials.
Well I want to talk about my generation the millennials. We were really coming of age during the crisis. So how would you advise us to prepare. And what I mean is what would you tell our generation. We feel scarred from the crisis. First of all I think. One of the problems is that the experience that you had is the last experience is the one that's going to stick in your mind.

And probably will not be the one that's going to get you so that the next experience will be very very different. I know my my parents went through the Great Depression and then they missed out on the boom because they're always thinking about that. And so I think I think that what they need to do is see all of those crisis's. That's why you can see inflationary ones and see all of those and once you get that perspective I would say three things to your generation. OK. Three recommendations. The first recommendation. Is to is to think about your savings and how much money do you have for savings and the best way to think about that is to think how much money do I spend each month. And how much money do I have saved so that I can. How many months are my going to be OK without that and to savings. Right. And calculate it because savings in that is freedom and security. And think about what that is. So that's that's the first one. How much do I have for that.

The second thing is how do I save. Well what should I put my savings in. And when thinking about what you should put your savings in. Realize that the least risky investment that you think from volatility is the least risk investment. It which is cash is the worst investment over a period of time. And you could judge that by judging the rate of inflation in relationship to the after tax income you're going to earn. So if you have an inflation rate that's two or three percent and you're earning 1 percent and you have to pay taxes on that one percent or the 1 or 2 percent that you're going to get. You're going to get taxed essentially at two percent a year. And that's going to be a problem. So you have to move into assets that are other assets that are going to do better over a period of time. And when you do that the most important thing I can convey to you is to diversify well because I can guarantee you that one of those assets and you won't be able to pick the right one will be disastrous in your lifetime that you will lose half of that savings if you're in the wrong one and you won't know what the right one is. And so pick different countries pick different asset classes and I could probably take too long explaining how you might do that. But but. So that would be the second thing to learn from. First thing is think about how to save be cautious about debt when you're thinking about debt. Think about is that debt going to help my savings or is it going to produce an income.

Sometimes debt like buying a house or buying an apartment or buying an asset, it produces forced savings. Forced savings is a good thing. Or if you're taking on debt and you're thinking am I going to have that debt in an asset that asset debt or produce more income than the asset than the cost of your debt. If you're using debt for consumption that's not a good thing to do. OK you're giving up that that safety. So I want. So number one is think about how much you save and think about whether that should be how you borrow. Number two make sure that you think about the diversification of that not in cash. And number three. Do the opposite of what your instincts are. If you're going to play the game. It has to be the opposite of what your instincts in the crowd says because the market reflects the crowd. So you want to buy when no one wants to buy and you want to sell when no one wants to sell. Right. So and that's emotionally difficult and probably not going to play that game well because it takes a lot of resources to play with it. We spend hundreds of millions of dollars each year to try to play that game. Well and it's a tough game to play well. So I would caution you about the market timing game but I would say that if you're going to do it do it in the ways that are uncomfortable because they're opposite your instincts.

That's really good advice right. One more thing that really resonates with me in the book was if in the next downturn the implications could be the impact on pension obligations health care. Is my generation are going to be on the hook for that. Yeah. So we pay a lot of attention to debt. And we should. But pension obligations and healthcare obligations are just like debt.

August 11, 2020

How to Prepare for Economic Collapse

How to Prepare for Economic Collapse.

An economic collapse means a breakdown of the national economy. It would be characterized by a long-term downturn in economic activity, increased poverty and a disruption of the social order, including protests, riots and possibly violence. In some cases, this collapse would be akin to a deep recession, with society still functioning basically as normal (just with more poverty). However, it could be much worse. You should prepare for the worst, but adjust your actions to the actual severity of the collapse. You can prepare for an economic collapse by preparing financially, stocking up on the essentials, and monitoring the economic indicators.

Method 1 Preparing Your Finances.
1. Start an emergency fund. If you are living paycheck to paycheck and you lose your job during an economic collapse, you are at risk for losing your home and living in poverty. It won’t be easy to find another job and replace your income. Your goal should be to save up enough to cover six months of expenses in your emergency fund.
If you are trying to get out of debt, save up an emergency fund of $1,000 and then apply all of your extra income to your debt. Once your debt is paid off, you can divert more money into your emergency fund.
Keep your emergency fund separate from your checking account so that you are not tempted to use the money. Put it in a low-risk, interest-bearing account such as a savings account, money market account or certificate of deposit (CD).
On the other hand, a complete economic collapse would leave you unable to access your bank account, because of the crash of the financial system. Additionally, your money may become useless or extremely devalued. Consider stocking other commodities that you could barter with in an economic collapse, like alcohol, precious metals (gold and silver), and fuel.
2. Have cash on hand. Depending on where you have it, money in your emergency fund might be hard to liquidate. Bonds, for example, must be sold, and other investments like CD’s might charge fees for early withdrawal. Also, if you have a savings account with an online bank instead of a brick-and-mortar institution, it might take several days to withdraw your money. It’s important to have cash that you can access easily, either from a savings account or a cash box in your home. This can tide you over in an emergency until you can access money in your emergency fund.
3. Generate an additional source of income. Start a home business as a second source of income. If you lose your job because of an economic collapse, it might be difficult or even impossible to find another job. Having an alternative source of income can help you to keep your home and avoid poverty. Choose your business idea based on skills that you have and things that you enjoy doing. In addition, think about how likely it will be that people will require these services in an economic collapse; people may need basic necessities like clean water or food more than they need an interior decorator.
Provide services to people in their homes, such as house cleaning, home organization, meal preparation, or interior decorating.
Sell goods you produce, such as baked goods, custom clothing or jewelry.
4. Get out of debt. In a financial collapse, many people are going to lose their jobs and their homes. To prepare for this possibility, you should make a plan to get out of debt as quickly as possible. This way, if you do lose your job, you don’t have to worry about finding a way to pay these bills. The worst kind of debt to have is credit card debt. Because of the high interest rates that many people have, carrying a balance on a credit card can cost you a great deal of money.
Create a budget in order to track your income and expenses. Make a plan to have a surplus of money left over at the end of the month to apply towards your debt. This means reducing your expenses and possibly finding additional work to supplement your income.
Organize your debt so you can make a plan to pay it off. You can choose from a few different methods for planning how to pay off your debt. Whichever method you choose, it is important to stick with it.
One method is to order your debts from smallest to biggest, regardless of the interest rate, and pay off the smallest debts first. This helps you build momentum.
Another method is laddering, which means paying off the debt with the highest interest rates first. This makes the most sense mathematically because it reduces the amount of interest expense you pay in the long-term.
That said, in a true economic collapse, your creditors would likely have other things to worry about than just finding you and recovering your debts. Additionally, currency may be greatly devalued or completely useless, meaning that the amount stated on your debt balance would be equally depressed or meaningless.

Method 2 Storing the Essentials.
1. Store emergency water. In the event of an economic collapse, it is possible that your power and water supply might be interrupted, or that you will not be able to pay for these things. You will need a supply of clean water for drinking, cooking and hygiene. You can purchase bottles of water or store water in your own containers. If you run out of water, you can take steps to sanitize contaminated water.
Store at least one gallon of water per person for a minimum of three days or for up to two weeks. Don’t forget to include pets in this equation.
If you are storing water in your own containers, wash them first with dish soap and water and sanitize them with a solution of 1 teaspoon of liquid chlorine bleach to a quart of water.
To make water safe, you can boil it and filter it through a clean cloth, paper towel or coffee filter.
2. Stockpile food. The kind of food you store up for an emergency is different from the groceries you purchase each week. You need to get food that is non-perishable, does not have to be refrigerated and will provide you with the nutrition you need to survive. It may be very different from the food you are used to eating, but you will be glad you have it if you ever need it.
Purchase food that does not have to be refrigerated or frozen so you don’t have to worry about power outages. These foods include canned goods, peanut butter and beef or turkey jerky.
Include foods highly nutritious foods that are easy to store, such as dried foods, nuts, beans, canned meat and vegetables and powdered milk.
For comfort foods, avoid snack foods that will quickly expire. Instead, stock up on spaghetti and spaghetti sauce, soups, sugar and honey for canning and baking, dried fruit, coffee and tea and hard candy.
If necessary, stock pile baby food and formula, Don’t forget to include pet food if you have pets.
Keep a manual can opener with your stockpile.
3. Start a garden. A garden allows you to continually have fresh, nutritious food to supplement your emergency food supply. Also, in an economic crisis the cost of living might skyrocket. Having a garden will help you to save money on your grocery bills. It will also allow you to be self-sufficient should a food shortage result from the financial collapse.
If you don’t have a lot of space, consider starting a container garden.
If you don’t have good soil, purchase humus soil or top soil. Add peat moss, composted manure and plant fertilizers.
Choose vegetables and herbs that are easy to grow, including beans and peas, carrots, greens like lettuce, cabbage, spinach and kale, potatoes and sweet potatoes, squash, tomatoes, broccoli, berries and melons.
4. Create an emergency kit. This is a collection of household items you might need in an emergency. In the event of an economic collapse, you may not be able to shop for these supplies, so it’s important to have them on hand. Keep your supplies in a container that’s easy to carry in case you have to evacuate for some reason.
Include an extra set of car keys, blankets, matches, a multi-use tool, maps of the area, a flashlight, a battery-powered or hand-cranked radio, extra batteries, matches and a cell phone and chargers.
Have some household liquid bleach on hand for disinfecting.
Make copies of all important documents, such as proof of address, deed/lease to home, passports, birth certificates and insurance policies.
Have a list of family and emergency contact numbers, Include baby supplies such as baby food, formula, diapers and bottles.
Remember pet supplies like food, collars, leashes and food bowls.
5. Gather first aid and medical supplies. You can purchase a first aid kit or put one together yourself. Either way, make sure it has all of the necessary supplies. Include personal items such as medications for yourself and members of your family. Check the kit regularly to make sure nobody has used any of the supplies. Also, check the expiration dates and replace expired items.
Keep a first aid manual with your first aid kit.
Include dressings and bandages, such as adhesive bandages in various sizes, sterile gauze pads and a gauze roll, adhesive tape, elastic bandages and sterile cotton balls.
Add equipment and other supplies, like latex or non-latex gloves, instant cold packs, a thermometer, safety pins to fasten splints or bandages, tweezers, scissors and hand sanitizer.
Have medicines for cuts and injuries, such as antiseptic solution like hydrogen peroxide, antibiotic ointment, calamine lotion for stings or poison ivy, hydrocortisone cream for itching and an eyewash solution.
Include contact lens solution if necessary.
Other medicines to have include pain and fever medicines like aspirin, acetaminophen or ibuprofen, antihistamines for allergies, decongestants for colds, anti-nausea medicine, anti-diarrhea medicine, antacids and laxatives.

Method 3 Preserving Food.
1. Preserve meat and fish. In an economic collapse, food stores could become dangerously low. If you are going to stock up on meat and fish ahead of time, you will need to know how to cure it. This will allow it stay fresh and edible much longer. Also, it can be stored at room temperature. This will be helpful in the event of a power outage.
2. Salt cure meat. Salt curing means using salt to kill the microbes that would spoil it. For every 100 pounds of meat, you need 8 pounds of salt, 2 ounces of saltpeter and 3 pounds of sugar. Apply the cure mixture directly to the meat. For bacon, allow the meat to cure for 7 days per inch of thickness. For ham, leave the mixture on for a day and a half per pound. After curing, rub off the salt under running water and allow it to dry.
If the outdoor temperature is expected to rise above 40 degrees Fahrenheit, you will need to allow the meat to cure in a meat locker.
If the outdoor temperature is below freezing, allow an extra day for curing.
3. Smoke cure meat. Wood smoking meat not only adds flavor, but it also protects your meat from pests and spoilage. Cold smoking smokes the meat without cooking it. Hang the meat in a smoke house, light the fire and allow the meat to smoke for 10 to 20 hours. You can purchase a ready-made smoke house or plans to build your own.
Use aromatic woods to add flavor, such as hickory, mesquite, apple, cherry, pear or cranberry-apple.
Woods to avoid include all conifers, crape myrtle, hackberry, sycamore and holly.
4. Jerky meat. To make meat jerky, you can use a store-bought dehydrator. However, if you do not have one of those, you can do it in your oven by cooking it at a low temperature for several hours. Choose an inexpensive cut of meat, such as brisket. Trim the fat and slice thin strips against the grain. Season the meat with salt and pepper, and if desired, marinate it overnight with diluted barbecue sauce. Arrange the slices on a cooking grate, and put them in the oven at 170 degrees Fahrenheit for two to six hours.
Line your oven with foil for easy cleanup, Prop the oven door open with a wooden spoon to allow air to circulate.
Partially freeze meat before slicing to make it easier to slice.
5. Can fruits and vegetables. Canning involves heating food in a glass jar to remove the air and prevent spoilage. Choose from two methods to can food: water bath and pressure canning. The method you choose depends on the kind of food you want to can. Water bath canning is for jams, jellies and for acidic foods such as tomatoes, berries or cucumbers in vinegar. For main meal foods such as meat, beans and other vegetables, use pressure canning. To ensure safety, always use tried and true recipes.
6. Can with the water bath method. Gather a deep pot with a lid, a rack that fits into the pot, glass preserving jars, lids and bands and a jar lifter. Check the jars and lids for nicks and scratches which would prevent proper canning and allow spoilage to occur. Heat the jars in a pot of boiling water or in the dishwasher. Prepare your recipe and fill the hot jars with the food. Place the lids on the jars and immerse them in boiling water. Make sure the water covers the jars by 1 to 2 inches. Leave them in the water for the amount of time stated in the recipe. Remove the jars with a jar lifter and allow them to sit for 12 to 24 hours.
The lids should not flex up and down when pressed. If they do flex or if you can easily remove the lid, then the jar did not seal properly.
7. Can with pressure canning. You will need a store-bought pressure canner. As with water bath canning, check the jars for nicks and scratches, and heat them in boiling water or the dishwasher. Prepare the food according to your recipe and fill hot jars with the food. Place the jars in the canner and lock it in place. Vent the steam according to the manufacturer’s directions. Process the jars at the recommended pounds pressure stated in your recipe. Adjust for altitude. When done, remove the jars, allow them to sit for 12 to 24 hours and check the seals.

Method 4 Securing Your Home.
1. Choose your shelter type. A standalone shelter is a separate building that is designed to withstand natural disasters or man-made weapons or attacks. An internal shelter is a room within your home that has been designed to protect you from the elements or other hazards. In an economic collapse, power systems may fail and looters and scavengers may threaten your home. Take precautions to protect yourself.
2. Create two sources of electricity. One source could be solar. Hook it up to your home and then run the system discretely underground. The second source might be an underground generator. You will use this in the event of a total loss of power. Keep your energy sources hidden underground to protect them.
3. Choose the size of your shelter. The size of your shelter depends on how many people you need to protect and the size of your food stockpile. An adult needs 10 cups of water and 1,200 calories per day. In addition, each adult needs 10 cubic feet of natural atmosphere to have enough air to breathe, so you will need an air system that lets in and filters fresh air. If you are planning to stay in the shelter long-term, invest now in making it large and comfortable enough for everyone. If it is only going to be a short-term living space, you don’t have to make it as comfortable.
4. Keep the location of your shelter secret. Protect yourself from others who were not prepared and may want to take what you have. Don’t let your neighbors see you creating a shelter. You can choose a remote location, but it may be difficult to access it later. If you choose to make a safe room in your home, create a secret entrance from within your house. This way others will not be alerted to your shelter.
5. Purchase self-defense tools. Self-defense tools are generally non-lethal. They are used to fend off an attack by rendering the attacker ineffective. You can use everyday objects, such as baseball bats or keys. But these may not be as effective as tools designed for your protection.
Mace and pepper spray can be sprayed into an attacker’s face to give you time to get away.
Hand-held stun guns deliver a large electrical shock to stun the attacker.
Taser devices shoot two small probes a distance of up to 15 feet that transmit an electrical charge to the attacker.
Sonic alarms create a loud noise to let others know that you are in trouble.
6. Set up an alarm system in your home. Wireless security systems are easy and inexpensive to install and maintain. Home alert alarm systems notify you if an intruder is approaching your home. Hidden cameras allow you to see internal and exterior areas in your home where an intruder may be present. Phone dialing alarms can be installed inside or outside your home and allow you to contact authorities with the push of a button. Child monitoring alarms notify you if your child goes beyond a certain perimeter of your home.
7. Purchase weapons. Weapons can be used for either self-defense or for hunting. A crossbow is easy to shoot and aim. It’s also quiet, so it doesn’t alert people or animals to your presence. A long-range rifle allows you to hunt game from a distance. A machete can clear brush or fend off a dangerous animal. A slingshot is good for hunting small animals. Have pistols on hand and teach others to shoot, reload, shoot from cover and work as a team for protection. If you plan to have lethal weapons, be sure to train everyone who has access to them in the proper use of these weapons.
Stockpile appropriate ammunition and arrows for your weapons.
8. Gather necessary tools. Having the right tools on hand can make the difference between surviving and not surviving during any kind of disaster. You not only want to be able to protect your home, but you also need to be able to build anything you might need.
Have a bolt-cutter on hand to cut through fences and wire.
Picks, shovels, axes, chain saws and bow saws allow you dig and gather and cut wood.
Rope and paracords are essential for assembling simple and complex survival systems.
Tarps are necessary as ground covers or for weather-proofing, Stock pile nails and plywood for building and repairs.
Keep large trash bags for waste disposal, Have gasoline for fuel or a fire starter, Get a propane stove for cooking, Have a fishing rod for catching fish.

Method 5 Preparing Your Family.
1. Make sure everyone is aware of the situation. In order to prepare for economic collapse, you will have to make sure that your whole family is on board with your preparations. This means informing them in honest terms what is about to happen and telling them what they should be doing. Make sure everyone takes the situation seriously. Otherwise, they will not be mentally prepared in the event that economic collapse actually occurs.
2. Check that each family member is individually prepared. Inform each other family member of the steps you have taken to prepare your finances, essential supplies, food, and shelter. Instruct them on doing the same. Make sure each family member has also packed a bag of essentials that they can grab if they are forced to leave the house without notice. This bag should contain enough survival essentials to last between 72 hours and a week.
3. Train family members in survival skills. Your immediate family members should be aware of how to handle weapons safely, perform basic first aid, hunt or grow food, and maintain your shelter. If they don't already have these skills, take the time to instruct them thoroughly. You never know when you might have to depend on them.
4. Work with another family or group. In addition to your immediate family, consider including other family members, neighbors, or a community group (like a church group) in your preparations. Make sure that these are people who are reliable and will put in work for the benefit of the group. You will be safer and work more efficiently if you can increase the size of your group.

Method 6 Anticipating a Financial Crisis.
1. Monitor the financial markets. Calm markets tend to go up. But if the market gets choppy, meaning prices swing up and down considerably, it will likely decline. Don’t be fooled if he market soars for one day. Big ups and downs in the markets are a red flag signaling an overall decline.
2. Keep an eye on global 10 year bond yields. Global bonds are bonds that are issued in several countries at once by governments or large multi-national companies. When 10 year global bond yields drop, it is in indicator that investors are withdrawing their money to put it in safer investments. This happened before the financial crisis that happened in 2008. A significant drop in 10 year global bond yields means that investors think a financial crisis is coming.
3. Pay attention to oil prices. The fluctuation of oil prices has a macroeconomic impact. When oil prices increase, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) goes up too. The GDP is a quantitative measure of the nation’s total activity. If it is increasing, then the value of goods and services is also going up. If periods of high oil prices signal good times for the world economy, then the opposite is also true. If oil prices are on the decline, expect the GDP and the financial markets to also decline.
4. Understand the relationship between inflation and economic growth. Economic growth tends to lead to inflation. As demand increases, prices are driven up and unemployment falls. As unemployment falls, wages increase. As wages increase, people spend more, which leads to inflation of prices. Conversely, when economic activity slows down, so does inflation. Therefore, if the price of goods and services slows dramatically, it could signal a major downturn in the economy.
5. Monitor the price of commercial commodities. Commercial commodities are goods exchanged during commerce, such as gold, lumber, beef or natural gas. Changes in the prices of commodities affect the United States economy and the value of the U.S. dollar. An increase in commodity prices is correlated with an increase in inflation. Increased inflation correlates with economic growth. However, if commodity prices drop, inflation slows, which indicates economic decline.

Community Q&A.

Question : Where can I join a survival group to prepare for the potential economic collapse?
Answer : Facebook groups are the best place to start. Search for survival groups.
Question : Why would I pay off my debt first? If the economy collapses, my creditors' well being will take a backseat to my family's well being.
Answer : If you owe money to creditors, you would be putting your family at risk during such a time if you failed to keep paying back debts. Creditors are enabled by law to come and claim some of your assets if you have stopped paying them in order to protect your family's well being. In a time like this, assets are everything.
Question : Is an investment in gold and/or silver appropriate? If so, what are your recommendations, and why?
Answer : While gold used to be the standard for currency, it is still very valuable during recessions. Purchasing gold or silver can be a great way to diversify your investments.
Question : If I have a high car payment, and my IRA is large enough to pay off the vehicle, should I close the IRA and pay off the car?
Answer : Sell your expensive car and purchase an older, reliable vehicle with cash. One should never finance an item that depreciates in value, and keep your IRA.
Question : When is the economic collapse expected? In 2018 when bond yields drop?
Answer : No one really knows, but we can predict certain fluctuations (presidential elections or new terms, corporations moving out of the country, major world events, etc.) It's just best to be prepared for it with at minimum a month's supply of essentials.
Question : Should I get out of all stocks if preparing for economic collapse? Should I pay off my mortgage if I have the stock to do so?
Answer : No. Hedge your bets by keeping your portfolio 60% in stock index funds and 40% in bond index funds. I recommend Vanguard because of the low fees. Also, do not pay off your mortgage. You need cash flow. In a collapse, you will have the moral authority to defend your home with violence if necessary.
Question : With a low fixed rate mortgage, should I have my house paid off when the U.S. dollar crashes?
Answer : If you can, hold onto the cash needed to pay off your mortgage. When the dollar crashes, it won't be worth much for buying anything, but the bank still has to take it for your mortgage.
Question : What is the best way to reduce my losses on a savings account if the currency is devalued?
Answer : The best way is to not have a savings account at all. You have more liquidity keeping your money in your checking account. So take that money out of your savings account and open up another checking account with a debit card. Do not use it.

June 02, 2020

Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 3).

Ten Ways to Create Shareholder Value (part 3).

by Alfred Rappaport.

Principle 8.

Reward middle managers and frontline employees for delivering superior performance on the key value drivers that they influence directly.
Although sales growth, operating margins, and capital expenditures are useful financial indicators for tracking operating-unit SVA, they are too broad to provide much day-to-day guidance for middle managers and frontline employees, who need to know what specific actions they should take to increase SVA. For more specific measures, companies can develop leading indicators of value, which are quantifiable, easily communicated current accomplishments that frontline employees can influence directly and that significantly affect the long-term value of the business in a positive way. Examples might include time to market for new product launches, employee turnover rate, customer retention rate, and the timely opening of new stores or manufacturing facilities.

My own experience suggests that most businesses can focus on three to five leading indicators and capture an important part of their long-term value-creation potential. The process of identifying leading indicators can be challenging, but improving leading-indicator performance is the foundation for achieving superior SVA, which in turn serves to increase long-term shareholder returns.

Principle 9.

Require senior executives to bear the risks of ownership just as shareholders do.
For the most part, option grants have not successfully aligned the long-term interests of senior executives and shareholders because the former routinely cash out vested options. The ability to sell shares early may in fact motivate them to focus on near-term earnings results rather than on long-term value in order to boost the current stock price.

To better align these interests, many companies have adopted stock ownership guidelines for senior management. Minimum ownership is usually expressed as a multiple of base salary, which is then converted to a specified number of shares. For example, eBay’s guidelines require the CEO to own stock in the company equivalent to five times annual base salary. For other executives, the corresponding number is three times salary. Top managers are further required to retain a percentage of shares resulting from the exercise of stock options until they amass the stipulated number of shares.
But in most cases, stock ownership plans fail to expose executives to the same levels of risk that shareholders bear. One reason is that some companies forgive stock purchase loans when shares underperform, claiming that the arrangement no longer provides an incentive for top management. Such companies, just as those that reprice options, risk institutionalizing a pay delivery system that subverts the spirit and objectives of the incentive compensation program. Another reason is that outright grants of restricted stock, which are essentially options with an exercise price of $0, typically count as shares toward satisfaction of minimum ownership levels. Stock grants motivate key executives to stay with the company until the restrictions lapse, typically within three or four years, and they can cash in their shares. These grants create a strong incentive for CEOs and other top managers to play it safe, protect existing value, and avoid getting fired. Not surprisingly, restricted stock plans are commonly referred to as “pay for pulse,” rather than pay for performance.

In an effort to deflect the criticism that restricted stock plans are a giveaway, many companies offer performance shares that require not only that the executive remain on the payroll but also that the company achieve predetermined performance goals tied to EPS growth, revenue targets, or return-on-capital-employed thresholds. While performance shares do demand performance, it’s generally not the right kind of performance for delivering long-term value because the metrics are usually not closely linked to value.

Companies need to balance the benefits of requiring senior executives to hold continuing ownership stakes and the resulting restrictions on their liquidity and diversification.

Companies seeking to better align the interests of executives and shareholders need to find a proper balance between the benefits of requiring senior executives to have meaningful and continuing ownership stakes and the resulting restrictions on their liquidity and diversification. Without equity-based incentives, executives may become excessively risk averse to avoid failure and possible dismissal. If they own too much equity, however, they may also eschew risk to preserve the value of their largely undiversified portfolios. Extending the period before executives can unload shares from the exercise of options and not counting restricted stock grants as shares toward minimum ownership levels would certainly help equalize executives’ and shareholders’ risks.

Principle 10.

Provide investors with value-relevant information.
The final principle governs investor communications, such as a company’s financial reports. Better disclosure not only offers an antidote to short-term earnings obsession but also serves to lessen investor uncertainty and so potentially reduce the cost of capital and increase the share price.

One way to do this, as described in my article “The Economics of Short-Term Performance Obsession” in the May–June 2005 issue of Financial Analysts Journal, is to prepare a corporate performance statement. (See the exhibit “The Corporate Performance Statement” for a template.) This statement:

separates out cash flows and accruals, providing a historical baseline for estimating a company’s cash flow prospects and enabling analysts to evaluate how reasonable accrual estimates are;
classifies accruals with long cash-conversion cycles into medium and high levels of uncertainty;
provides a range and the most likely estimate for each accrual rather than traditional single-point estimates that ignore the wide variability of possible outcomes;
excludes arbitrary, value-irrelevant accruals, such as depreciation and amortization; and
details assumptions and risks for each line item while presenting key performance indicators that drive the company’s value.

Could such specific disclosure prove too costly? The reality is that executives in well-managed companies already use the type of information contained in a corporate performance statement. Indeed, the absence of such information should cause shareholders to question whether management has a comprehensive grasp of the business and whether the board is properly exercising its oversight responsibility. In the present unforgiving climate for accounting shenanigans, value-driven companies have an unprecedented opportunity to create value simply by improving the form and content of corporate reports.

The Rewards—and the Risks.
The crucial question, of course, is whether following these ten principles serves the long-term interests of shareholders. For most companies, the answer is a resounding yes. Just eliminating the practice of delaying or forgoing value-creating investments to meet quarterly earnings targets can make a significant difference. Further, exiting the earnings-management game of accelerating revenues into the current period and deferring expenses to future periods reduces the risk that, over time, a company will be unable to meet market expectations and trigger a meltdown in its stock. But the real payoff comes in the difference that a true shareholder-value orientation makes to a company’s long-term growth strategy.

For most organizations, value-creating growth is the strategic challenge, and to succeed, companies must be good at developing new, potentially disruptive businesses. Here’s why. The bulk of the typical company’s share price reflects expectations for the growth of current businesses. If companies meet those expectations, shareholders will earn only a normal return. But to deliver superior long-term returns—that is, to grow the share price faster than competitors’ share prices—management must either repeatedly exceed market expectations for its current businesses or develop new value-creating businesses. It’s almost impossible to repeatedly beat expectations for current businesses, because if you do, investors simply raise the bar. So the only reasonable way to deliver superior long-term returns is to focus on new business opportunities. (Of course, if a company’s stock price already reflects expectations with regard to new businesses—which it may do if management has a track record of delivering such value-creating growth—then the task of generating superior returns becomes daunting; it’s all managers can do to meet the expectations that exist.)

Value-creating growth is the strategic challenge, and to succeed, companies must be good at developing new, potentially disruptive businesses.

Companies focused on short-term performance measures are doomed to fail in delivering on a value-creating growth strategy because they are forced to concentrate on existing businesses rather than on developing new ones for the longer term. When managers spend too much time on core businesses, they end up with no new opportunities in the pipeline. And when they get into trouble—as they inevitably do—they have little choice but to try to pull a rabbit out of the hat. The dynamic of this failure has been very accurately described by Clay Christensen and Michael Raynor in their book The Innovator’s Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth (Harvard Business School Press, 2003). With a little adaptation, it plays out like this:

Despite a slowdown in growth and margin erosion in the company’s maturing core business, management continues to focus on developing it at the expense of launching new growth businesses.
Eventually, investments in the core can no longer produce the growth that investors expect, and the stock price takes a hit.
To revitalize the stock price, management announces a targeted growth rate that is well beyond what the core can deliver, thus introducing a larger growth gap.
Confronted with this gap, the company limits funding to projects that promise very large, very fast growth. Accordingly, the company refuses to fund new growth businesses that could ultimately fuel the company’s expansion but couldn’t get big enough fast enough.
Managers then respond with overly optimistic projections to gain funding for initiatives in large existing markets that are potentially capable of generating sufficient revenue quickly enough to satisfy investor expectations.
To meet the planned timetable for rollout, the company puts a sizable cost structure in place before realizing any revenues.
As revenue increases fall short and losses persist, the market again hammers the stock price and a new CEO is brought in to shore it up.
Seeing that the new growth business pipeline is virtually empty, the incoming CEO tries to quickly stem losses by approving only expenditures that bolster the mature core.
The company has now come full circle and has lost substantial shareholder value.
Companies that take shareholder value seriously avoid this self-reinforcing pattern of behavior. Because they do not dwell on the market’s near-term expectations, they don’t wait for the core to deteriorate before they invest in new growth opportunities. They are, therefore, more likely to become first movers in a market and erect formidable barriers to entry through scale or learning economies, positive network effects, or reputational advantages. Their management teams are forward-looking and sensitive to strategic opportunities. Over time, they get better than their competitors at seizing opportunities to achieve competitive advantage.
Although applying the ten principles will improve long-term prospects for many companies, a few will still experience problems if investors remain fixated on near-term earnings, because in certain situations a weak stock price can actually affect operating performance. The risk is particularly acute for companies such as high-tech start-ups, which depend heavily on a healthy stock price to finance growth and send positive signals to employees, customers, and suppliers. When share prices are depressed, selling new shares either prohibitively dilutes current shareholders’ stakes or, in some cases, makes the company unattractive to prospective investors. As a consequence, management may have to defer or scrap its value-creating growth plans. Then, as investors become aware of the situation, the stock price continues to slide, possibly leading to a takeover at a fire-sale price or to bankruptcy.

Severely capital-constrained companies can also be vulnerable, especially if labor markets are tight, customers are few, or suppliers are particularly powerful. A low share price means that these organizations cannot offer credible prospects of large stock-option or restricted-stock gains, which makes it difficult to attract and retain the talent whose knowledge, ideas, and skills have increasingly become a dominant source of value. From the perspective of customers, a low valuation raises doubts about the company’s competitive and financial strength as well as its ability to continue producing high-quality, leading-edge products and reliable postsale support. Suppliers and distributors may also react by offering less favorable contractual terms, or, if they sense an unacceptable probability of financial distress, they may simply refuse to do business with the company. In all cases, the company’s woes are compounded when lenders consider the performance risks arising from a weak stock price and demand higher interest rates and more restrictive loan terms.

Clearly, if a company is vulnerable in these respects, then responsible managers cannot afford to ignore market pressures for short-term performance, and adoption of the ten principles needs to be somewhat tempered. But the reality is that these extreme conditions do not apply to most established, publicly traded companies. Few rely on equity issues to finance growth. Most generate enough cash to pay their top employees well without resorting to equity incentives. Most also have a large universe of customers and suppliers to deal with, and there are plenty of banks after their business.

It’s time, therefore, for boards and CEOs to step up and seize the moment. The sooner you make your firm a level 10 company, the more you and your shareholders stand to gain. And what better moment than now for institutional investors to act on behalf of the shareholders and beneficiaries they represent and insist that long-term shareholder value become the governing principle for all the companies in their portfolios?

July 25, 2020

Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More.

Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More.

“In the chronicles of American financial history,” writes David Clark in The Tao of Charlie Munger: A Compilation of Quotes from Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman on Life, Business, and the Pursuit of Wealth, “Charlie Munger will be seen as the proverbial enigma wrapped in a paradox—he is both a mystery and a contradiction at the same time.”

On one hand, Munger received an elite education and it shows: He went to Cal Tech to train as a meteorologist for the Second World War and then attended Harvard Law School and eventually opened his own law firm. That part of his success makes sense.
Yet here’s a man who never took a single course in economics, business, marketing, finance, psychology, or accounting, and managed to become one of the greatest, most admired, and most honorable businessmen of our age. He was noted by essentially all observers for the originality of his thoughts, especially about business and human behavior. You don’t learn that in law school, at Harvard or anywhere else.
Bill Gates said of him: “He is truly the broadest thinker I have ever encountered.” His business partner Warren Buffett put it another way: “He comes equipped for rationality… I would say that to try and typecast Charlie in terms of any other human that I can think of, no one would fit. He’s got his own mold.”
How does such an extreme result happen? How is such an original and unduly capable mind formed? In the case of Munger, it’s clearly a combination of unusual genetics and an unusual approach to learning and life.
While we can’t have his genetics, we can try to steal his approach to rationality. There’s almost no limit to the amount one could learn from studying the Munger mind, so let’s at least start with a rundown of some of his best ideas.


Wisdom and Circles of Competence.
“Knowing what you don’t know is more useful than being brilliant.”
“Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom.”
Identify your circle of competence and use your knowledge, when possible, to stay away from things you don’t understand. There are no points for difficulty at work or in life.  Avoiding stupidity is easier than seeking brilliance.
Of course this principle relates to another of Munger’s sayings: “People are trying to be smart—all I am trying to do is not to be idiotic, but it’s harder than most people think.”
And this reminds me of perhaps my favorite Mungerism of all time, the very quote that sits right beside my desk:
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.”

Divergence.
“Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean.”
Here’s a simple axiom to live by: If you do what everyone else does, you’re going to get the same results that everyone else gets. This means that, taking out luck (good or bad), if you act average, you’re going to be average. If you want to move away from average, you must diverge. You must be different. And if you want to outperform others, you must be different and correct. As Munger would say, “How could it be otherwise?”

Know When to Fold ’Em.
“Life, in part, is like a poker game, wherein you have to learn to quit sometimes when holding a much-loved hand—you must learn to handle mistakes and new facts that change the odds.”
Mistakes are an opportunity to grow. How we handle adversity is up to us. This is how we become personally antifragile.

False Models.
Echoing Einstein, who said that “Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts,” Munger said this about his and Buffett’s shift to acquiring high-quality businesses for Berkshire Hathaway:
“Once we’d gotten over the hurdle of recognizing that a thing could be a bargain based on quantitative measures that would have horrified Graham, we started thinking about better businesses.”

Being Lazy.
“Sit on your ass. You’re paying less to brokers, you’re listening to less nonsense, and if it works, the tax system gives you an extra one, two, or three percentage points per annum.”
Time is a friend to a good business and the enemy of the poor business. It’s also the friend of knowledge and the enemy of the new and novel. As Seneca said, “Time discovers truth.”

Investing Is a Perimutuel System.
“You’re looking for a mispriced gamble,” says Munger. “That’s what investing is. And you have to know enough to know whether the gamble is mispriced. That’s value investing.”  At another time, he added: “You should remember that good ideas are rare— when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet heavily.”
May the odds forever be in your favor. Actually, learning properly is one way you can tilt the odds in your favor.

Focus.
When asked about his success, Munger says, “I succeeded because I have a long attention span.”
Long attention spans allow for a deep understanding of subjects. When combined with deliberate practice, focus allows you to increase your skills and get out of your rut. The Art of Focus is a divergent and correct strategy that can help you identify where the leverage points are and apply your efforts toward them.

Fake Knowledge.
“Smart people aren’t exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence.”
We’re so used to outsourcing our thinking to others that we’ve forgotten what it’s like to really understand something from all perspectives. We’ve forgotten just how much work that takes. The path of least resistance, however, is just a click away. Fake knowledge, which comes from reading headlines and skimming the news, seems harmless, but it’s not. It makes us overconfident. It’s better to remember a simple trick: anything you’re getting easily through Google or Twitter is likely to be widely known and should not be given undue weight.
However, Munger adds, “If people weren’t wrong so often, we wouldn’t be so rich.”

Sit Quietly.
Echoing Pascal, who said some version of “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone,” Munger adds an investing twist: “It’s waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait.”
The ability to be alone with your thoughts and turn ideas over and over, without giving in to Do Something syndrome, affects so many of us. A perfectly reasonable option is to hold your ground and await more information.

Deal With Reality.
“I think that one should recognize reality even when one doesn’t like it; indeed, especially when one doesn’t like it.”
Munger clearly learned from Joseph Tussman’s wisdom. This means facing harsh truths that you might prefer to ignore. It means meeting the world on the world’s terms, not according to how you wish it would be. If this causes temporary pain, so be it. “Your pain,” writes Kahil Gibran in The Prophet, “is the breaking of the shell that encloses your understanding.”

There Is No Free Lunch.
We like quick solutions that don’t require a lot of effort. We’re drawn to the modern equivalent of an old hustler selling an all-curing tonic. However, the world does not work that way. Munger expands:
“There isn’t a single formula. You need to know a lot about business and human nature and the numbers… It is unreasonable to expect that there is a magic system that will do it for you.”
Acquiring knowledge is hard work. It’s reading and adding to your knowledge so it compounds. It’s going deep and developing fluency, something Darwin knew well.

Maximization/Minimization.
“In business we often find that the winning system goes almost ridiculously far in maximizing and or minimizing one or a few variables—like the discount warehouses of Costco.”
When everything is a priority, nothing is a priority. Attempting to maximize competing variables is a recipe for disaster. Picking one variable and relentlessly focusing on it, which is an effective strategy, diverges from the norm. It’s hard to compete with businesses that have correctly identified the right variables to maximize or minimize. When you focus on one variable, you’ll increase the odds that you’re quick and nimble — and can respond to changes in the terrain.

Map and Terrain.
“At Berkshire there has never been a master plan. Anyone who wanted to do it, we fired because it takes on a life of its own and doesn’t cover new reality. We want people taking into account new information.”
Plans are maps that we become attached to. Once we’ve told everyone there is a plan and what that plan is, especially multi-year plans, we’re psychologically more likely to stick to it because coming out and changing it would be admitting we were wrong. This makes it harder for us to change our strategies when we need to, so we’re stacking the odds against ourselves. Detailed five-year plans (that will clearly be wrong) are as disastrous as overly general five-year plans (which can never be wrong).
Scrap the plan, isolate the key variables that you need to maximize and minimize, and follow the agile path blazed by Henry Singleton and followed by Buffett and Munger.

The Keys to Good Government.
There are three keys: honesty, effectiveness, and efficiency. Munger says:
“In a democracy, everyone takes turns. But if you really want a lot of wisdom, it’s better to concentrate decisions and process in one person. It’s no accident that Singapore has a much better record, given where it started, than the United States. There, power was concentrated in an enormously talented person, Lee Kuan Yew, who was the Warren Buffett of Singapore.”
Lee Kuan Yew put it this way: “With few exceptions, democracy has not brought good government to new developing countries. … What Asians value may not necessarily be what Americans or Europeans value. Westerners value the freedoms and liberties of the individual. As an Asian of Chinese cultural background, my values are for a government which is honest, effective, and efficient.”

One Step At a Time.
“Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up. Discharge your duties faithfully and well. Slug it out one inch at a time, day by day. At the end of the day—if you live long enough—most people get what they deserve.”
An incremental approach to life reminds one of the nature of compounding. There will always be someone going faster than you, but you can learn from the Darwinian guide to overachieving your natural IQ. In order for this approach to be effective, you need a long axis of time as well as continuous incremental progress.

Getting Rich.
“The desire to get rich fast is pretty dangerous.”
Getting rich is a function of being happy with what you have, spending less than you make, and time.

Mental Models.
“Know the big ideas in the big disciplines and use them routinely—all of them, not just a few.”
Mental models are the big ideas from multiple disciplines. While most people agree that these are worth knowing, they often think they can identify which models will add the most value, and in so doing they miss something important. There is a reason that the “know-nothing” index fund almost always beats the investors who think they know. Understanding this idea in greater detail will change a lot of things, including how you read. Acquiring the big ideas — without selectivity — is the way to mimic a know-nothing index fund.

Know-it-alls.
“I try to get rid of people who always confidently answer questions about which they don’t have any real knowledge.”
Few things have made as much of a difference in my life as systemically removing (and when that’s not possible, reducing the importance of) people who think they know the answer to everything.

Stoic Resolve.
“There’s no way that you can live an adequate life without many mistakes. In fact, one trick in life is to get so you can handle mistakes. Failure to handle psychological denial is a common way for people to go broke.”
While we all make mistakes, it’s how we respond to failure that defines us.


Thinking.
“We all are learning, modifying, or destroying ideas all the time. Rapid destruction of your ideas when the time is right is one of the most valuable qualities you can acquire. You must force yourself to consider arguments on the other side.”
“It’s bad to have an opinion you’re proud of if you can’t state the arguments for the other side better than your opponents. This is a great mental discipline.”
Thinking is a lot of work. “My first thought,” William Deresiewicz said in one of my favorite speeches, “is never my best thought. My first thought is always someone else’s; it’s always what I’ve already heard about the subject, always the conventional wisdom.”

Choose Your Associates Wisely.
“Oh, it’s just so useful dealing with people you can trust and getting all the others the hell out of your life. It ought to be taught as a catechism. … [W]ise people want to avoid other people who are just total rat poison, and there are a lot of them.”

August 07, 2020

How to Finance a Business

How to Finance a Business.

When it's time to finance a business, there can be substantial work involved to facilitate this step. Every small business is different, and businesses in different industries and sectors have different ways of going about getting credit. There are various costs which widely range over the span of particular sectors. However, for the core process of securing the financial assistance that a business owner needs for a start up, some basic guidelines and principles will help create effective programs and a solvent business model. Estimate the costs of doing business, find out what you need to borrow money, and then research your financing options.





Estimating Costs of Your Business.



Determine the one-time costs of your business. These are costs that will only occur at the very beginning of opening your business. These include mileage (getting to a location), market research, advertising, and training. You will also need to look up any fees which will occur, such as a lawyer or consultant fee.



Calculate the recurring costs of your business. These are costs that you will have to pay over and over again, usually on a weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly basis. These include costs of utilities, insurance, wages, etc. Recurring costs are generally larger than one-time costs, and span a length of 10-30 years depending on your financing options. Calculate not only the total cost over the lifespan of your business, but also that on a yearly, and bi-yearly basis.



Ascertain whether costs are fixed, or variable. Fixed costs are those which will not change. The cost of your utilities, or your administrative costs are all fixed. Variable costs are those which will change over time. This includes wages, insurance, and shipping/packaging costs. The best way to keep all this information organized is to create a spreadsheet (use Excel). That way you can graph out this information, and view it multiple ways(bar graph, line chart, etc.).



Create a balance sheet. If you are just starting a small business, it is important that you write out balance sheets, which include: assets, liabilities, and equity. Each of these three categories will help you keep track of the finances of your business, and make it easier to pay your bills.

Assets = current assets(cash, accounts receivable, notes receivable, inventory) + fixed assets(land, building, machinery, furniture, improvements) + intangibles(research, patents, charity, organizational expense)

Liabilities = current liabilities(accounts payable, accrued expenses, notes payable, current long-term debt) + non-current liabilities(non-current long-term debt, notes payable to shareholders and owners, contingent liabilities)

Equity = Assets - Liabilities



Develop a cash flow analysis. This measures money which goes in and out of your business. This is then broken down into operational activities, investment activities, and financing activities. This analysis will help you determine when you break even, and can start reinvesting/expanding your business. Once more, the best way to do this is to create a spread sheet. Find all of your financial statements and gather them together before you start to analyze.

Operational = net income, loses of business, sales, and business expenditures.

Investment = purchases and sales of property, assets, securities, and equipment.

Financing = cash flows of all your loan borrowing and repayment.







Borrowing Money for Your Business.



Use equity financing to start your business. Equity financing usually comes from a primary investor, or other business. They will provide you a sum of money, in exchange for part-ownership of your company. This is a good option because investors look further down the road than a loan company, and you will have more money on hand. However, the investors will naturally want to interfere, and change aspects of your business model.

There are networks online which can set you up with a primary investor.

You can also check out private equity firms, which contain a vast array of specialized and experienced investors.

Remember, that small business owners generally use very little equity financing. It all depends on your business model, and the potential for growth.



Start your business using debt financing. Debt financing is when you take out a loan, usually from a bank or lending institution. This is a great option because the bank will have no say in how you run your business. The loan is tax deductible, and you can get short-term or long-term loans. However, you must have the loan repaid in a certain amount of time, and if you don't, you could have a hard time getting capital investment.

Talk to your local bank, or lending institution about the qualifications for specific loans. You will probably have to fill out some paperwork to determine whether or not you are qualified.

When using a local bank, you may be able to set up a personal relationship. This way, you can postpone a few payments if you fall on hard times.



Find out about credit scores and ratings. The higher your score is, the less risky you are to investors. In many cases, the initial business loan will be based on the borrower's own personal credit score. However, in some cases where a business is already operational, a business plan and other documents can provide for a different kind of credit specifically for the continued operations of that enterprise.

Use the online company TransUnion or EquiFax to determine your credit score. It is important to get an independent analysis, otherwise your own calculated score could be biased.

The main focus of the score is how long you have maintained a credit line, and how many monthly payments you have made on time.

If you have no prior experience taking out credit, it may be hard to get a loan. It is best to start using a credit card on small things like gas, or grocery store trips. Then gradually build up. Show the creditors you are a responsible client.[12]



Maintain an adequate debt to equity ratio. You want to make sure that the total debt and liabilities of your business is no more than four times the equity in the business. Equity simply means any retained earnings and cash injections by investors. In order to start out with equity, the owner of the business usually has to put in anywhere from 20-40%. This will maintain an adequate debt to equity ratio, and allow you to get a loan.



Put up collateral to start your business. Before you get a loan, the lending institution or bank will ask for collateral. This means you risk some of the items you own. In the case you cannot repay the loan, the bank can seize your property. Collateral usually includes homes, cars, furniture, equipment, stocks, bonds, etc. this is a scary proposition, so you need to be sure that your business will be financially successful beforehand.



Shop around for different lenders. There are a variety of lenders who may or may not be willing to issue new business loans, and all of these potential lenders have their own terms and conditions. Talk to various lenders and ask them about what kinds of loans are available. Evaluate loans by timeline. Lenders will offer various short-term, long-term or revolving-credit loans to business owners. Look at which ones suit the needs of a startup the best.

Look at secured and unsecured business loans. Secured loans actually use existing assets as collateral. For example, the person trying to start a business can use his or her home, or other property, as collateral and get lower interest rates for the loan. However, this leaves the assets vulnerable to seizure in cases of nonpayment. Unsecured loans rest solely on the borrower's credit score. See which of these types of loans best matches desired risk.

Select the best deals. You want a loan that has the lowest interest rates and most favorable terms for repayment.









Financing Your Business.



Get a bank loan. Small, local banks have received more strict standards after the financial crash of 2008. However, large investment banks such as JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America have received a set of moneys from the Federal Reserve to lend out to small businesses. This is your best option to go with, although it takes the long to pay off. Local banks will set you up with a contract, and a monthly payment. The other benefit is that you can get this loan postponed if you are having trouble paying it off.



Place your home up as collateral. Banks will generally allow you to borrow up to 75-80% of your home's worth, as long as you have at least 10-15% already down on your home. This is great because the loan will have a much lower interest rate than a credit card. Talk with your financier, or local mortgage company for more detailed information.



Use your credit card. This is a very dangerous game to be played. You need to stay on top of your monthly payments. If you fall behind, you get trapped in a death spiral. However, when carefully managed, credit cards can be great to get out of an emergency. Only use a credit card occasionally, when you are experiencing a hole you know that you can get out of.



Tap into your 401(k) plan. You will need a financial expert who can start up a C Corporation which you can then roll your retirement assets into. This is also a risky business, because you are tapping into your nest egg. This should only be done if you have more money put away in a savings account, or if you are independently wealthy.



Try loaning money from your friends and family. Ask who would be willing to make a contribution, or purchase a percentage of the company. Go about asking members of your church for donations. Let local businesses to partner with you. You might make some acquaintances, and make some deals (you make cheese, they make wine, a chance to exchange).



Pledge your future earnings. Some companies, or peoples, are willing to gamble and put money upfront, if you are willing to commit a certain percentage of future profits. This is a gamble because they, and you, are betting that you will be able to earn enough in the future. There is usually a contract involved, guaranteeing that they will at least get some money back, so keep that in mind.



Kickstart your business. Crowd funding, in the age of the internet, has become a very popular way to finance businesses. Write a description of your business idea online, at sites like Kickstarter, and convince people to donate to your business. You will want to be really descriptive, and excited in your word choice. The downside of this is that it could take months or years before you raise enough money.



Secure an SBA loan. SBA (Small Business Administration) is a branch of the Federal Government that supplies loans to businesses struggling to get off the ground. However, there are a number of qualifications. You had to have been denied a loan from another bank before. You have to meet the government's definition of a small business. You will also have to meet other restrictions, depending on the type of SBA loan. Go to the SBA's website, and fill out a form if you think you might meet these qualifications.



Attract an angel investor. These are wealthy individuals who like to bet on the financial success of start-up businesses. Angel investors are usually found at private-equity, and venture capital firms. You will want to bring someone older, who looks like he has had experience in business before. Be passionate about your idea when you present, and know all of the financial details before you walk in the room. Keep in contact with the investor days and weeks after your initial meeting.





Tips.

Talk to numerous lending institutions before you pick a loan. Some will have better interest rates, while others will have better repayments.

Consult with family members first. Getting a small loan from them can avoid dealing with greedy credit lenders.

Get some experience in the business before you start your own. If you want to start a restaurant, make sure you have worked in a restaurant before. If not, you will wind up purchasing outside help which will cost you astronomical amounts of money.



Warnings.

Talk to a lawyer and a financial advisor to avoid colossal mistakes. The biggest regret of many first-time small business owners is not consulting with a professional before they begin the process.

If you are a person living paycheck-to-paycheck, it is best to wait to start a small business. If the business goes down hill quickly, you could lose your assets, and your life savings.

Take a year to save up money and make a detailed plan. You do not want to go into small business owning head first.

November 13, 2019

how to finance a business well

How to Finance a Business.

When it's time to finance a business, there can be substantial work involved to facilitate this step. Every small business is different, and businesses in different industries and sectors have different ways of going about getting credit. There are various costs which widely range over the span of particular sectors. However, for the core process of securing the financial assistance that a business owner needs for a start up, some basic guidelines and principles will help create effective programs and a solvent business model. Estimate the costs of doing business, find out what you need to borrow money, and then research your financing options.





Estimating Costs of Your Business.



Determine the one-time costs of your business. These are costs that will only occur at the very beginning of opening your business. These include mileage (getting to a location), market research, advertising, and training. You will also need to look up any fees which will occur, such as a lawyer or consultant fee.



Calculate the recurring costs of your business. These are costs that you will have to pay over and over again, usually on a weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly basis. These include costs of utilities, insurance, wages, etc. Recurring costs are generally larger than one-time costs, and span a length of 10-30 years depending on your financing options. Calculate not only the total cost over the lifespan of your business, but also that on a yearly, and bi-yearly basis.



Ascertain whether costs are fixed, or variable. Fixed costs are those which will not change. The cost of your utilities, or your administrative costs are all fixed. Variable costs are those which will change over time. This includes wages, insurance, and shipping/packaging costs. The best way to keep all this information organized is to create a spreadsheet (use Excel). That way you can graph out this information, and view it multiple ways(bar graph, line chart, etc.).



Create a balance sheet. If you are just starting a small business, it is important that you write out balance sheets, which include: assets, liabilities, and equity. Each of these three categories will help you keep track of the finances of your business, and make it easier to pay your bills.

Assets = current assets(cash, accounts receivable, notes receivable, inventory) + fixed assets(land, building, machinery, furniture, improvements) + intangibles(research, patents, charity, organizational expense)

Liabilities = current liabilities(accounts payable, accrued expenses, notes payable, current long-term debt) + non-current liabilities(non-current long-term debt, notes payable to shareholders and owners, contingent liabilities)

Equity = Assets - Liabilities



Develop a cash flow analysis. This measures money which goes in and out of your business. This is then broken down into operational activities, investment activities, and financing activities. This analysis will help you determine when you break even, and can start reinvesting/expanding your business. Once more, the best way to do this is to create a spread sheet. Find all of your financial statements and gather them together before you start to analyze.

Operational = net income, loses of business, sales, and business expenditures.

Investment = purchases and sales of property, assets, securities, and equipment.

Financing = cash flows of all your loan borrowing and repayment.







Borrowing Money for Your Business.



Use equity financing to start your business. Equity financing usually comes from a primary investor, or other business. They will provide you a sum of money, in exchange for part-ownership of your company. This is a good option because investors look further down the road than a loan company, and you will have more money on hand. However, the investors will naturally want to interfere, and change aspects of your business model.

There are networks online which can set you up with a primary investor.

You can also check out private equity firms, which contain a vast array of specialized and experienced investors.

Remember, that small business owners generally use very little equity financing. It all depends on your business model, and the potential for growth.



Start your business using debt financing. Debt financing is when you take out a loan, usually from a bank or lending institution. This is a great option because the bank will have no say in how you run your business. The loan is tax deductible, and you can get short-term or long-term loans. However, you must have the loan repaid in a certain amount of time, and if you don't, you could have a hard time getting capital investment.

Talk to your local bank, or lending institution about the qualifications for specific loans. You will probably have to fill out some paperwork to determine whether or not you are qualified.

When using a local bank, you may be able to set up a personal relationship. This way, you can postpone a few payments if you fall on hard times.



Find out about credit scores and ratings. The higher your score is, the less risky you are to investors. In many cases, the initial business loan will be based on the borrower's own personal credit score. However, in some cases where a business is already operational, a business plan and other documents can provide for a different kind of credit specifically for the continued operations of that enterprise.

Use the online company TransUnion or EquiFax to determine your credit score. It is important to get an independent analysis, otherwise your own calculated score could be biased.

The main focus of the score is how long you have maintained a credit line, and how many monthly payments you have made on time.

If you have no prior experience taking out credit, it may be hard to get a loan. It is best to start using a credit card on small things like gas, or grocery store trips. Then gradually build up. Show the creditors you are a responsible client.[12]



Maintain an adequate debt to equity ratio. You want to make sure that the total debt and liabilities of your business is no more than four times the equity in the business. Equity simply means any retained earnings and cash injections by investors. In order to start out with equity, the owner of the business usually has to put in anywhere from 20-40%. This will maintain an adequate debt to equity ratio, and allow you to get a loan.



Put up collateral to start your business. Before you get a loan, the lending institution or bank will ask for collateral. This means you risk some of the items you own. In the case you cannot repay the loan, the bank can seize your property. Collateral usually includes homes, cars, furniture, equipment, stocks, bonds, etc. this is a scary proposition, so you need to be sure that your business will be financially successful beforehand.



Shop around for different lenders. There are a variety of lenders who may or may not be willing to issue new business loans, and all of these potential lenders have their own terms and conditions. Talk to various lenders and ask them about what kinds of loans are available. Evaluate loans by timeline. Lenders will offer various short-term, long-term or revolving-credit loans to business owners. Look at which ones suit the needs of a startup the best.

Look at secured and unsecured business loans. Secured loans actually use existing assets as collateral. For example, the person trying to start a business can use his or her home, or other property, as collateral and get lower interest rates for the loan. However, this leaves the assets vulnerable to seizure in cases of nonpayment. Unsecured loans rest solely on the borrower's credit score. See which of these types of loans best matches desired risk.

Select the best deals. You want a loan that has the lowest interest rates and most favorable terms for repayment.









Financing Your Business.



Get a bank loan. Small, local banks have received more strict standards after the financial crash of 2008. However, large investment banks such as JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America have received a set of moneys from the Federal Reserve to lend out to small businesses. This is your best option to go with, although it takes the long to pay off. Local banks will set you up with a contract, and a monthly payment. The other benefit is that you can get this loan postponed if you are having trouble paying it off.



Place your home up as collateral. Banks will generally allow you to borrow up to 75-80% of your home's worth, as long as you have at least 10-15% already down on your home. This is great because the loan will have a much lower interest rate than a credit card. Talk with your financier, or local mortgage company for more detailed information.



Use your credit card. This is a very dangerous game to be played. You need to stay on top of your monthly payments. If you fall behind, you get trapped in a death spiral. However, when carefully managed, credit cards can be great to get out of an emergency. Only use a credit card occasionally, when you are experiencing a hole you know that you can get out of.



Tap into your 401(k) plan. You will need a financial expert who can start up a C Corporation which you can then roll your retirement assets into. This is also a risky business, because you are tapping into your nest egg. This should only be done if you have more money put away in a savings account, or if you are independently wealthy.



Try loaning money from your friends and family. Ask who would be willing to make a contribution, or purchase a percentage of the company. Go about asking members of your church for donations. Let local businesses to partner with you. You might make some acquaintances, and make some deals (you make cheese, they make wine, a chance to exchange).



Pledge your future earnings. Some companies, or peoples, are willing to gamble and put money upfront, if you are willing to commit a certain percentage of future profits. This is a gamble because they, and you, are betting that you will be able to earn enough in the future. There is usually a contract involved, guaranteeing that they will at least get some money back, so keep that in mind.



Kickstart your business. Crowd funding, in the age of the internet, has become a very popular way to finance businesses. Write a description of your business idea online, at sites like Kickstarter, and convince people to donate to your business. You will want to be really descriptive, and excited in your word choice. The downside of this is that it could take months or years before you raise enough money.



Secure an SBA loan. SBA (Small Business Administration) is a branch of the Federal Government that supplies loans to businesses struggling to get off the ground. However, there are a number of qualifications. You had to have been denied a loan from another bank before. You have to meet the government's definition of a small business. You will also have to meet other restrictions, depending on the type of SBA loan. Go to the SBA's website, and fill out a form if you think you might meet these qualifications.



Attract an angel investor. These are wealthy individuals who like to bet on the financial success of start-up businesses. Angel investors are usually found at private-equity, and venture capital firms. You will want to bring someone older, who looks like he has had experience in business before. Be passionate about your idea when you present, and know all of the financial details before you walk in the room. Keep in contact with the investor days and weeks after your initial meeting.





Tips.

Talk to numerous lending institutions before you pick a loan. Some will have better interest rates, while others will have better repayments.

Consult with family members first. Getting a small loan from them can avoid dealing with greedy credit lenders.

Get some experience in the business before you start your own. If you want to start a restaurant, make sure you have worked in a restaurant before. If not, you will wind up purchasing outside help which will cost you astronomical amounts of money.



Warnings.

Talk to a lawyer and a financial advisor to avoid colossal mistakes. The biggest regret of many first-time small business owners is not consulting with a professional before they begin the process.

If you are a person living paycheck-to-paycheck, it is best to wait to start a small business. If the business goes down hill quickly, you could lose your assets, and your life savings.

Take a year to save up money and make a detailed plan. You do not want to go into small business owning head first.

November 12, 2019