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How Bitcoin Disrupts the Finance Industry .

Cryptocurrencies and their underlying blockchain technology are being touted as the next-big-thing after the creation of the internet. One area where these technologies are likely to have a major impact is the financial sector. The blockchain, as a form of distributed ledger technology (DLT), has the potential to transform well-established financial institutions and bring lower costs, faster execution of transactions, improved transparency, auditability of operations, and other benefits. Cryptocurrencies hold the promise of a new native digital asset class without a central authority.

So what do these technological developments mean for the various players in the sector and end users? “Blockchains have the potential to displace any business activity built on transactions occurring on traditional corporate databases, which is what underlies nearly every financial service function. Any financial operation that has low transparency and limited traceability is vulnerable to disruption by blockchain applications. DLT is therefore both a great opportunity and also a disruptive threat,” according to Bruce Weber, dean of Lerner College and business administration professor, and Andrew Novocin, professor of electrical and computer engineering, both at the University of Delaware.

Earlier this year, Weber, Novocin, and graduate student Jonathan Wood conducted a literature review on cryptocurrencies and DLT for the SWIFT Institute. Based on this review, the SWIFT institute recently issued a grant to conduct new research on DLT and cryptocurrencies in the financial sector. Weber and Novocin noted that just as disruptors like Amazon, Google, Facebook and Uber built software platforms and thriving businesses thanks to the connectivity provided by internet standards, next-generation startups will build new services and businesses with blockchains. “Many pundits expect blockchain, as a distributed technology, to become the foundation for new services and applications that have completely different rules from those running on hierarchical and controlled databases. Cryptocurrencies are an early example but many others will follow,” they added.

Kartik Hosanagar, a Wharton professor of marketing and operations, information and decisions, pointed out that the financial services sector is full of intermediaries such as banks that help create trust among transacting parties like lenders and borrowers. Blockchain, he said, is a mechanism to create trust without centralized control. “The power of eliminating intermediaries is the ability to lower transaction costs and take back control from powerful financial intermediaries.”

Regarding cryptocurrencies, Hosanagar pointed out that most of the value today is tied to speculative buying rather than actual use cases. But having a currency without a central authority offers “certain unique kinds of protections especially in countries with troubled central banks.” For example, Venezuela’s currency is rapidly losing value. For people who stored their savings in crypto, there was greater protection against such rapid currency devaluations. “Of course, cryptocurrencies have their own instabilities, but they aren’t tied to actions by central banks and that’s particularly relevant in countries and economies where citizens don’t trust their governments and central banks,” he said.

“Any financial operation that has low transparency and limited traceability is vulnerable to disruption by blockchain applications.”–Bruce Weber and Andrew Novocin

Hosanagar expects the first wave of applications to be rolled out in “private” blockchains where a central authority such as a financial institution and its partners are the only ones with the permission to participate (as opposed to public, permissionless blockchains where participants are anonymous and there is no central authority). Applications in the private blockchains, he said, will be more secure and will offer some of the benefits of decentralized ledgers but will not be radically different from the way things work at present. However, over time, he expects smart contracts (self-executing contracts when requirements are met) to be offered on public blockchain networks like Ethereum. “When securities are traded, intermediaries provide trust, and they charge commissions. Blockchains can help provide such trust in a low-cost manner. But trade of securities is governed by securities laws. Smart contracts offer a way to ensure compliance with the laws. They have great potential because of their ability to reduce costs while being compliant,” says Hosanagar.

According to Weber and Novocin, one area ripe for transformation is reaching consensus on important benchmark rates and prices. At present, they point out, different proprietary indexes are used to determine interest rates and the price of many mainstream assets. Blockchain can transform this. “Think of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and the recent scandals involving manipulation of benchmark values when they are controlled by a single entity that may not be capable of detecting false or fraudulent data. Blockchain could provide greater transparency around the process of creating agreed upon reference prices, and allow more people to participate in the consensus process.”

Weber and Novocin expect that in some areas intermediaries will find their roles reduced as blockchain allows for automation through greater transparency and traceability. In other areas, intermediaries will find themselves well-placed to take advantage of changing needs of their clients, as firms will need help to manage the shift to new standards as well as the greater complexity of open and traceable blockchain infrastructure. Intermediaries in areas that could potentially be disrupted, they said, “should get involved with projects seeking to set the standards, so that they can stay informed and position themselves to profit from becoming the leaders in the operations of the new markets that will emerge.”

Kevin Werbach, Wharton professor of legal studies and business ethics, and author of a forthcoming book The Blockchain and the New Architecture of Trust,  said that it’s usually not helpful to focus on what aspects of a major existing market will be “transformed” or “disrupted” by new technologies. Important technologies, he said, are far more likely to be integrated into the system than replace it. According to Werbach, while some firms will fail to make the transition and some new ones will take hold, “over the long-run, virtually every historic innovation that eliminated some forms of intermediation also created new forms.”

Blockchain will reduce the massive duplication of information that creates delays, conflicts and confusion in many aspects of financial services, Werbach added. For example, when a syndicate of lenders participates in a loan, having one shared ledger means they don’t all need to keep track of it independently. International payments and corporate stock records are other examples where there are huge inefficiencies due to duplicate record-keeping and intermediaries. “End users won’t see the changes in the deep plumbing of financial services, but it will allow new service providers to emerge and new products to be offered,” said Werbach.

Bumps Along the Way

Angela Walch, professor of law at St. Mary’s University School of Law and a research fellow at the Centre for Blockchain Technologies at University College London, offered another perspective. She said there is a lot of excitement about blockchain as a distributed ledger technology for the financial sector because many believe that it offers a better, more efficient and more resilient form of recordkeeping. However, making use of the blockchain is not as simple as just buying new software and running it. “Blockchain technology is, at core, group recordkeeping. To reap its full benefits, one needs all the relevant members of the group to join the system. This requires collaboration with and across businesses, which is a potentially big hurdle, and may be the hurdle that most limits adoption.”

Governance is the biggest challenge in decentralized organizations, said Weber and Novocin. Members participating in a blockchain-supported financial function may have misaligned incentives, and can end up in gridlock, or with a chaotic outcome. They cite the example of the ‘DAO Hack,’ which was the first prominent smart contract project on the Ethereum network to suffer a large loss of funds. The Ethereum community voted to conduct a hard fork (a radical change to the protocol that makes previously invalid blocks/transactions valid or vice-versa) — reversing the transactions after the hack and essentially refunding the DAO investors. This was in effect a breach of Ethereum’s immutability and it left a sizeable minority of the community bitterly dissatisfied. This group viewed the Ethereum community as forsaking its commitment to immutable, permanent records. They refused to acknowledge the hard fork, and maintained the original Ethereum blockchain, now known as Ethereum Classic (whereas the forked version supported by the Ethereum Foundation is simply Ethereum).

“The power of eliminating intermediaries is the ability to lower transaction costs and take back control from powerful financial intermediaries.”–Kartik Hosanagar

“Distributed organizations serving an open community need to take care to design their governance systems, incentive structures and decision-making processes to create consensus without unduly slowing down the decision-making,” said Weber and Novocin. “Scenario planning or war gaming are worth exploring at the beginning of blockchain projects. Forward planning enables organizations to swiftly respond in a predictable way that is supportive of stakeholders. Publicizing these plans in advance can also build trust and user confidence.”

Cryptocurrency Risks.

Werbach listed a variety of risks and vulnerabilities related to cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin has shown that the fundamental security of its proof-of-work system is sound, but it has major limitations such as limited scalability, massive energy usage and concentration of mining pools. There has been massive theft of cryptocurrencies from the centralized intermediaries that most people use to hold it, and massive fraud by promoters of initial coin offerings and other schemes. Manipulation is widespread on lightly-regulated cryptocurrency exchanges.

For example, roughly half of Bitcoin transactions are with Tether, a “stablecoin” that claims to be backed by U.S. dollars but has never been audited and is involved in highly suspicious behavior. Money laundering and other criminal activity is a serious problem if transactions do not require some check of real-world identities. “There are major efforts to address all of these risks and vulnerabilities. Some are technical, some are business opportunities, and some are regulatory questions. There must be recognition among cryptocurrency proponents that maturation of the industry will require cooperation in many cases with incumbents and regulators,” added Werbach.

Hosanagar cautions that while decentralization offers significant value — and a significant number of miners/validators must verify the transaction for it to be validated — it is still susceptible to collusion. If one or a few companies running lots of miners/validators in a small network collude, they can affect the sanctity of the network. The big risk with cryptocurrencies, he added, is that most activity as of today is ultimately tied to speculation. It’s important for cryptocurrencies to discover a “killer app soon so there is some underlying value created beyond speculation of its future value,” Hosanagar concludes.

The Way Ahead?

Given all these challenges, what is the current mindset in the financial sector towards adopting these new technologies? And, importantly, should one push for wide acceptance and deployment, or is there need for them to stabilize first?

According to Werbach, “It’s not an either-or” choice. Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology in general, he noted, are immature currently. However, there are some areas where they are already able to be deployed effectively. The best way to work through today’s problems, is “to build working systems and see where difficulties arise,” Werbach said. Looking ahead, integration with law, regulation and governance will be critical. Blockchain and cryptocurrencies represent a new form of trust, he added. They will only succeed if they become sufficiently trustworthy, beyond the basic security of the distributed ledgers. “Law, regulation and governance are three major mechanisms to produce trustworthy systems that scale up to society-wide adoption. We need to find ways to address the legitimate concerns of governments without overly restricting the innovations that blockchain technology enables. I’m optimistic about that process over time.”

“We need to find ways to address the legitimate concerns of governments without overly restricting the innovations that blockchain technology enables.”–Kevin Werbach

Walch noted that while there are claims that some consortia are putting ‘blockchain’ systems into production, in many cases it appears that what they are calling a blockchain bears little to no resemblance to the original blockchain technology behind Bitcoin. In many instances, she said, existing shared databases are being called ‘blockchain’ for marketing purposes. “If people do use something they call DLT or blockchain technology in important financial systems, my hope is that they make the decision based on actual capabilities of the tech rather than its widely hyped and generally overstated capabilities,” Walch said. “Permissioned blockchains, which are the variation most likely to be used for financial systems recordkeeping, are very different from public blockchains like Bitcoin or Ethereum. I hope that a more modest and accurate understanding of the actual characteristics of permissioned blockchains sinks in before they are widely adopted.”

Regarding cryptocurrencies or cryptoassets, Walch said that the financial sector’s interest is “less about recordkeeping and more about a new financial asset that it can make money off of.” She pointed out that at present there is no clarity on how power and accountability work in these systems. The ongoing operation of crypto systems and the value they embed and support is reliant on the competence of, and ethical behavior by, unaccountable software developers and validators. “The financial sector believes it understands and can manage the risks of cryptoassets, but I am less certain and worry that hubris and greed are driving the push to create cryptoassets as a real asset class. This has been a bad mixture in the past,” says Walch. “I think it would be more responsible to let cryptosystems exist on their own for a while longer to let more of the kinks get worked out — if they can be; I’m not sure the governance ones can — rather than to rapidly integrate them into the financial system as we seem to be doing.”

“I … worry that hubris and greed are driving the push to create cryptoassets as a real asset class.”–Angela Walch

Conversely, Weber and Novocin feel that the financial industry is cautious about the new DLT technology. According to them, to build confidence in new blockchain systems there needs to be transparency around how the processes work and what the benefits are, and in order to secure adoption, they need to be straightforward to use. “Pundits have drawn parallels to the open source Linux operating system. Although only a few individuals use Linux directly, it quietly runs the vast majority of servers and cloud processors across the world. Similarly, early adoption of blockchain will likely happen in the background of business processes. Companies should get involved now, even if it is just to experiment with the concepts. By gaining familiarity with these new tools, they will be ready as the space continues to develop.”

Weber and Novocin expect that in the next few years, many more businesses will implement private blockchains to improve the transparency and traceability of their financial operations, supply chains, inventory management systems and other internal business systems. Clearer standards will be adopted and a few high-profile projects will emerge. Meanwhile, they said, R&D will continue among the many decentralized blockchain projects to invent more scalable public ledgers whether it be blockchain, Tangle, Hashgraph or something new. “Work is needed on better and more efficient consensus models, whether it be a new form of proof-of-stake or proof-of-work, or something else. There are many established groups, startups, companies and research teams that organizations can join, partner with, or support in order to contribute to research and expand their capabilities.”




Bitcoin (Currency),Bitcoin,Finance (Industry),Industry (Organization Sector),Brad Templeton,Singularity University,Innovation,Internet,Web,Website,Google,Disruption,Technology,Technological,Money,Currency,Gold,Big Think,BigThink,BigThink.com,Education,Educational,Lifelong Learning,EDU

July 16, 2020


How the Blockchain Will Impact the Financial Sector.

Cryptocurrencies and their underlying blockchain technology are being touted as the next-big-thing after the creation of the internet. One area where these technologies are likely to have a major impact is the financial sector. The blockchain, as a form of distributed ledger technology (DLT), has the potential to transform well-established financial institutions and bring lower costs, faster execution of transactions, improved transparency, auditability of operations, and other benefits. Cryptocurrencies hold the promise of a new native digital asset class without a central authority.

So what do these technological developments mean for the various players in the sector and end users? “Blockchains have the potential to displace any business activity built on transactions occurring on traditional corporate databases, which is what underlies nearly every financial service function. Any financial operation that has low transparency and limited traceability is vulnerable to disruption by blockchain applications. DLT is therefore both a great opportunity and also a disruptive threat,” according to Bruce Weber, dean of Lerner College and business administration professor, and Andrew Novocin, professor of electrical and computer engineering, both at the University of Delaware.

Earlier this year, Weber, Novocin, and graduate student Jonathan Wood conducted a literature review on cryptocurrencies and DLT for the SWIFT Institute. Based on this review, the SWIFT institute recently issued a grant to conduct new research on DLT and cryptocurrencies in the financial sector. Weber and Novocin noted that just as disruptors like Amazon, Google, Facebook and Uber built software platforms and thriving businesses thanks to the connectivity provided by internet standards, next-generation startups will build new services and businesses with blockchains. “Many pundits expect blockchain, as a distributed technology, to become the foundation for new services and applications that have completely different rules from those running on hierarchical and controlled databases. Cryptocurrencies are an early example but many others will follow,” they added.

Kartik Hosanagar, a Wharton professor of marketing and operations, information and decisions, pointed out that the financial services sector is full of intermediaries such as banks that help create trust among transacting parties like lenders and borrowers. Blockchain, he said, is a mechanism to create trust without centralized control. “The power of eliminating intermediaries is the ability to lower transaction costs and take back control from powerful financial intermediaries.”

Regarding cryptocurrencies, Hosanagar pointed out that most of the value today is tied to speculative buying rather than actual use cases. But having a currency without a central authority offers “certain unique kinds of protections especially in countries with troubled central banks.” For example, Venezuela’s currency is rapidly losing value. For people who stored their savings in crypto, there was greater protection against such rapid currency devaluations. “Of course, cryptocurrencies have their own instabilities, but they aren’t tied to actions by central banks and that’s particularly relevant in countries and economies where citizens don’t trust their governments and central banks,” he said.

“Any financial operation that has low transparency and limited traceability is vulnerable to disruption by blockchain applications.”–Bruce Weber and Andrew Novocin

Hosanagar expects the first wave of applications to be rolled out in “private” blockchains where a central authority such as a financial institution and its partners are the only ones with the permission to participate (as opposed to public, permissionless blockchains where participants are anonymous and there is no central authority). Applications in the private blockchains, he said, will be more secure and will offer some of the benefits of decentralized ledgers but will not be radically different from the way things work at present. However, over time, he expects smart contracts (self-executing contracts when requirements are met) to be offered on public blockchain networks like Ethereum. “When securities are traded, intermediaries provide trust, and they charge commissions. Blockchains can help provide such trust in a low-cost manner. But trade of securities is governed by securities laws. Smart contracts offer a way to ensure compliance with the laws. They have great potential because of their ability to reduce costs while being compliant,” says Hosanagar.

According to Weber and Novocin, one area ripe for transformation is reaching consensus on important benchmark rates and prices. At present, they point out, different proprietary indexes are used to determine interest rates and the price of many mainstream assets. Blockchain can transform this. “Think of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and the recent scandals involving manipulation of benchmark values when they are controlled by a single entity that may not be capable of detecting false or fraudulent data. Blockchain could provide greater transparency around the process of creating agreed upon reference prices, and allow more people to participate in the consensus process.”

Weber and Novocin expect that in some areas intermediaries will find their roles reduced as blockchain allows for automation through greater transparency and traceability. In other areas, intermediaries will find themselves well-placed to take advantage of changing needs of their clients, as firms will need help to manage the shift to new standards as well as the greater complexity of open and traceable blockchain infrastructure. Intermediaries in areas that could potentially be disrupted, they said, “should get involved with projects seeking to set the standards, so that they can stay informed and position themselves to profit from becoming the leaders in the operations of the new markets that will emerge.”

Kevin Werbach, Wharton professor of legal studies and business ethics, and author of a forthcoming book The Blockchain and the New Architecture of Trust,  said that it’s usually not helpful to focus on what aspects of a major existing market will be “transformed” or “disrupted” by new technologies. Important technologies, he said, are far more likely to be integrated into the system than replace it. According to Werbach, while some firms will fail to make the transition and some new ones will take hold, “over the long-run, virtually every historic innovation that eliminated some forms of intermediation also created new forms.”


Blockchain will reduce the massive duplication of information that creates delays, conflicts and confusion in many aspects of financial services, Werbach added. For example, when a syndicate of lenders participates in a loan, having one shared ledger means they don’t all need to keep track of it independently. International payments and corporate stock records are other examples where there are huge inefficiencies due to duplicate record-keeping and intermediaries. “End users won’t see the changes in the deep plumbing of financial services, but it will allow new service providers to emerge and new products to be offered,” said Werbach.

Bumps Along the Way

Angela Walch, professor of law at St. Mary’s University School of Law and a research fellow at the Centre for Blockchain Technologies at University College London, offered another perspective. She said there is a lot of excitement about blockchain as a distributed ledger technology for the financial sector because many believe that it offers a better, more efficient and more resilient form of recordkeeping. However, making use of the blockchain is not as simple as just buying new software and running it. “Blockchain technology is, at core, group recordkeeping. To reap its full benefits, one needs all the relevant members of the group to join the system. This requires collaboration with and across businesses, which is a potentially big hurdle, and may be the hurdle that most limits adoption.”

Governance is the biggest challenge in decentralized organizations, said Weber and Novocin. Members participating in a blockchain-supported financial function may have misaligned incentives, and can end up in gridlock, or with a chaotic outcome. They cite the example of the ‘DAO Hack,’ which was the first prominent smart contract project on the Ethereum network to suffer a large loss of funds. The Ethereum community voted to conduct a hard fork (a radical change to the protocol that makes previously invalid blocks/transactions valid or vice-versa) — reversing the transactions after the hack and essentially refunding the DAO investors. This was in effect a breach of Ethereum’s immutability and it left a sizeable minority of the community bitterly dissatisfied. This group viewed the Ethereum community as forsaking its commitment to immutable, permanent records. They refused to acknowledge the hard fork, and maintained the original Ethereum blockchain, now known as Ethereum Classic (whereas the forked version supported by the Ethereum Foundation is simply Ethereum).

“The power of eliminating intermediaries is the ability to lower transaction costs and take back control from powerful financial intermediaries.”–Kartik Hosanagar

“Distributed organizations serving an open community need to take care to design their governance systems, incentive structures and decision-making processes to create consensus without unduly slowing down the decision-making,” said Weber and Novocin. “Scenario planning or war gaming are worth exploring at the beginning of blockchain projects. Forward planning enables organizations to swiftly respond in a predictable way that is supportive of stakeholders. Publicizing these plans in advance can also build trust and user confidence.”

Cryptocurrency Risks.

Werbach listed a variety of risks and vulnerabilities related to cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin has shown that the fundamental security of its proof-of-work system is sound, but it has major limitations such as limited scalability, massive energy usage and concentration of mining pools. There has been massive theft of cryptocurrencies from the centralized intermediaries that most people use to hold it, and massive fraud by promoters of initial coin offerings and other schemes. Manipulation is widespread on lightly-regulated cryptocurrency exchanges.

For example, roughly half of Bitcoin transactions are with Tether, a “stablecoin” that claims to be backed by U.S. dollars but has never been audited and is involved in highly suspicious behavior. Money laundering and other criminal activity is a serious problem if transactions do not require some check of real-world identities. “There are major efforts to address all of these risks and vulnerabilities. Some are technical, some are business opportunities, and some are regulatory questions. There must be recognition among cryptocurrency proponents that maturation of the industry will require cooperation in many cases with incumbents and regulators,” added Werbach.

Hosanagar cautions that while decentralization offers significant value — and a significant number of miners/validators must verify the transaction for it to be validated — it is still susceptible to collusion. If one or a few companies running lots of miners/validators in a small network collude, they can affect the sanctity of the network. The big risk with cryptocurrencies, he added, is that most activity as of today is ultimately tied to speculation. It’s important for cryptocurrencies to discover a “killer app soon so there is some underlying value created beyond speculation of its future value,” Hosanagar concludes.

The Way Ahead?

Given all these challenges, what is the current mindset in the financial sector towards adopting these new technologies? And, importantly, should one push for wide acceptance and deployment, or is there need for them to stabilize first?

According to Werbach, “It’s not an either-or” choice. Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology in general, he noted, are immature currently. However, there are some areas where they are already able to be deployed effectively. The best way to work through today’s problems, is “to build working systems and see where difficulties arise,” Werbach said. Looking ahead, integration with law, regulation and governance will be critical. Blockchain and cryptocurrencies represent a new form of trust, he added. They will only succeed if they become sufficiently trustworthy, beyond the basic security of the distributed ledgers. “Law, regulation and governance are three major mechanisms to produce trustworthy systems that scale up to society-wide adoption. We need to find ways to address the legitimate concerns of governments without overly restricting the innovations that blockchain technology enables. I’m optimistic about that process over time.”

“We need to find ways to address the legitimate concerns of governments without overly restricting the innovations that blockchain technology enables.”–Kevin Werbach

Walch noted that while there are claims that some consortia are putting ‘blockchain’ systems into production, in many cases it appears that what they are calling a blockchain bears little to no resemblance to the original blockchain technology behind Bitcoin. In many instances, she said, existing shared databases are being called ‘blockchain’ for marketing purposes. “If people do use something they call DLT or blockchain technology in important financial systems, my hope is that they make the decision based on actual capabilities of the tech rather than its widely hyped and generally overstated capabilities,” Walch said. “Permissioned blockchains, which are the variation most likely to be used for financial systems recordkeeping, are very different from public blockchains like Bitcoin or Ethereum. I hope that a more modest and accurate understanding of the actual characteristics of permissioned blockchains sinks in before they are widely adopted.”

Regarding cryptocurrencies or cryptoassets, Walch said that the financial sector’s interest is “less about recordkeeping and more about a new financial asset that it can make money off of.” She pointed out that at present there is no clarity on how power and accountability work in these systems. The ongoing operation of crypto systems and the value they embed and support is reliant on the competence of, and ethical behavior by, unaccountable software developers and validators. “The financial sector believes it understands and can manage the risks of cryptoassets, but I am less certain and worry that hubris and greed are driving the push to create cryptoassets as a real asset class. This has been a bad mixture in the past,” says Walch. “I think it would be more responsible to let cryptosystems exist on their own for a while longer to let more of the kinks get worked out — if they can be; I’m not sure the governance ones can — rather than to rapidly integrate them into the financial system as we seem to be doing.”

“I … worry that hubris and greed are driving the push to create cryptoassets as a real asset class.”–Angela Walch

Conversely, Weber and Novocin feel that the financial industry is cautious about the new DLT technology. According to them, to build confidence in new blockchain systems there needs to be transparency around how the processes work and what the benefits are, and in order to secure adoption, they need to be straightforward to use. “Pundits have drawn parallels to the open source Linux operating system. Although only a few individuals use Linux directly, it quietly runs the vast majority of servers and cloud processors across the world. Similarly, early adoption of blockchain will likely happen in the background of business processes. Companies should get involved now, even if it is just to experiment with the concepts. By gaining familiarity with these new tools, they will be ready as the space continues to develop.”

Weber and Novocin expect that in the next few years, many more businesses will implement private blockchains to improve the transparency and traceability of their financial operations, supply chains, inventory management systems and other internal business systems. Clearer standards will be adopted and a few high-profile projects will emerge. Meanwhile, they said, R&D will continue among the many decentralized blockchain projects to invent more scalable public ledgers whether it be blockchain, Tangle, Hashgraph or something new. “Work is needed on better and more efficient consensus models, whether it be a new form of proof-of-stake or proof-of-work, or something else. There are many established groups, startups, companies and research teams that organizations can join, partner with, or support in order to contribute to research and expand their capabilities.”




Bitcoin (Currency),Bitcoin,Finance (Industry),Industry (Organization Sector),Brad Templeton,Singularity University,Innovation,Internet,Web,Website,Google,Disruption,Technology,Technological,Money,Currency,Gold,Big Think,BigThink,BigThink.com,Education,Educational,Lifelong Learning,EDU

July 16, 2020


Career Advice from a Woman Who Ruled Wall Street 


Everything you need to know to land your dream job on Wall Street

Embarking on a career on Wall Street can be a nerve-wracking experience.
You're up against thousands of other people during the application process, competing for a small number of roles.

And if you land a Wall Street internship or a full-time role, you'll have to learn how to navigate complex products, markets and organizations in double-quick time.

A Morgan Stanley exec says this is the one personality trait she looks for in every job candidate.

Carla Harris was a star dealmaker for Morgan Stanley before being named vice chairman of the firm's prized global wealth-management division.
Now also a senior client adviser, Harris has landed some major deals throughout her 28 years on Wall Street, including the initial public offerings of UPS and Martha Stewart Living.

She's also published two books and built a career as an accomplished singer.

Harris had to work hard to make it all happen. And it's that kind of diligence that she now looks for when hiring young people.

"I like to call it the 'Hustle Gene,'" Harris told Business Insider.

To gauge whether candidates have that "gene," Harris wants to know.
How far will they go above and beyond the job description?
Do they have initiative?
Do they follow through?
Do they understand the importance of relationships? Do they deal with people in a way that people want to deal with them?"
Of course, there are analytical and quantitative skills that are crucial to work in finance, Harris said. But she's particularly interested in candidates' ability to build strong relationships in addition to everything else.

"At the end of the day, if you're one of those folk that people don't want to work with, I don't care how successful you are, at some point it will get muted," she said.

"Those are some of the other things that I think really makes somebody stand out."

Want to work on Wall Street? One thing on your résumé is more important than finance experience.

Applying to work for a Wall Street bank can be nerve-wracking.
You know you're up against thousands of other people, and you want to highlight your accomplishments to look as qualified as possible.

But what if you don't have enough experience in the industry?

JPMorgan's head firmwide campus recruiting, Michelle Bucaria, told Business Insider that having previous finance experience is not necessarily the most important thing on your résumé — it's all about how you frame the experiences you have had.

So maybe you haven't interned in finance before, but you have a part-time job. That shows you have the ability to multitask.

"When I look at a résumé and I say, 'Gosh, they were working, frankly, in the dining hall while they were getting a 3.5 GPA' — that's pretty impressive," Bucaria said.

She also likes to see involvement in campus clubs and activities.

"The ones that are in officer type roles are going to stand out versus someone who's a member of a club," Bucaria said.


July 12, 2020

There’s Enough Math in Finance Already. What’s Missing is Imagination.

For some of us, it was Spock. For others, a humiliating performance as a pilgrim in the kindergarten musical.  For me, it was William Blake’s relentless (and beautiful) attacks on Reason. But everyone at some point encounters – and many of us swallow – the dangerous notion that creativity and calculation are irreconcilable enemies.

This perspective lives at the very heart of our school curricula from first grade through graduate school, as our talents are identified and we, complicit in the scheme, label ourselves ‘artistic’ or ‘sporty’ or ‘scientific.’ No doubt there are real, epigenetic differences in the way people think and see the world, but in epigenesis lies the key: Nature gives us talents, but nurture determines how we use them, and how mono or multidimensional our minds become.

Like many quants – the mathematicians whose equations shape high-stakes decision making on Wall Street – Emanuel Derman arrived on Wall Street with little knowledge of economic theory. Unlike many of his colleagues, though, he had a background in theoretical physics, a field in which imagination and mathematics are happy bedfellows. From 1990-2000, Derman led Goldman Sachs’ Quantitative Strategies group, presiding over the rise of mathematical modeling as the engine driving financial betting on Wall Street.

The nearly insurmountable challenge of mathematical modeling in finance, says Derman, author of the forthcoming Models.Behaving.Badly., is that you are trying to predict the future based the behavior of highly erratic variables – i.e. people. To forecast human behavior with some reasonable degree of accuracy, mathematical models need highly imaginative designers with a profound grasp of human psychology – oracles who can foresee shifts in the global financial landscape and predict people’s reactions to them. Such designers are rare indeed, if they exist at all.

Still, like weather forecasts, the best mathematical models can help us to make better decisions, so long as we keep in mind that their predictive power depends upon the creative vision of the people who designed them, and that it is always vulnerable to refutation by developments in the real world. In other words, so long as we control the tools, not the other way around.

What's the Significance?

Faulty financial models, and Wall Street's overreliance on them, certainly played a role in the collapse of 1998, whose ongoing repercussions are manifest in the demonstrations going on right now in New York City and nationwide. And there are other massive, underlying issues – greed, unequal distribution of opportunity – that bear significant responsibility and intense scrutiny, of course. But math is not to blame – it is a tool, like science, that when guided by imagination and human understanding can expand the scope of our vision. It can help us to peer, however dimly, into the future.

Math’s not to blame, but a religious reverence for mathematical objectivity might be. We are susceptible to a modern-day form of idol worship whereby the sophistication of our technology and data-crunching power sometimes dazzles us into forgetting that these are human creations, designed by people, for people. And when they are applied to human problems, we cannot afford to treat them as perfect, alien entities whose wisdom exceeds our own.

As the early Internet pioneer Jaron Lanier points out in his digital-age cautionary manifesto You Are Not a Gadget, “Software expresses ideas about everything from the nature of a musical note to the nature of personhood. Software is also subject to an exceptionally rigid process of “lock-in.”* Therefore, ideas (in the present era, when human affairs are increasingly software-driven) have become more subject to lock-in than in previous eras.”

If digitized ideas are uniquely vulnerable to lock-in, we need to be exceedingly careful and creative in crafting them. For example, the government-driven “school reform movement” that has swept public education nationwide since 2001’s No Child Left Behind Act, seeks to transform learning based on data-collection from standardized tests, themselves a highly imperfect model of learning. In many cases, school systems rely on data from these tests to make hiring and instructional decisions, to a degree entirely unwarranted by the tests’ current level of sophistication. The clarion call of this movement is the demand for “objective” learning. That’s what the tests are supposedly designed to measure. But learners aren’t really objective. Nor is thinking, which is what, in the end, schools are supposed to teach.

Computers, databases, and other models of reality aren’t going anywhere – the technology will continue to become more sophisticated and its role in our lives will continue to deepen. Now, therefore, is the time for us to recognize where machines can meet our needs and where they cannot – and to design them for human use rather than seeking to adapt ourselves to their shortcomings.

*The process whereby an idea or a model becomes the basis for subsequent development, so that its flaws cannot be remedied without dismantling the entire system that is built upon it.



July 11, 2020


Everything You Need to Know About Finance and Investing in Under an Hour 

Uses a lemonade stand example to provide an overview of the financial aspects of a business (revenue, profits, valuation, growth, pricing, balance sheet, income statements).
Concentrates on investing, including the following key points
In the example, the owner starts with $750, with $250 of that coming from a loan.
Here's an income statement tracking the healthy growth of the lemonade business. By year five, the company has seven stands, supported by an increased margin on products, and makes a profit of $2,311 (earnings before tax).
With some compound interest examples, he highlights the importance of starting early so your money can grow early over time).
He tweaks return assumptions to show how long-term outcomes are impacted by changes in how much your investments return.
Save $10,000 and earn 10% each year, you would have $602,000 after 43 years.
Earn 15% per year, you would have over $4 million after 43 years.
Importance of not losing money as drawdowns can have significant negative effects on returns.

A business owner can take money from a lender, who profits from interest on his loan, or an equity investor, who buys shares in the company. An equity investor stands to make much more money than a lender due to the level of risk involved — if the company doesn't make money, neither does the investor.

What are keys to successful investing?

Invest in companies that are listed on the stock market (liquid, well-known).
Avoid investing in start-up businesses where prospects are not well known.
Invest in businesses that you understand.
Invest at a reasonable price.
Invest in company that could last forever.
For instance, an investor makes a small amount of interest from government bonds because the risk is low — the US government is more secure than any corporation. An investor makes a large amount of interest from loans to business owners because the risk is high.
What kind of businesses last forever? (Examples: Coca-Cola, McDonalds, candy business).

Equity is a "residual claim" because debt must be paid off before investors can profit. Shareholders may make money from company profits called "dividends."

When a company has grown significantly, its owner can sell it for a typically large sum of money, in exchange for control of the business and a shot at future profits.
Sell a product that people need.
Sell a unique product (not a commodity).
Elicit brand loyalty that consumers are willing to.
Find a company with limited debt.
High barriers to entry.
Immune to extrinsic factors.
Has low reinvestment costs.
Generate high amounts of cash flow.
Avoid businesses with controlling shareholders (one shareholder holds majority of company stock).
Instead of growing a business further, an owner can pay himself dividends to put cash in his pocket rather than in the company.
At a moment of strong growth, the business owner can either share profits with a private investor or go public.
When a business files for an initial public offering (IPO), its owners offer a portion of it to the general public, which raises cash, and the company gets listed on an exchange. It requires being transparent and, in the US, reporting to the Securities and Exchange Commission.


When are you ready to start investing?

When you have money you won’t need for 5-10 years.
After paying off credit card debt and student loan debt.
Have 6-12 months of emergency funds set aside.

Psychology of investing.

How to withstand volatility.
Be financially secure.
Don’t get spooked by short-term fluctuations.
Do your own research.
Invest at a reasonable price.

If you don't have the time or desire to invest in individual stocks, you can invest in mutual funds, large pools of funds managed by a professional investor.
Mutual fund companies.
Pros.
Portfolio diversity, even for small investment amounts.
Managed by professional investor.
Cons.
Choice: Over 10,000 to choose from.
Research is required to pick a good manager.

You can also outsource your investing to a money manager.
Reputation for integrity.
Easily explain investment strategy (“the two minute test”).
Has a value approach.
Long-term track record.
Consistent approach.
Invests own money in the fun.
July 11, 2020


How to Find Great Companies to Invest In.

Smart investors put their money in reputable companies and investigate new companies thoroughly before committing their money. By carefully considering the qualities of the companies you invest in and incorporating your own knowledge of the market, you can make informed decisions in the hopes of choosing stocks of good quality and value. Be aware, however, this is no small task. Mutual fund companies and the like dedicate entire teams of experts whose full-time jobs are to research and understand how to invest in companies. Be sure you have the time and inclination to do this yourself, as well as the willingness to take the risks of doing so.

Method 1 Buying What You Know.
1. Stay within your circle of competence. If you have a field of expertise, you may be best able to identify quality within that area. Experience can provide you with the insights you need to make more informed choices. For example, if you work in retail, you may be better positioned to determine if you should invest in companies like Walmart, Target, or Best Buy, than you are in evaluating the latest bio-tech company.
Having competence in a certain area doesn't have to come from workplace experience. If you're a techie who spends his time buying and reading about the latest gadgets, you can draw on the information you obtain to help you make decisions on how to invest in the technology sector.
2. Focus on a few industries or markets. These can be either your direct area of competence or other areas that you are interested in investing in. The important thing is to realize that you can't keep track of everything going on in the global economy. Large financial institutions have whole departments for doing this so don't think you can do it on your own. Instead, narrow your focus to include only a few key industries or markets.
This doesn't mean you should avoid focusing on individual companies. You should always investigate every company you plan to invest in individually.
3. Stay up to date on news within that industry. Examples of quality sources for this are online finance websites like Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal. They'll give you up-to-date information on many of the goings-on in various sectors of the economy and the World. Again, focus your energy on a few key areas and become knowledgeable on the happenings in them. Look for things like trends, mergers, acquisitions, relevant legislation changes, and any global events that may affect your chosen market.
4. Plan ahead. Identify a company that you think stands to benefit from some change or trend in the market. Look ahead for when this change will take place and move around your money to prepare to invest in the company. For example, if you think that a new product being released by your favorite tech company is going to be a huge success, you may choose to invest in the company before the rest of the world realizes this and drives up the stock price.

Method 2 Investing in Companies with Competitive Advantages.
1. Understand competitive advantages. There are some companies that manage to be consistently profitable and successful in their industry over many years. These companies have succeeded in building a "moat" around them to keep their competitors away. This distance from their competitors is also known as a competitive advantage. Competitive advantages allow these companies to make money and retain customers more easily than others. In turn, these companies are able to provide greater value and return to their shareholders.
An investment in one of these companies allows you to participate in their competitive advantage. While they may not grow as quickly as smaller companies, they often can be less likely to fail in economic downturns and can provide consistent growth throughout the years to come.
Blue-chip stocks are examples of large, successful companies with competitive advantages. These companies have provided consistent growth or dividends over many years and are listed on large stock indexes.
2. Invest in trusted brands. Think Harley Davidson, Coke, BMW. These are brand names etched in the public mind as the best in their class. These companies can raise their prices on the strength of their brands, resulting in deeper profits.These companies are so well-known and essential that they are unlikely to lose a significant amount of customers to competitors.
3. Find companies with high switching costs. When was the last time you switched banks? Or cell phone providers? These services retain customers because switching between them is more time-consuming than it's worth. Companies that have high switching costs can be expected to hold on to their customers longer than companies that don't.
4. Search for economies of scale. Companies that are able to make products and sell them at much lower prices than their competition automatically attract customers -- lots of them -- as long as quality is not compromised. In a crowded market, this is generally the result of economies of scale, a phenomenon where a large company is able to experience lower production costs solely due to its size. Walmart and and Dell have perfected this concept to a science.
5. Invest in legal monopolies. Some companies are granted legal (if temporary) monopolies by the government. Large pharmaceutical companies and manufacturing companies with patents are able to bring a truly unique product to market. Companies that own copyrights, drilling rights, mining rights, and other forms of protected property are often the sole producer or service provider in their area. Thus, these companies can raise prices without fear of losing customers, resulting in higher profits.
Be sure to check how long the company's patent or usage rights are in effect. Some of these are temporary and when they go, there's a chance the company's profit will go with them.
6. Look for opportunities for easy growth. Some companies are easily scalable. That is, their products or services with the potential to network or add more users over time. Adobe has become the de facto standard in publishing; Microsoft's Excel has done the same in spreadsheets. eBay is a great example of a user network. Each additional user to the network costs the company virtually nothing. The additional revenues that come in as the network expands go straight to the bottom line.
For a more current example, consider Netflix. As a streaming service, they make more money for each subscriber, even as their costs remain virtually the same. That way, as they gain more users they will continue to grow in profitability, assuming they don't choose to increase costs significantly.

Method 3 Evaluating Company Performance and Valuation.
1. Check the quality of management. How competent is the management running the company? More importantly, how focused are they toward the company, customers, investors, and employees? In this age of rampant corporate greed, it's always a great idea to research the management of any company you're thinking of investing in. Newspaper and magazine articles are good places to get this information.
This doesn't just mean that management has provided good financial results recently. Rather, look for indications of other important qualities like responsiveness, adaptability, capacity for innovation, and organizational ability.
2. Watch for management changes. A good leader can successfully turn around a company that many consider to be a lost cause. Watch the news and financial reports for changes in management positions, especially CEOs. If you believe in the new CEO of a company, based on your research, you may choose to invest in that company. Here, you're essentially putting your faith in the person, not the company.
3. Avoid overvalued stocks. Even a great company can be overvalued. Learn to interpret financial statements and pick stocks with fundamental analysis to find companies the market has overvalued. Know that these companies may be some of the most buzzed-about and invested in companies around, but they are still overvalued and may experience drastic declines in price once their day in the spotlight is over.
One way to determine if a stock is overpriced is to examine its price-earnings-ratio. The price to earnings ratio can usually be found in the company's stock summary on financial websites. Generally, PE ratios are between 20-25, but this varies by industry.
To evaluate a company's PE ratio, search online for the average PE ratio in the company's industry. If the P/E ratio is over the industry average, the company could be overpriced in view of its earnings.
4. Buy undervalued stocks. Undervalued stocks are those that are trading at a lower value than their financial information would indicate. These may be companies that have only started to do well recently. In these cases, the market has not yet caught up with their newfound success. To identify stocks with room to grow in value, you can also use the price-earnings ratio mentioned above and look for companies with low PE ratios compared to the industry average.
You can also look for companies with a price-to-book-value of less than 2. The price-to-book ratio is the price of the company divided by the total value of its assets minus its liabilities and intangible assets. A low ratio may indicate that the company is relatively cheap.

FAQ.

Question : How can I know a company's management?
Answer : A company's stock prospectus will list its management personnel. For suggestions on researching company management, go here: Investopedia.com/articles/02/062602.asp.

Tips.
Start thinking about everyday companies in terms of this new framework.
Learn the basics of reading financial statements. Check the profitability of companies you're interested in. Check their debt position. See if they have been growing steadily.
Visit the company’s website and other financial websites that will give you insight into the stock.
While it may be advantageous to invest in companies you know, do not limit yourself to just one or two sectors of the economy. Try to research companies in a variety of sectors. Doing so further diversifies your portfolio to better insulate it from a downturn in a single sector or company.

Warnings.
Be aware of stock tips: Whether they come from someone you see on TV or someone you meet in person, these are more often not well-researched or are even based on someone's grandiose theory about getting rich quick. They may also be provided by salesmen paid to inflate a stock's price to allow a company to raise as much capital as possible.
Jumping into buying stocks in a company without doing thorough research can be a quick way to lose your money.
Investing always carries risk. Even if you do everything right, there's no guarantee that you'll make money.
April 07, 2020


How to Build a Diversified Portfolio.

“Don’t put all your eggs in one basket” is sound advice in life as well as in finance. Diversifying an investment portfolio can help cushion the ups and downs of the market and the broader economy. You can diversify by investing simultaneously in different asset classes. These classes include stocks (or "equities”), bonds, the money market, commodities, precious metals, real estate, gemstones, fine art and any of several other valuable assets. Because most growth in wealth comes from owning stock, equities also represent the most risk in a portfolio, so you will want to diversify your stock holdings. The following article presents a number of commonly acknowledged steps in building wealth through a diversified investment portfolio.

Method 1 Diversifying in Stocks.
1. Invest in many different companies. When you buy stock, you buy a share of the ownership of a company. You can buy stock in individual companies by using an online broker, such as E-Trade, Charles Schwab or TD Ameritrade (among many others). Do not, however, commit a large portion of your money to any single company. If such a company were to get in trouble, you could lose most of your money.
For example, Snap Inc. received a lot of press when it went public in March 2017 with shares priced at $27. However, by the following August the stock price had fallen to $11 per share. That's a drop of about 60%, which would have really hurt someone who had invested a large amount of money at the opening price.
To avoid such a disaster, limit your investment in any one stock to 5% or (preferably) less of your total portfolio.
2. Invest in different sectors. Entire industries often rise and fall as a unit. If the price of oil surges, most oil-related stocks will rise as a group. When the price of oil dips, oil-company stocks tend to fall together. You can protect yourself against this risk by investing in several different industries or sectors of the economy.
Major sectors include technology, health care, financial services, energy, communication services, utilities and agriculture.
The industries or sectors you choose should have a low correlation to each other. That is, invest in various sectors whose stock prices tend to fall at different times.  For example, technology and communication services might be too closely related. On the other hand, energy and health care are not closely related and might be expected to rise or fall separately.
3. Look at foreign stocks. As the economy in one country falters, the economy in other countries might be doing well. For this reason some experts recommend that you diversify by buying foreign stocks in addition to the domestic stocks you own.
Buying stock in multinational corporations automatically exposes you to international markets. For example, if you buy McDonald’s stock, you are already investing in foreign markets, since McDonald’s has expanded into more than 100 countries.

Method 2 Investing in Other Assets.
1. Diversify with bonds. When a company or government need to raise money, they may borrow it by issuing bonds to the public. A bond is a promise to repay borrowed money, accompanied by a certain amount of interest. Owning bonds is a good way to hedge against equity risks, because bond values tend to move in a direction opposite to stock values in general.
You can buy individual bonds or invest in a bond mutual fund. A bond fund holds a portfolio of many different corporate or government bonds. Research a fund to see how diversified its holdings are before buying shares. As with equities, bond diversification is very desirable.
Bonds are rated based on the issuer’s creditworthiness. Find bond ratings at Moody’s or Standard & Poor’s credit-rating services. A highly-rated bond will offer a lower interest rate but a higher likelihood of repayment. Choose bonds or bond funds that reflect your tolerance for risk. An aggressive investor (whose risk tolerance is high) might choose bonds with a higher interest rate but a lower safety rating.
2. Invest in U.S. Treasury bonds or bills for increased safety. U.S. Treasuries are the safest securities you can own. You lend money to the U.S. government and receive a promise for repayment. Treasury bonds often rise when the stock market falls, so they are a good way to diversify your portfolio.
3. Consider money market funds. Such a fund is similar to a savings account. The fund invests money in low-risk vehicles such as certificates of deposit and government securities. You can buy CDs and government bonds yourself, but a money market account can be more convenient, because it will do the investing for you at a nominal fee.
As an added benefit, some money market accounts let you write checks (or use a debit card) on the account. However, you will be limited in the number of withdrawals you can make per year.
4. Forget commodities. Some experts recommend diversifying by buying commodities such as oil, wheat, gold, and livestock. These commodities have no correlation to the stock market, so the value of these commodities should be unaffected if the stock market collapses. However, commodities are a poor bet if you are looking to buy and hold investments. Commodities are meant to be traded regularly and are therefore considered speculation (gambling) rather than investment.
5. Invest in real estate. One way to do this is to buy an apartment building and rent it to tenants. However, you may not have the time or energy to involve yourself in what can be a complicated endeavor. Instead you might invest in REITs, real estate investment trusts. With this option you invest in companies that own real estate. In exchange for your investment, you receive a share of the companies' income.
Many REITs charge very high fees, so they might not be the best way to diversify your portfolio.
Another option is to invest in a mutual fund that invests in REITs. This can save you a lot of research time by letting the fund managers do the research for you. You do pay for that service, of course, but it may be worth it to you if you value your time.

Method 3 Investing in Mutual and Other Funds for Diversity.
1. Diversify easily with mutual funds. A mutual fund is a portfolio operated by a fund manager. Buying into a mutual fund is a great way to diversify because each portfolio can hold multiple equities and other assets. For example, a mutual fund might hold stocks and/or bonds from 40 companies in various sectors. By buying into a fund, you can get instant diversification.
However, mutual funds are not automatically diversified. Everything depends on the assets held in the portfolio. Carefully analyze the individual holdings in the portfolio. Some mutual funds will be better diversified than others.
If you invest through an employer-sponsored plan (such as a 401k or an IRA), chances are you are investing in mutual funds.
2. Invest in an exchange traded fund (ETF). An ETF is like a mutual fund, except you buy it on a stock exchange, not from a fund. ETFs generally have lower fees than mutual funds, so they are a good option for investors.
As with mutual funds, an ETF is not automatically diversified. For example, you might buy an oil ETF, which is concentrated in one industry. Carefully analyze the underlying investments to make sure the ETF has the necessary diversity.
3. Consider an index fund. An index fund is a mutual fund designed to track an index, such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index or the DJ Wilshire 5000, which tracks the entire U.S. stock market. It is an easy way to get broad market exposure and thus diversify.
Remember that you want to diversify across asset classes. Don't forget bonds, Treasuries and the money market. Some funds do invest in these other assets.
Remember, too, that all mutual funds and ETFs charge fees for their service. Investigate the size of those fees before committing money. There are many good funds that charge total fees of less than 1% of your account balance, so there is no valid reason to pay more than that.  If you do your research, you should be able to find funds that are properly diversified.
With respect to equities, aim to hold at least 20 stocks spread across various sectors. You can invest by picking individual stocks, or you can more easily diversify by investing in a fund that contains hundreds of stocks and/or bonds.
4. Get expert advice. Every person’s situation is different, and there’s no one right diversification approach for everyone. Instead, you should meet with a "fee-only" financial advisor who can help you analyze your situation. Look for an advisor who is a certified financial planner (CFP). To earn this designation, candidates must meet certain experience, education, and ethics standards. The advisor should also be a fiduciary, someone legally bound to work primarily in your best interests. (Just ask, "Are you a fiduciary?" If you don't get an immediate "yes" for an answer, find another advisor.)
You can find a fee-only financial advisor through the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors. A fee-only advisor is one who does not earn a commission by recommending the purchase of specific financial products.
Discuss your investment goals with your advisor. Many people invest for retirement, and what qualifies as a well constructed portfolio will change over time. As an investor gets older, they will want to increase the ratio of bonds to stocks in their portfolio in order to diminish risk. (Some mutual funds can do that for you automatically.)

Method 4 Buying and Selling Intelligently.
1. Analyze your risk tolerance. How comfortable are you in taking financial risks? The more aggressive an investor is (the larger the rewards they hope to achieve), the larger the stock portion of their portfolio -- and the greater their risk tolerance -- will have to be.
A conservative portfolio might have only 20% in equities, 70% in bonds and 10% in cash and cash equivalents (including certificates of deposit, banker's acceptances, treasury bills and other money-market instruments).
A person more tolerant of risk might invest 70% in equities, 20% in bonds, and 10% in cash or cash equivalents.
2. Invest on a periodic basis. Let’s say you have $6,000 to invest in a year. If you invest all of that money at once, you might inadvertently buy into the market at a moment when equities are priced relatively high. A better option is to invest $500 a month. You would invest the same amount of money in a year's time, but as prices rise and fall, it's likely you would acquire a larger number of shares by year's end.
This type of investing is called “dollar-cost averaging,” and it allows you to take advantage of the inevitable price dips that regularly occur in the market.
3. Avoid market timing. You might dream of getting into the stock market at a price bottom and then selling at a peak. Many people who try to "time" the market in this way end up losing money, because recognizing a market peak or bottom isn't possible until after the fact.
4. Choose appropriate assets based on when you plan to withdraw investment income. For example, if you have 40 years before you plan on retiring, you can ride out peaks and valleys in the stock market. There’s less reason to worry if the market falls when you are in your 30s, because you have plenty of time to recoup your losses. A younger person can afford to be more aggressive in their investing than an older person.
5. Rebalance your portfolio when necessary. Building a diverse portfolio is not a one-time event. Instead, you may need to rebalance your portfolio periodically. Review your investments once a year, and see if they still align with your investment goals.
You might need to rebalance if some assets outperform others. For example, your equities might be on a hot streak for six years. Although they were 50% of your portfolio when you started investing, they now make up 70% through price appreciation. Assuming you still want stocks to form 50% of your portfolio, you’ll need to sell some stocks and replace them with bonds or other assets in order to maintain your preferred ratio.
Rebalancing might trigger tax consequences or transaction fees. Carefully analyze the process with your financial advisor before going ahead.
If you invest through a "balanced" mutual fund, they will typically do this rebalancing for you automatically. (A "balanced" fund invests in both stocks and bonds.)

Warnings.

Diversification can manage risk, but it cannot completely eliminate it. Diversification won’t save you if the entire market goes into a tailspin, as it did in 2008 and 2009. Nonetheless, diversifying is a critically important tool for all investors
April 01, 2020


How to Choose Business Financing.

Every business needs funding for a variety of reasons, including startup, operations, equipment and project completion. Finance for business is a complex subject that must be approached from a variety of angles. There are many business financing options, some of which may or may not be right for your particular needs. In order to evaluate your situation and determine which finance avenues to pursue, there is a variety of factors to consider. Follow these guidelines to choose business financing.



Method 1 Arranging for a Loan.

1. Compare loans with other types of financing. Loans are a type of debt financing. This means that you have to pay the money back, plus interest. Loans are typically offered by banks, credit unions or other financial institutions. Businesses that typically qualify for loans have a strong business plan, favorable business credit rating and a fair amount of equity capital.

Equity capital is the current market value of everything the company owns less any liabilities owed by the company.

Lenders are sometimes hesitant to give loans to companies without a lot of equity capital. Without equity capital, businesses don't have much collateral to put up for a loan. Also, revenues earned by the business will go toward repaying the debt instead of growing the business.

2. Get a line of credit from a bank. A line of credit is different from a typical loan in that it doesn't give you a lump sum of cash. Rather, like a credit card, you withdraw from the available credit any time you need it. You only withdraw as much as you need. This gives you control over the amount of interest expense you will have to pay. A line of credit can help you control your cash flow as your expenses or income ebb and flow.

To qualify for a line of credit, be prepared to submit financial statements, personal tax returns, business tax returns, bank account information and business registration documents.

Annual reviews are required to maintain your line of credit.

3. Obtain a business loan from a bank. A business loan is like any other kind of term loan. Business loans come with fixed interest rates. You make monthly payments over a period of years until the loan is paid off. Unlike a line of credit, a term loan gives you a lump sum of cash up front. Businesses who are expanding their space or funding other large investments can benefit from a term business loan.

Before making a loan, lenders want to know what the loan is for and how you will spend the money. Be prepared to demonstrate that the loan is for a sound financial purpose.

Different lenders require different documents. In general, be prepared to produce: your personal and business credit history; personal and business financial statements for existing and startup businesses; projected financial statements; a strong, detailed business plan; cash flow projections for at least a year; and personal guaranties from all principal owners of the business.

Large banks tend to avoid working with small businesses. They don't want to do all of the work to underwrite a small loan that won't make a large profit for them.

Local banks with whom you already have done business or credit unions may be more willing to work with small businesses.

4. Apply for a commercial loan. A commercial loan is similar to a home equity loan. It is for businesses that own commercial real estate. You borrow against the equity you have in the commercial real estate you own. The amount you can borrow depends on the value of your property and how much equity you have.

Commercial loans are not backed by government entities like Fannie Mae, so lenders see these loans as risky. Therefore, they tend to charge higher interest rates for them. Also lenders scrutinize the business more closely as well as the real estate that will serve as collateral for the loan.

5. Request a Small Business Association (SBA) loan. These loans are given by participating banks and are guaranteed by the SBA. They are for businesses that might have trouble getting a traditional bank loan. The SBA guarantees a portion of your loan to repay if you default on your payments. Find a bank that works with SBA loans by visiting www.sba.gov/lenders-top-100. Use the application checklist (www.sba.gov/content/sba-loan-application-checklist) to make sure you have all of the necessary documentation.

SBA loans for starting and expanding a business include the Basic 7(a) Loan Program, the Certified Development Company (CDC) 504 Loan Program and the Microloan Program.

SBA also offers disaster assistance loans for businesses in a declared disaster area and economic injury loans for businesses that have suffered a physical or agricultural production disaster.

Export assistance loans help exporters obtain financing to support exporting activities or to compete if they have been adversely affected by competition from imports.

Veteran and military community loans help businesses meet expenses when an essential employee has been called up on active duty.

Other special purpose loans include CAPlines, which help businesses purchase capital equipment, pollution control loans for pollution control facilities, and the U.S. Community Adjustment And Investment Program (CAIP), for businesses that have been adversely affected by the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

6. Work with state and local economic development agencies. Economic development agencies exist in every state and in some local municipalities. They provide low-interest loans to businesses that might not qualify for traditional bank loans. In addition to financial services, these agencies provide startup advice, training, business location selection assistance and employee recruitment and training assistance. You can find the economic development agency in your state by visiting www.sba.gov/content/economic-development-agencies. You can also contact your city or county government office to find out about their economic development programs.

Each agency has its own application process. However many require the same basic documentation. Gather the following information.

A loan application form that details why you are applying for the loan and how you will use the money.

Your resume gives lenders information about your expertise in the field.

All lenders will require a sound business plan. For help with writing your business plan, visit www.sba.gov/writing-business-plan.

Your business credit report gives lenders information about your credit worthiness.

Be prepared to submit your business and personal tax returns for the past three years.

Prepare historical financial statements, including your balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement and bank statements. You may also be asked to submit projected financial statements.

Be able to demonstrate your business' current financial position with accounts receivable and accounts payable information.

You may need to put up collateral, especially if you cannot provide strong financial statements.

Gather important legal documents, including your business license, articles of incorporation, third party contracts, franchise agreements and commercial leases.

7. Consider online lending. Online lending services include Kabbage and OnDeck. These loans are for businesses who want small, short-term loans. Businesses turn to these lenders to handle short-term cash flow shortfalls. The application process is quick, and most applicants can complete the application in an hour. If approved, you get the money within days.

Be aware that you will pay for the convenience of the fast processing time. These loans are expensive. A typical loan from an online source costs about the same as taking a cash advance from your credit card. The average interest rate on one of these loans can be as much as twice that of a traditional bank loan.



Method 2 Applying for Grants.

1. Compare grants with debt financing. Like a loan, a grant is typically a one-time infusion of cash. Unlike a loan, however, you do not have to pay back the money. You can think of a grant as free money. But it can be trickier to qualify for a grant than for a loan. Typically, grants are awarded to businesses that meet special criteria. For example, non-profits, minority- or women-owned businesses and those that perform highly-technical research and development activities often qualify for grant money.

2. Find out if you qualify for federal grant money. The federal government does not give grants for starting or growing a small business. Some businesses do receive federal grant money if they are involved in something related to a policy initiative. For example, the Small Business Administration (SBA) can sometimes make grants to non-profits for education and training. Also, federal grants sometimes fund medical research, science, education and highly-technical research and development activities.

SBA grants for non-profits are announced on grants.gov.

Businesses qualifying for specific initiative grants authorized by Congress will be notified.

U.S. government's Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program and its Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs offer grants for high-tech research and development. You can find out about these grants at SBIR.gov.

3. Find state and local grants. State and local governments sometimes offer grants to specific kinds of businesses. For example, some states offer grants for expanding child care facilities. Other initiatives for which you may find state grants include developing energy-efficient technology and creating marketing for tourism. You usually are required to match funds if you receive one of these grants. Also, the grants are typically small, so you may have to seek other forms of financing, such as a loan.

4. Apply for grants for women- or minority-owned businesses. Most states offer grants for women- or minority-owned businesses. Also, federal agencies assist women and minorities to find funding to start or expand their businesses. Finally, private funding sources are available for women- and minority-owned businesses.

Go to the business section of your state's website to find available grants. Here you will also find information about any incentives or programs your state has available for your business.

Visit the Minority Business Development Agency (MBDA) at mbda.gov. This agency is run by the U.S. Department of Commerce, and it helps minorities and women to establish and expand their businesses. Here you can research grants and find links to state funding for your business.

Private companies that fund grants for women-owned businesses include Huggies, Chase Google, InnovateHER, Fedex, Idea Cafe, the Woman Veteran Entrepreneur Corp (WVEC), Walmart and Zion's Bank.

Private companies that offer grants for minority-owned businesses include Fedex, the National Association for the Self Employed (NASE), Miller Lite and Huggies.



Method 3 Finding Investors.

1. Compare investments with other types of financing. Investments are similar to grants in that they do not have to be paid back. However, they are different from grants in that the investor contributes to the company in exchange for shares, or partial ownership, of the company. This is called equity financing. Companies who choose to find investors are typically young companies that cannot qualify for other types of financing.

2. Find venture capital investments. Venture capital is perfect for businesses that cannot qualify for traditional financing either because of their small size, early stage of development or lack of equity capital. Venture capital funds invest cash in exchange for shares in your business and an active role in running the business. These investors target young, high-growth companies. This is typically a long-term commitment that gives young companies time to grow into profitable businesses.

Find venture capital funds through the Small Business Investment Program (SBIC). This program is administered by the SBA. It licenses private funds as SBICs and links them to businesses seeking equity financing. You can find the list of licensed funds by state at www.sba.gov/content/sbic-directory.

Each venture fund is a private company with its own application process. In general, the fund begins by reviewing your business plan. Then it does due diligence on your business to evaluate the worth of the investment. If the fund decides to invest, it will take an active role in running the business with you. As your company meets milestones, more financing may be available. Venture funds typically exit the investment after four to six years via mergers, acquisitions or Initial Public Offerings (IPOs).

3. Seek an angel investor. Angel investors are high-net-worth individuals who seek lucrative investments in young, high-growth businesses. These investors may be doctors, lawyers or former entrepreneurs. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has established specific criteria for accrediting angel investors.

According to the SEC, angel investors must have a net worth of at least $1 million and make $200,000 a year (or $300,000 a year jointly with a spouse).

Angel investors give you money in exchange for shares in your company. This exchange must be registered with the SEC.

Find angel investors through networking with your local Chamber of Commerce or Small Business Development Center. Also, a trusted lawyer or accountant may be able to link you to an angel investor.

Find angel investors online at the Angel Capital Association (ACA), AngelList and MicroVentures.

4. Ask friends and family. You may have friends or family members who are willing to invest in your business. Be very careful about making this choice. Unless they are already wealthy, sophisticated investors, they may not understand the risk involved. If your business fails, you cannot easily shut it down and walk away if friends and family are partial owners. Before accepting their money, make sure they understand how easily it can be lost.
February 10, 2020


How to Choose Business Financing.


Every business needs funding for a variety of reasons, including startup, operations, equipment and project completion. Finance for business is a complex subject that must be approached from a variety of angles. There are many business financing options, some of which may or may not be right for your particular needs. In order to evaluate your situation and determine which finance avenues to pursue, there is a variety of factors to consider. Follow these guidelines to choose business financing.



Method 1 Arranging for a Loan.

1. Compare loans with other types of financing. Loans are a type of debt financing. This means that you have to pay the money back, plus interest. Loans are typically offered by banks, credit unions or other financial institutions. Businesses that typically qualify for loans have a strong business plan, favorable business credit rating and a fair amount of equity capital.

Equity capital is the current market value of everything the company owns less any liabilities owed by the company.

Lenders are sometimes hesitant to give loans to companies without a lot of equity capital. Without equity capital, businesses don't have much collateral to put up for a loan. Also, revenues earned by the business will go toward repaying the debt instead of growing the business.

2. Get a line of credit from a bank. A line of credit is different from a typical loan in that it doesn't give you a lump sum of cash. Rather, like a credit card, you withdraw from the available credit any time you need it. You only withdraw as much as you need. This gives you control over the amount of interest expense you will have to pay. A line of credit can help you control your cash flow as your expenses or income ebb and flow.

To qualify for a line of credit, be prepared to submit financial statements, personal tax returns, business tax returns, bank account information and business registration documents.

Annual reviews are required to maintain your line of credit.

3. Obtain a business loan from a bank. A business loan is like any other kind of term loan. Business loans come with fixed interest rates. You make monthly payments over a period of years until the loan is paid off. Unlike a line of credit, a term loan gives you a lump sum of cash up front. Businesses who are expanding their space or funding other large investments can benefit from a term business loan.

Before making a loan, lenders want to know what the loan is for and how you will spend the money. Be prepared to demonstrate that the loan is for a sound financial purpose.

Different lenders require different documents. In general, be prepared to produce: your personal and business credit history; personal and business financial statements for existing and startup businesses; projected financial statements; a strong, detailed business plan; cash flow projections for at least a year; and personal guaranties from all principal owners of the business.

Large banks tend to avoid working with small businesses. They don't want to do all of the work to underwrite a small loan that won't make a large profit for them.

Local banks with whom you already have done business or credit unions may be more willing to work with small businesses.

4. Apply for a commercial loan. A commercial loan is similar to a home equity loan. It is for businesses that own commercial real estate. You borrow against the equity you have in the commercial real estate you own. The amount you can borrow depends on the value of your property and how much equity you have.

Commercial loans are not backed by government entities like Fannie Mae, so lenders see these loans as risky. Therefore, they tend to charge higher interest rates for them. Also lenders scrutinize the business more closely as well as the real estate that will serve as collateral for the loan.

5. Request a Small Business Association (SBA) loan. These loans are given by participating banks and are guaranteed by the SBA. They are for businesses that might have trouble getting a traditional bank loan. The SBA guarantees a portion of your loan to repay if you default on your payments. Find a bank that works with SBA loans by visiting www.sba.gov/lenders-top-100. Use the application checklist (www.sba.gov/content/sba-loan-application-checklist) to make sure you have all of the necessary documentation.

SBA loans for starting and expanding a business include the Basic 7(a) Loan Program, the Certified Development Company (CDC) 504 Loan Program and the Microloan Program.

SBA also offers disaster assistance loans for businesses in a declared disaster area and economic injury loans for businesses that have suffered a physical or agricultural production disaster.

Export assistance loans help exporters obtain financing to support exporting activities or to compete if they have been adversely affected by competition from imports.

Veteran and military community loans help businesses meet expenses when an essential employee has been called up on active duty.

Other special purpose loans include CAPlines, which help businesses purchase capital equipment, pollution control loans for pollution control facilities, and the U.S. Community Adjustment And Investment Program (CAIP), for businesses that have been adversely affected by the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

6. Work with state and local economic development agencies. Economic development agencies exist in every state and in some local municipalities. They provide low-interest loans to businesses that might not qualify for traditional bank loans. In addition to financial services, these agencies provide startup advice, training, business location selection assistance and employee recruitment and training assistance. You can find the economic development agency in your state by visiting www.sba.gov/content/economic-development-agencies. You can also contact your city or county government office to find out about their economic development programs.

Each agency has its own application process. However many require the same basic documentation. Gather the following information.

A loan application form that details why you are applying for the loan and how you will use the money.

Your resume gives lenders information about your expertise in the field.

All lenders will require a sound business plan. For help with writing your business plan, visit www.sba.gov/writing-business-plan.

Your business credit report gives lenders information about your credit worthiness.

Be prepared to submit your business and personal tax returns for the past three years.

Prepare historical financial statements, including your balance sheet, income statement, cash flow statement and bank statements. You may also be asked to submit projected financial statements.

Be able to demonstrate your business' current financial position with accounts receivable and accounts payable information.

You may need to put up collateral, especially if you cannot provide strong financial statements.

Gather important legal documents, including your business license, articles of incorporation, third party contracts, franchise agreements and commercial leases.

7. Consider online lending. Online lending services include Kabbage and OnDeck. These loans are for businesses who want small, short-term loans. Businesses turn to these lenders to handle short-term cash flow shortfalls. The application process is quick, and most applicants can complete the application in an hour. If approved, you get the money within days.

Be aware that you will pay for the convenience of the fast processing time. These loans are expensive. A typical loan from an online source costs about the same as taking a cash advance from your credit card. The average interest rate on one of these loans can be as much as twice that of a traditional bank loan.



Method 2 Applying for Grants.

1. Compare grants with debt financing. Like a loan, a grant is typically a one-time infusion of cash. Unlike a loan, however, you do not have to pay back the money. You can think of a grant as free money. But it can be trickier to qualify for a grant than for a loan. Typically, grants are awarded to businesses that meet special criteria. For example, non-profits, minority- or women-owned businesses and those that perform highly-technical research and development activities often qualify for grant money.

2. Find out if you qualify for federal grant money. The federal government does not give grants for starting or growing a small business. Some businesses do receive federal grant money if they are involved in something related to a policy initiative. For example, the Small Business Administration (SBA) can sometimes make grants to non-profits for education and training. Also, federal grants sometimes fund medical research, science, education and highly-technical research and development activities.

SBA grants for non-profits are announced on grants.gov.

Businesses qualifying for specific initiative grants authorized by Congress will be notified.

U.S. government's Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program and its Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs offer grants for high-tech research and development. You can find out about these grants at SBIR.gov.

3. Find state and local grants. State and local governments sometimes offer grants to specific kinds of businesses. For example, some states offer grants for expanding child care facilities. Other initiatives for which you may find state grants include developing energy-efficient technology and creating marketing for tourism. You usually are required to match funds if you receive one of these grants. Also, the grants are typically small, so you may have to seek other forms of financing, such as a loan.

4. Apply for grants for women- or minority-owned businesses. Most states offer grants for women- or minority-owned businesses. Also, federal agencies assist women and minorities to find funding to start or expand their businesses. Finally, private funding sources are available for women- and minority-owned businesses.

Go to the business section of your state's website to find available grants. Here you will also find information about any incentives or programs your state has available for your business.

Visit the Minority Business Development Agency (MBDA) at mbda.gov. This agency is run by the U.S. Department of Commerce, and it helps minorities and women to establish and expand their businesses. Here you can research grants and find links to state funding for your business.

Private companies that fund grants for women-owned businesses include Huggies, Chase Google, InnovateHER, Fedex, Idea Cafe, the Woman Veteran Entrepreneur Corp (WVEC), Walmart and Zion's Bank.

Private companies that offer grants for minority-owned businesses include Fedex, the National Association for the Self Employed (NASE), Miller Lite and Huggies.



Method 3 Finding Investors.

1. Compare investments with other types of financing. Investments are similar to grants in that they do not have to be paid back. However, they are different from grants in that the investor contributes to the company in exchange for shares, or partial ownership, of the company. This is called equity financing. Companies who choose to find investors are typically young companies that cannot qualify for other types of financing.

2. Find venture capital investments. Venture capital is perfect for businesses that cannot qualify for traditional financing either because of their small size, early stage of development or lack of equity capital. Venture capital funds invest cash in exchange for shares in your business and an active role in running the business. These investors target young, high-growth companies. This is typically a long-term commitment that gives young companies time to grow into profitable businesses.

Find venture capital funds through the Small Business Investment Program (SBIC). This program is administered by the SBA. It licenses private funds as SBICs and links them to businesses seeking equity financing. You can find the list of licensed funds by state at www.sba.gov/content/sbic-directory.

Each venture fund is a private company with its own application process. In general, the fund begins by reviewing your business plan. Then it does due diligence on your business to evaluate the worth of the investment. If the fund decides to invest, it will take an active role in running the business with you. As your company meets milestones, more financing may be available. Venture funds typically exit the investment after four to six years via mergers, acquisitions or Initial Public Offerings (IPOs).

3. Seek an angel investor. Angel investors are high-net-worth individuals who seek lucrative investments in young, high-growth businesses. These investors may be doctors, lawyers or former entrepreneurs. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has established specific criteria for accrediting angel investors.

According to the SEC, angel investors must have a net worth of at least $1 million and make $200,000 a year (or $300,000 a year jointly with a spouse).

Angel investors give you money in exchange for shares in your company. This exchange must be registered with the SEC.

Find angel investors through networking with your local Chamber of Commerce or Small Business Development Center. Also, a trusted lawyer or accountant may be able to link you to an angel investor.

Find angel investors online at the Angel Capital Association (ACA), AngelList and MicroVentures.

4. Ask friends and family. You may have friends or family members who are willing to invest in your business. Be very careful about making this choice. Unless they are already wealthy, sophisticated investors, they may not understand the risk involved. If your business fails, you cannot easily shut it down and walk away if friends and family are partial owners. Before accepting their money, make sure they understand how easily it can be lost.
February 09, 2020