Value Investing Strategies PART 2

Value Investing Strategies.

By ADAM HAYES.
The key to buying an undervalued stock is to thoroughly research the company and make common-sense decisions. Value investor Christopher H. Browne recommends asking if a company is likely to increase its revenue via the following methods:

Raising prices on products.
Increasing sales figures.
Decreasing expenses.
Selling off or closing down unprofitable divisions.

Browne also suggests studying a company's competitors to evaluate its future growth prospects. But the answers to all of these questions tend to be speculative, without any real supportive numerical data. Simply put: There are no quantitative software programs yet available to help achieve these answers, which makes value stock investing somewhat of a grand guessing game. For this reason, Warren Buffett recommends investing only in industries you have personally worked in, or whose consumer goods you are familiar with, like cars, clothes, appliances, and food.

One thing investors can do is choose the stocks of companies that sell high-demand products and services. While it's difficult to predict when innovative new products will capture market share, it's easy to gauge how long a company has been in business and study how it has adapted to challenges over time.

Insider Buying and Selling.
For our purposes, insiders are the company’s senior managers and directors, plus any shareholders who own at least 10% of the company’s stock. A company’s managers and directors have unique knowledge about the companies they run, so if they are purchasing its stock, it’s reasonable to assume that the company’s prospects look favorable.

Likewise, investors who own at least 10% of a company’s stock wouldn’t have bought so much if they didn’t see profit potential. Conversely, a sale of stock by an insider doesn’t necessarily point to bad news about the company’s anticipated performance — the insider might simply need cash for any number of personal reasons. Nonetheless, if mass sell-offs are occurring by insiders, such a situation may warrant further in-depth analysis of the reason behind the sale.

Analyze Earnings Reports.
At some point, value investors have to look at a company's financials to see how its performing and compare it to industry peers.

Financial reports present a company’s annual and quarterly performance results. The annual report is SEC form 10-K, and the quarterly report is SEC form 10-Q. Companies are required to file these reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). You can find them at the SEC website or the company’s investor relations page on their website.

You can learn a lot from a company’s annual report. It will explain the products and services offered as well as where the company is heading.

Analyze Financial Statements.
A company’s balance sheet provides a big picture of the company’s financial condition. The balance sheet consists of two sections, one listing the company’s assets and another listing its liabilities and equity. The assets section is broken down into a company’s cash and cash equivalents; investments; accounts receivable or money owed from customers, inventories, and fixed assets such as plant and equipment.

The liabilities section lists the company’s accounts payable or money owed, accrued liabilities, short-term debt, and long-term debt. The shareholders’ equity section reflects how much money is invested in the company, how many shares outstanding, and how much the company has as retained earnings. Retained earnings is a type of savings account that holds the cumulative profits from the company. Retained earnings are used to pay dividends, for example, and is considered a sign of a healthy, profitable company.

The income statement tells you how much revenue is being generated, the company's expenses, and profits. Looking at the annual income statement rather than a quarterly statement will give you a better idea of the company’s overall position since many companies experience fluctuations in sales volume during the year.

 Studies have consistently found that value stocks outperform growth stocks and the market as a whole, over the long-term.
Couch Potato Value Investing
It is possible to become a value investor without ever reading a 10-K. Couch potato investing is a passive strategy of buying and holding a few investing vehicles for which someone else has already done the investment analysis—i.e., mutual funds or exchange-traded funds. In the case of value investing, those funds would be those that follow the value strategy and buy value stocks—or track the moves of high-profile value investors, like Warren Buffet. Investors can buy shares of his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, which owns or has an interest in dozens of companies the Oracle of Omaha has researched and evaluated.

Risks with Value Investing.
As with any investment strategy, there's the risk of loss with value investing despite it being a low-to-medium-risk strategy. Below we highlight a few of those risks and why losses can occur.

The Figures are Important.
Many investors use financial statements when they make value investing decisions. So if you rely on your own analysis, make sure you have the most updated information and that your calculations are accurate. If not, you may end up making a poor investment or miss out on a great one. If you aren’t yet confident in your ability to read and analyze financial statements and reports, keep studying these subjects and don’t place any trades until you’re truly ready. (For more on this subject, learn more about financial statements.)

One strategy is to read the footnotes. These are the notes in a Form 10-K or Form 10-Q that explain a company’s financial statements in greater detail. The notes follow the statements and explain the company’s accounting methods and elaborate on reported results. If the footnotes are unintelligible or the information they present seems unreasonable, you’ll have a better idea of whether to pass on the stock.

Extraordinary Gains or Losses.
There are some incidents that may show up on a company's income statement that should be considered exceptions or extraordinary. These are generally beyond the company's control and are called extraordinary item—gain or extraordinary item—loss. Some examples include lawsuits, restructuring, or even a natural disaster. If you exclude these from your analysis, you can probably get a sense of the company's future performance.

However, think critically about these items, and use your judgment. If a company has a pattern of reporting the same extraordinary item year after year, it might not be too extraordinary. Also, if there are unexpected losses year after year, this can be a sign that the company is having financial problems. Extraordinary items are supposed to be unusual and nonrecurring. Also, beware of a pattern of write-offs.

Ignoring Ratio Analysis Flaws.
Earlier sections of this tutorial have discussed the calculation of various financial ratios that help investors diagnose a company’s financial health. There isn't just one way to determine financial ratios, which can be fairly problematic. The following can affect how the ratios can be interpreted:

Ratios can be determined using before-tax or after-tax numbers.
Some ratios don't give accurate results but lead to estimations.
Depending on how the term earnings are defined, a company's earnings per share (EPS) may differ.
Comparing different companies by their ratios—even if the ratios are the same—may be difficult since companies have different accounting practices. (Learn more about when a company recognizes profits in Understanding The Income Statement.)

Buying Overvalued Stock.
Overpaying for a stock is one of the main risks for value investors. You can risk losing part or all of your money if you overpay. The same goes if you buy a stock close to its fair market value. Buying a stock that's undervalued means your risk of losing money is reduced, even when the company doesn't do well.

Recall that one of the fundamental principles of value investing is to build a margin of safety into all your investments. This means purchasing stocks at a price of around two-thirds or less of their intrinsic value. Value investors want to risk as little capital as possible in potentially overvalued assets, so they try not to overpay for investments.

Not Diversifying.
Conventional investment wisdom says that investing in individual stocks can be a high-risk strategy. Instead, we are taught to invest in multiple stocks or stock indexes so that we have exposure to a wide variety of companies and economic sectors. However, some value investors believe that you can have a diversified portfolio even if you only own a small number of stocks, as long as you choose stocks that represent different industries and different sectors of the economy. Value investor and investment manager Christopher H. Browne recommends owning a minimum of 10 stocks in his “Little Book of Value Investing.” According to Benjamin Graham, a famous value investor, you should look at choosing 10 to 30 stocks if you want to diversify your holdings.

Another set of experts, though, say differently. If you want to get big returns, try choosing just a few stocks, according to the authors of the second edition of “Value Investing for Dummies.” They say having more stocks in your portfolio will probably lead to an average return. Of course, this advice assumes that you are great at choosing winners, which may not be the case, particularly if you are a value-investing novice.

Listening to Your Emotions.
It is difficult to ignore your emotions when making investment decisions. Even if you can take a detached, critical standpoint when evaluating numbers, fear and excitement may creep in when it comes time to actually use part of your hard-earned savings to purchase a stock. More importantly, once you have purchased the stock, you may be tempted to sell it if the price falls. Keep in mind that the point of value investing is to resist the temptation to panic and go with the herd. So don't fall into the trap of buying when share prices rise and selling when they drop. Such behavior will obliterate your returns. (Playing follow-the-leader in investing can quickly become a dangerous game.

Example of a Value Investment.
Value investors seek to profit from market overreactions that usually come from the release of a quarterly earnings report. As a historical real example, on May 4, 2016, Fitbit released its Q1 2016 earnings report and saw a sharp decline in after-hours trading. After the flurry was over, the company lost nearly 19% of its value. However, while large decreases in a company's share price are not uncommon after the release of an earnings report, Fitbit not only met analyst expectations for the quarter but even increased guidance for 2016.

The company earned $505.4 million in revenue for the first quarter of 2016, up more than 50% when compared to the same time period from one year ago. Further, Fitbit expects to generate between $565 million and $585 million in the second quarter of 2016, which is above the $531 million forecasted by analysts. The company looks to be strong and growing. However, since Fitbit invested heavily in research and development costs in the first quarter of the year, earnings per share (EPS) declined when compared to a year ago. This is all average investors needed to jump on Fitbit, selling off enough shares to cause the price to decline. However, a value investor looks at the fundamentals of Fitbit and understands it is an undervalued security, poised to potentially increase in the future.

The Bottom Line.
Value investing is a long-term strategy. Warren Buffett, for example, buys stocks with the intention of holding them almost indefinitely. He once said, “I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.” You will probably want to sell your stocks when it comes time to make a major purchase or retire, but by holding a variety of stocks and maintaining a long-term outlook, you can sell your stocks only when their price exceeds their fair market value (and the price you paid for them).

July 25, 2020

How to Start an Investment Club

How to Start an Investment Club.

If you're interested in investing but don't want to go at it alone, you can join an investment club or even start one of your own. An investment club consists of members who study stocks, bonds and other investments. The goal is to have each member take an industry and report to the group why they think it is a great investment. Knowledge is power, and wisdom from many helps assure success. Many times they will pool their money together in order to make joint investment decisions. It's a great way to give and get wisdom. Working with others will help you and others make intelligent investment decisions.

Part 1 Getting Your Club Together.
1. Find potential members for your club. They can be local, so you can meet in person, or they can live far away, and you can meet online. Aim for a club with 10 to 15 members, but anything from six to 20 is workable. When you have fewer people you might have trouble getting enough funds together to invest (some investments favor the larger investor). However, with a large group, both maintaining high-quality discussions and finding a place to meet become concerns.
Spread the word. Tell family, friends, and co-workers about your club-in-the-making. Put together a flyer describing what you have in mind, and pass it out, post it on message boards, send it through e-mail, etc.
2. Hold a preliminary meeting. Get together with the people who are interested, provide snacks and refreshments, and discuss the formation of a club.
Define goals. Are people more interested in the club for its educational value, or for the financial returns? Are they interested in short-term or long-term investing? (Most investment clubs use a buy-and-hold strategy.) Will your members share a general investing philosophy and approach?
Determine how much each member can contribute financially.
If people make different contributions, their returns should be proportional.
You can either pool your investment funds and invest together (a common practice) or invest through individual accounts (self-directed).
Consider starting your club through BetterInvesting.org, an organization that can provide education, support, and online tools and resources for your club.
Determine if your club needs to register with the SEC. You can find more information on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission at: https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/invclub.htm
3. Gauge member interest level. In other words, decide whether you really want to invest with these people. An investment club will involve significant risk for those involved. The risks, and consequently the rewards, are shared among all members. This means that everyone involved should be equally interested and participate similarly. Be on the lookout for red flags among your potential members. For example, consider carefully members that might.
4. Hold an organizational meeting to iron out the details. Have another get-together with the people who are still interested to discuss and implement the club's policy and organization. The first step should be to decide on an official name for your group. Next you'll want to decide when and where to meet (a living room, library, church, or coffeehouse, depending on the size of the group). Meetings should last an hour or two. After defining these basic rules, consider also doing the following.
Defining and appointing roles within the club (president, secretary, treasurer, investor). What are their responsibilities? The terms should be one or two years, and the treasurer should have an assistant who can move up later.
Writing out how the club will manage payouts, divestiture (reducing assets or investments), or dissolution.
Laying out the policies on gaining new members and figuring out what happens when a member wants to leave the club.
5. File the necessary paperwork. In order to pool your money and invest together, you will need to incorporate your investment club into what is known as a general partnership. You will have to write out the rules of this partnership and its operation and have each member sign it once you all agree.
You should also write a club operating agreement. This would outline all the policies discussed in the previous meeting and should be signed by everyone in the group (as well as others who may join later). There are sample contracts and agreements available online and in books.
To pay taxes, you also have to apply with the IRS for an Employer Identification Number (EIN) and file a "Certificate of Conducting Business as Partners" form with a local jurisdiction (such as a Secretary of State office). Contact your local jurisdiction (city, county, or state) for more information.

Part 2 Investing with Your Club
1. Open a brokerage account or bank account. Most clubs start with both a checking and a brokerage account. Choose a broker who suits your needs (full-service, discount, or online). A full-service broker will provide advice and may attend a few meetings, while a discount or online broker will leave you to your own devices. Many investment clubs end up choosing the latter.
2. Develop an educational agenda. In most cases, investment clubs are formed by people who are still learning about investing. Not everyone is on the same page in terms of his knowledge base. Ask each member what big Question : s they have about investing. Having them submit Question : s anonymously is a good option. Choose the topics you feel should be addressed as a group. Make a "syllabus" and decide who will be doing the research and presenting the topic to the group.
You may also wish to provide a list of good, reliable sources for research. In general, you should stick to reputable financial news services and online investing encyclopedias.
3. Research potential first investments. After a period of time, when contributions to the club have been made by group members, you're ready to start looking at first investments. Have each club member research potential asset purchases like stocks, mutual funds, or investment properties and defend her choices with research. Then, you can have the group vote on their favorite choices and determine how much money to allocate to each.
Remember to keep some of your initial money uninvested in case the market presents an opportunity.
4. Invest as a group. Finalize your choices for your first investment and take the plunge. As your club continues operating, evaluate new and old investments during your regular meetings. These will typically be held once a month, although market conditions may dictate more frequent gatherings. In these meetings you should also:
Review club finances (overall gains or losses, individual investment progress and cash balance available for investment).
Make sure you have designated a single, trustworthy member who has the authority to buy and sell on behalf of the club.
5. Have fun. Celebrate your victories and commiserate your losses. This is one of the biggest reasons people join investment clubs. You could even set aside some of your gains for group outings or events. The idea is to keep everyone entertained and involved in the group so that they keep contributing funds each month and don't get bored over time.

Community Q&A.

Question : Can a group of my friends start a club where we focus on trading Futures contracts?
Answer : Yes, you can focus on any sort of investment you like. Find a full-service broker who's very experienced in that area unless you know what you're doing, in which case you can use an online brokerage.
Question : I have an existing Investment Club of 20 years and now our broker is asking for an updated membership list. We have had numerous changes in membership that we have not made officially through our by-laws. What should we do?
Answer : It is not necessary for your by-laws to list your members by name. It's a good idea, however, to keep a current membership list. Let it include identifying information such as Social Security numbers. Share that list with your broker. He may be required by law to have that information on file. If your club has a secretary or treasurer, it can be that person's responsibility to keep your membership list current along with all individual contributions and earnings.
Question : Can whole life insurance be a viable investment tool for investment clubs?
Answer : No. Life insurance could potentially be a decent investment for an individual but not for a group.
Question : We are forming an investment club for stocks, real estate, etc. How do we register and what type of account do we need?
Answer : "Registration" is not necessary. You are simply private parties making private investments. If you'll be making group purchases, you'll want a checking account for the club, as well as trading accounts with one or more brokerages. (You don't have to work exclusively with one broker.)
Question : Why, when we leave the investment club, do we only get 95% of our money?
Answer : Read the by-laws of your club. There may be a provision stating that the club retains 5% of your money for maintenance purposes.
Question : In this era where investing in stocks is highly risky, what other investment windows would you advise?
Answer : Bonds are usually considered to be less risky than stocks. You can invest in certain mutual funds that own an array of bonds. Some mutual funds invest mainly in stocks, and that's a way of diversifying your stock investment and taking on less risk. Money-market instruments such as certificates of deposit (CDs) are safe investments, but they don't pay very much interest. Unfortunately, that's usually the case: the safer the investment, the less it's likely to pay you.
Question : There are six of us. We want to pull our funds together each month and ultimately invest it. Would we need to register our group as a limited partnership the state's secretary of state office?
Answer : Probably a general partnership. Re-read Part 1, Step 5 above.
Question : Are we limited as a group to investing in stocks, bonds and real estate? Can we also invest in things like buying and selling cars, boats, auctioned-off storage units, estate sales, etc.?
Answer : A club is free to choose its own investments without restrictions.
Question : How should the profits be shared among the club members?
Answer : Profits are commonly shared in direct proportion to the amount of each member's investment, but you can agree on other arrangements if you like, such as recognizing certain members' investing prowess or willingness to do administrative work on the club's behalf.

Tips.

Don't invest immediately. Give the group a couple of months to deposit money. This will weed out those who aren't really committed to the club or who can't afford it.
When an investment goes wrong, keep your pointing finger to yourself. Use the experience to learn what not to do. Go back to the drawing board and change things if need be.
Trust has to be established for the club to be effective.
Limit investments to cash with no leverage. If margin accounts are used, every partner may be liable for the full debt.

Warnings.

Make sure that everyone understands that they might not make money and could actually lose money. Not all investments are profitable. If they were, everyone would be doing it.
Proper planning, a supportive group, and an understanding leader are vital in promoting cohesion and optimism within the group
Some members may be tempted to embezzle funds. This is why having an operating agreement and ironing out the details is important. So is your choice of club officers.
Be ready for the fact that your group will experience emotional highs and lows in the course of investing their hard-earned money.

July 02, 2020

How to Be a Successful Business Owner

How to Be a Successful Business Owner.

Most business owners will tell you that starting a business is both one of the most challenging and most rewarding ways to earn a living. Being a successful business owner requires a large amount of hard work and dedication, but also generally relies on a set of personal qualities and business practices that are common characteristics of successful entrepreneurs. These characteristics lie as much in a business's founding principles as in its day-to-day operations and dictate every decision the entrepreneur makes. By following these guidelines, you can up your chances of founding a successful business or getting your existing business back on track.

Part 1 Finding the Right Mindset.
1. Do what you know. That is, you should start a business that focuses on what you have experience in. That experience can be either prior work experience or a personal hobby that you're ready to turn into a career. Even if a business idea seems highly profitable in theory, don't start that business unless your heart is in it. While profit is important, it likely won't keep you coming in early every day and driving growth.
For example, imagine you have experience making coffee as a barista or waiter and want to turn your passion for good coffee into a small business. You would already know a good amount about the industry and be able to apply not only your knowledge but your passion to your work.
2. Start with a well-defined purpose. While the financial benefits of business ownership can be great, most successful business owners don't start with money in mind. To get your business off the ground, you'll need a clear purpose. This purpose should be something more intangible than money, like giving back to your community by creating jobs, solving a problem that you see in your daily life, or pursuing a passion. This doesn't mean that you shouldn't also strive for profitability, just that your primary goal should be the achievement of a greater purpose.
For our coffee shop example, your purpose would be serving the perfect cup of coffee to every customer. Alternately, it could be to form a community in your coffee shop where people can meet and spend time with friends.
3. Understand your customer. Before you get started, take some time to do market research and get to know your customers and your industry. The U.S. Small Business Administration provides a great deal of information on which services and products are in demand. You will also want to think about who will be buying your product or using your service and learn the best way to appeal to this population.
With the coffee shop, ask yourself: Am I trying to appeal to "coffee snobs" who don't mind waiting five minutes for their pour-over? Or is my focus on the people who are on their way to work and want to grab a cup and run? Or both? Understanding the people you plan to serve can help you serve them better.
4. Find a first step instead of a destination. You should always start with a business model that can be up and running quickly on a low budget. Too many small businesses start with grandiose goals that will require a large amount of startup capital and investors. However, successful businesses will have a model that can be used on a smaller scale. This proves to potential investors that your idea is a valid way of making money, and increases your odds of ever getting investment money (if that's what you're looking for).
For example, imagine that in our example, you want to start a large operation that sources, imports, roasts, and packages its own coffee beans that are then either sold or served to customers at its coffee shops. Rather than seeking huge contributions from investors to buy all of this equipment, you should start with a small coffee shop first, then maybe try sourcing and importing beans, and work up from there to build a brand.
5. Create a support network. One of the most important parts of successful business ownership is getting over your own ego and seeking help. Your biggest sources of advice are going to be your group of business associates and other professionals that share your goals. Surround yourself with knowledgeable and successful people and feed off of their ideas and enthusiasm.
Also seek general small business tips online; the web is a goldmine of information. Just be sure your information is from a reliable source.
6. Find a mentor. A good mentor in this case is someone who has already run or is running a successful business of their own. A good example would be a family member or family friend that has been successful in business. This mentor can help you with anything from knowing how to manage your employees to properly filing your taxes. Because their knowledge comes from direct experience, they're able to help you more personally than any other source could.
While your mentor doesn't have to have founded the same type of business you are starting, it would help. For example, another coffee shop founder would be the best source of information in our coffee shop example, but a restaurateur  could also be of significant help.

Part 2 Running Your Business Efficiently.
1. Focus only on your primary operations at first. That is, avoid being caught up in every business opportunity that comes your way. It's better to be perfect at one thing than mediocre at five. This applies as much to making decisions to diversify your business as it does to deciding to take on additional projects for yourself outside of your primary business. Focusing on one thing will allow you to commit all of your resources there and be more productive in that endeavor.
Continuing with our example, imagine that you see another coffee shop making money by selling customized coffee-related merchandise. This may make you want to jump into this market as well. However, doing so before establishing your primary objective, making coffee, would introduce significant risk, and may detract from your ability to focus on coffee quality.
2. Focus on cash flow, not profit. While making a profit should certainly be one of your goals, it should not be your main focus when you are starting out. Cash flow is far more important — many small businesses run out of money before they have even been around long enough to generate a profit, and must close their doors. Pay careful attention to your overhead costs and sales during the first years, and let profit take a backseat.
3. Keep detailed records. In order to be successful, you'll have to make a habit of recording each and every expense and revenue that your company has, as well as every dollar that flows through it. By knowing where exactly your money is coming in and where it's going, you're more capable of recognizing financial difficulties before they arise. In addition, doing this will give you a better idea of where exactly you can make cuts to expenses or increases to revenues.
For example, in our example, you would keep detailed records of how much coffee you bought and sold in a given month and what you paid for it. This could you help you identify if, for example, the price of coffee beans was steadily increasing and help you plan whether or not to raise your own prices or consider switching suppliers.
4. Limit expenses as much as possible. While this may seem obvious, just try to think of areas where you could generate the same effect by spending less money. Consider using pre-owned equipment, finding cheaper forms of advertising (for example, fliers rather than newspaper ads), or negotiating better payment terms with suppliers or customers to save a few dollars here and there. Try to maintain very low spending habits and only spent money when and where you absolutely have to.
In our example, this could mean starting out with used coffee grinders (as long as they still functioned well) and trying to get as many supplies as possible from the same supplier (cups, lids, straws, etc.).
5. Consider supply chain efficiency. Your costs, and therefore your profits, depend on a successful supply chain organization. By fostering good relationships with your suppliers, organizing deliveries, and consistently providing customers with timely service, you can increase your profitability and reputation. Successful supply chain management can also help you eliminate any part of your business with wasted resources, like raw materials or labor.
For example, our example coffee shop would want to be on good terms with its coffee bean supplier and have an organized supply chain structure for a number of reasons. This is especially crucial for ensuring that you never run out of coffee, but could also mean that you could get more consistent deliveries, try new types of coffee bean when they become available, or negotiate lower prices.
6. Consider finding strategic partners. Much like a good mentor, a strategic partner can provide you the boost you need to grow your business. Foster strategic partnerships by reaching out to businesses you think could benefit yours, whether they are suppliers, technology providers, or complementary businesses. A good relationship with another company can provide you both free advertising, lower your costs of doing business, or allow you to expand to new markets, depending on the partners you choose.
For example, your coffee shop could benefit from a strategic relationship with a supplier that gives you access to discounts or new products. Alternately, a strategic partner in a complementary business, such as a pastry shop, could help you both reach new customers and increase your revenues. This could be done either through recommending each other or by offering product's from your partner's business and vice-versa.
7. Be responsible when it comes to debt. It's very important that you realistically assess your ability to pay back any debt that you take on. While starting and running a business is always risk, try to minimize your liabilities by only taking out as much as you absolutely need. And when you do take on debt, be sure to structure your cash flows such that you are paying it off as quickly as possible. Prioritize debt repayment before you do anything else.
For example, if you took out $20,000 to get your coffee shop started, don't think about expanding your product offerings or upgrading your coffee grinders until you've paid that loan back.

Part 3 Growing Your Business.
1. Perfect your business pitch. Have a 30-second speech ready that explains your business as briefly and efficiently as possible, including information about your purpose, your service/products, and your goals. Having a practiced pitch that you can rattle off to anyone can help you in situations where you're trying to make a sale to a customer as well as it can when you're trying to bring an investor on board. If you can't explain your business in this short time, your business plan needs refining.
For your coffee shop, you'd want to explain what you do (sell coffee), your services (the drinks you offer), what makes you special (maybe the coffee you serve is rare or locally roasted), and what you plan to do next (expand to another location, new products, etc.).
2. Earn a reputation for good service. Earning a positive reputation is like free advertising; your customers will spread the word of your business to friends and come back frequently. Treat each and every sale like the success or failure of your business depends on it. This also means that you should be consistent with every action your business takes and every interaction with customers.
For your coffee shop, this may mean throwing out a burnt batch of coffee so that your customers are always served the absolutely best product you can offer.
3. Watch your competition closely. You should always look to your competitors for ideas, especially when you're starting out. Chances are, they're doing something right. If you can figure out what that is, you can implement it in your own business and avoid the trial-and-error they probably went through to get there.
One of the best ways to do this when you're starting out is to examine your competitors' pricing strategies. In our coffee shop example, it would be much simpler to price your coffee similarly to competitors rather than to experiment with different prices on your own.
4. Always be looking for growth opportunities. Once you've gotten established, you should always be on the lookout for places you can expand. Whether that means moving to a larger storefront, increasing manufacturing space, or opening a new location will depend on your business and goals. Successful business owners realize that one of the primary opponents to long-term growth is remaining stagnant. This means taking the risk of expansion rather than resting on your laurels at one, original location.
For our coffee example, maybe there is a nearby area that you find is underserved by coffee shops. Once your primary location is up and running smoothly, you should investigate opening a new shop in that area. This could also mean moving up from a small stand to a full coffee shop, depending on your circumstances.
5. Diversify your income streams. Another way to increase the value of your business is by seeking out other areas where you can make money. Assuming you've already established your primary business, look around and see where you could offer a different service or product. Maybe your customers frequently visit your store for one item and then immediately go to another store for a different item. Find out what that other item is and offer it.
Some easy diversification options for your coffee shop would be offering pastries, sandwiches, or books for purchase.

Community Q&A.

Question : How can I be successful in business generally?
Answer : Read a lot of books on business management and take all the information you can take. Then try to apply it practically. This article may be of use to you: how to become a successful businessman.
Question : How do I make myself CEO of my business?
Answer : If you start a business as a corporation, you (as the founder) can give yourself the responsibilities and title of CEO.

Tips.

Be prepared with 6 months worth of working capital in your business.
This article serves primarily as a guide for the business owner in getting the most out of their business. For more detailed guides that cover the minute details of starting a business, see how to start a small business and how to run a small business.
Pay all insurances up for the year, (I.e., liability, etc.) as soon as possible.

Warnings.
You can lose money if you are personally invested in your company.

June 04, 2020

how to detox your finances

How to Detox Your Finances.

One thing you need to do when you resolve to get your financial ducks in a row is to know how to detox your finances. It is important to get rid of old habits, any residual money pits, or anything else that is hurting you financially so that you can move on in a financially sound manner. These steps provide a financial detox plan to get you on your way.

Steps.

1. Sort out your credit and debts immediately.

Check your credit report. Do this, at the very least, annually. You are entitled to a free credit report once a year from each of the three major agencies.

Manage your credit. Don't let it manage you. Don't max out your cards just because you have a certain limit. It's more important to stay conscious of what you can afford to pay rather than relying on any illusory limit as a source of your finances. The banks want you to spend that much; it doesn't mean you have the income flow capacity to meet it regularly!

Manage your debt. If you are struggling, talk to your creditors. Don't ignore the problem, it will not go away on its own, it will only get worse. The sooner that you seek financial advice and support, the faster you can turn around debt problems.

Avoid store credit cards. Their APR (annual percentage rate) is considerably higher than a 'regular' credit card and having several cards can tempt you into thinking you have more spare cash than you actually do. Store cards also tie you down to spending at one place, regardless of whether it has the best deals or not.

2. Sort out your savings and insurance.

Get a decent interest level in your savings account. Work out how much you can spare from your income to place into this account and try to stick with that minimum on a regular basis. Keep checking for better savings deals and switch your money around to follow increased interest returns - internet banking makes it easier to track interest changes and change your savings approach regularly.

Realize that saving in a low interest savings account might not actually be the best use of your money. If you can use 100 dollars towards knocking down a high rate card or a very low rate savings account, think hard about where to use it.

Invest in yourself. Get some life insurance. Educate yourself about the different types of insurance and what suits you at the time. If you can't afford to make such a payment now, what makes you think your family will be able to if something happens to you? It's a priority worth sorting out in the present.

3. Become actively involved in your finances.

Think about where the money is going, what it is doing. Don't just 'let it happen', or hope that money will come to you. Active planning, saving, and debt paying requires the investment of your time and engaged interest.

Undertake weekly money management tasks. It is better to spend 20 minutes a week sorting finances than to leave it all to tax time - incremental financial attention each week will save you a lot of effort and time in the long run.

4. Watch out for fraud. There are some key things that you can do to protect yourself:

Destroy any unneeded receipts and statements;

Retain the receipts you do need (in a safe place) and compare them against credit card and other financial statements;

Never disclose your personal information to someone on the phone, such as a cold sales call or through your email. It is crucial to remember that most of the time, your email is not secure.

Redirect your mail immediately when you move. If someone moves into a house behind you, they are unlikely to have the same stake that you will in safeguarding your information and will simply throw things in the trash where they can be found by others, or worse still, might be tempted to make fraudulent use of it.

Check your credit report periodically.

Remember that if a deal seems too good to be true, it probably is. Do your research and ask trusted people for advice before leaping in and spending your money.

5. Track your expenditures.

Do this to identify where your money is going and whether or not each expenditure is necessary or frivolous. This will allow you to build a bigger spending pattern and review what you are spending your money on. You can do this by:

Saving receipts (for at least as long as it will take you to note down the cost and what was covered).

Keeping a notebook handy that you can write down prices and purchases as they occur.

6. Think before you buy.

Save, then buy. Start reminding yourself often that don't have to have that item or service right now. That new computer will wait until you can save up to get a new one. Putting a $500 computer on credit now can easily cost you over a thousand dollars over the period it takes to pay it off. Write "New Computer" on an envelope and put money into it every chance you get. Hide the envelope and don't ever take money out except for the new computer.

Avoid impulse buying. Nothing is that important. Stores prey on consumers trying to get you to buy. That is why they are laid out the way they are and why the candy and magazines are right by the cash register.

Carry it around the store for a while. Quite often, you will realize that maybe you don't need it just now. Research it on the Internet to see if you can find it more cheaply, or to see if it really does do what you want it to. Maybe you can borrow someone else's rather than owning it? Think through all the options.

Don't buy into a brand just because you always have. With today's technology, there are alternatives to just about anything, and quite often they are less expensive. Look around and be a choosy buyer. Use buyer comparison sites before you go shopping so that you are aware of the best deals and can use this knowledge to bargain with.

Learn how to haggle and don't be uncomfortable about it. Bargaining is a good way of getting a fair deal.

7. Take charge of your home space.

Sell things that you aren't using or don't want. They are just taking up space and not giving you joy. If you can't sell it, consider donating it. Your personal environment will be a lot cleaner for it and other people can benefit from your donation.

Declutter your home and your life. Clean out your garage, have a yard sale, etc. Doing this will surprisingly lighten your load. It is also a good way of reminding yourself that it's easier not to bring things into the house in the first place as you'll only end up having to clean them out!

Look at your energy usage. Change to light bulbs that use less energy, water heating that is less energy-intensive and turn off your appliances when not in use. Simple things that can save you a lot of money in the long run.

8. Take charge of your earnings.

Earn what you deserve. Look at your wages. Find out what the going rate is for what you are doing in your area. See what you can do to get your salary increased.

Increase your brand value. Yes, your brand value. See what you can do to increase your value to yourself and to your employers.

9. Balance your life and your work. Balance is very important to help you deal with day to day problems. When you are off balance with one thing, other problems will quickly follow and it can be all too easy to resort to spending as the answer to not coping with juggling many things in your life. Slow down and do a stocktake on what you need to change about the way you're living.

10. Teach your children about finances. Don't just assume that because they are kids, they shouldn't have to think about how to budget and how to delay desires for instant gratification. The bad habits they start now will stay with them; equally, teaching them good habits will be life-lasting too.

Tips.

If you have a lot of debt from credit cards, personal loans, payday or car title loans or medical bills, you may want to consult an attorney about bankruptcy.

Visit a free credit counselor in your area for financial and budgetary advice and counseling. These can be especially helpful if you feel you are in over your head.

Avoid blurring wants and needs. It is important to focus on the things you need first and be very conscious about fulfilling your wants.

AnnualCreditReport.com provides consumers with the secure means to request and obtain a free credit report once every 12 months from each of the three nationwide consumer credit reporting companies in accordance with the Fair and Accurate Credit Transactions Act (FACT Act). AnnualCreditReport.com offers consumers a fast and convenient way to request, view and print their credit reports in a secure Internet environment. They also provide options to request reports by telephone and by mail.

Warnings.

Stay away from companies that offer to repair your credit report or score. Many times these agencies will contest all the debts shown on your report. This process works temporarily, as creditors are required to verify debt within 30 days or it is removed from your report. At this point you will appear to have a "clean" record and the agency may collect a hefty fee from you. When the creditors do get around to verifying your debt, it will simply be added to your report again.

None of the advertised credit offers have accurate reporting from the credit bureaus.

There are many companies out there who will offer "free" credit services like reports and score monitoring to first-time customers. Be advised that while you may receive an initial report for free, you may be required to sign up for some kind of paid membership after your trial period is over. These reports are not directly from the credit bureaus, and they are not always accurate.

Credit bureaus do not maintain reporting agencies. There is only one agency maintained, an which deals directly with the bureaus. This site deals with both the FTC and the credit bureaus.

January 20, 2020

How to Detox Your Finances

How to Detox Your Finances.

One thing you need to do when you resolve to get your financial ducks in a row is to know how to detox your finances. It is important to get rid of old habits, any residual money pits, or anything else that is hurting you financially so that you can move on in a financially sound manner. These steps provide a financial detox plan to get you on your way.

Steps.

1. Sort out your credit and debts immediately.

Check your credit report. Do this, at the very least, annually. You are entitled to a free credit report once a year from each of the three major agencies.

Manage your credit. Don't let it manage you. Don't max out your cards just because you have a certain limit. It's more important to stay conscious of what you can afford to pay rather than relying on any illusory limit as a source of your finances. The banks want you to spend that much; it doesn't mean you have the income flow capacity to meet it regularly!

Manage your debt. If you are struggling, talk to your creditors. Don't ignore the problem, it will not go away on its own, it will only get worse. The sooner that you seek financial advice and support, the faster you can turn around debt problems.

Avoid store credit cards. Their APR (annual percentage rate) is considerably higher than a 'regular' credit card and having several cards can tempt you into thinking you have more spare cash than you actually do. Store cards also tie you down to spending at one place, regardless of whether it has the best deals or not.

2. Sort out your savings and insurance.

Get a decent interest level in your savings account. Work out how much you can spare from your income to place into this account and try to stick with that minimum on a regular basis. Keep checking for better savings deals and switch your money around to follow increased interest returns - internet banking makes it easier to track interest changes and change your savings approach regularly.

Realize that saving in a low interest savings account might not actually be the best use of your money. If you can use 100 dollars towards knocking down a high rate card or a very low rate savings account, think hard about where to use it.

Invest in yourself. Get some life insurance. Educate yourself about the different types of insurance and what suits you at the time. If you can't afford to make such a payment now, what makes you think your family will be able to if something happens to you? It's a priority worth sorting out in the present.

3. Become actively involved in your finances.

Think about where the money is going, what it is doing. Don't just 'let it happen', or hope that money will come to you. Active planning, saving, and debt paying requires the investment of your time and engaged interest.

Undertake weekly money management tasks. It is better to spend 20 minutes a week sorting finances than to leave it all to tax time - incremental financial attention each week will save you a lot of effort and time in the long run.

4. Watch out for fraud. There are some key things that you can do to protect yourself:

Destroy any unneeded receipts and statements;

Retain the receipts you do need (in a safe place) and compare them against credit card and other financial statements;

Never disclose your personal information to someone on the phone, such as a cold sales call or through your email. It is crucial to remember that most of the time, your email is not secure.

Redirect your mail immediately when you move. If someone moves into a house behind you, they are unlikely to have the same stake that you will in safeguarding your information and will simply throw things in the trash where they can be found by others, or worse still, might be tempted to make fraudulent use of it.

Check your credit report periodically.

Remember that if a deal seems too good to be true, it probably is. Do your research and ask trusted people for advice before leaping in and spending your money.

5. Track your expenditures.

Do this to identify where your money is going and whether or not each expenditure is necessary or frivolous. This will allow you to build a bigger spending pattern and review what you are spending your money on. You can do this by:

Saving receipts (for at least as long as it will take you to note down the cost and what was covered).

Keeping a notebook handy that you can write down prices and purchases as they occur.

6. Think before you buy.

Save, then buy. Start reminding yourself often that don't have to have that item or service right now. That new computer will wait until you can save up to get a new one. Putting a $500 computer on credit now can easily cost you over a thousand dollars over the period it takes to pay it off. Write "New Computer" on an envelope and put money into it every chance you get. Hide the envelope and don't ever take money out except for the new computer.

Avoid impulse buying. Nothing is that important. Stores prey on consumers trying to get you to buy. That is why they are laid out the way they are and why the candy and magazines are right by the cash register.

Carry it around the store for a while. Quite often, you will realize that maybe you don't need it just now. Research it on the Internet to see if you can find it more cheaply, or to see if it really does do what you want it to. Maybe you can borrow someone else's rather than owning it? Think through all the options.

Don't buy into a brand just because you always have. With today's technology, there are alternatives to just about anything, and quite often they are less expensive. Look around and be a choosy buyer. Use buyer comparison sites before you go shopping so that you are aware of the best deals and can use this knowledge to bargain with.

Learn how to haggle and don't be uncomfortable about it. Bargaining is a good way of getting a fair deal.

7. Take charge of your home space.

Sell things that you aren't using or don't want. They are just taking up space and not giving you joy. If you can't sell it, consider donating it. Your personal environment will be a lot cleaner for it and other people can benefit from your donation.

Declutter your home and your life. Clean out your garage, have a yard sale, etc. Doing this will surprisingly lighten your load. It is also a good way of reminding yourself that it's easier not to bring things into the house in the first place as you'll only end up having to clean them out!

Look at your energy usage. Change to light bulbs that use less energy, water heating that is less energy-intensive and turn off your appliances when not in use. Simple things that can save you a lot of money in the long run.

8. Take charge of your earnings.

Earn what you deserve. Look at your wages. Find out what the going rate is for what you are doing in your area. See what you can do to get your salary increased.

Increase your brand value. Yes, your brand value. See what you can do to increase your value to yourself and to your employers.

9. Balance your life and your work. Balance is very important to help you deal with day to day problems. When you are off balance with one thing, other problems will quickly follow and it can be all too easy to resort to spending as the answer to not coping with juggling many things in your life. Slow down and do a stocktake on what you need to change about the way you're living.

10. Teach your children about finances. Don't just assume that because they are kids, they shouldn't have to think about how to budget and how to delay desires for instant gratification. The bad habits they start now will stay with them; equally, teaching them good habits will be life-lasting too.

Tips.

If you have a lot of debt from credit cards, personal loans, payday or car title loans or medical bills, you may want to consult an attorney about bankruptcy.

Visit a free credit counselor in your area for financial and budgetary advice and counseling. These can be especially helpful if you feel you are in over your head.

Avoid blurring wants and needs. It is important to focus on the things you need first and be very conscious about fulfilling your wants.

AnnualCreditReport.com provides consumers with the secure means to request and obtain a free credit report once every 12 months from each of the three nationwide consumer credit reporting companies in accordance with the Fair and Accurate Credit Transactions Act (FACT Act). AnnualCreditReport.com offers consumers a fast and convenient way to request, view and print their credit reports in a secure Internet environment. They also provide options to request reports by telephone and by mail.

Warnings.

Stay away from companies that offer to repair your credit report or score. Many times these agencies will contest all the debts shown on your report. This process works temporarily, as creditors are required to verify debt within 30 days or it is removed from your report. At this point you will appear to have a "clean" record and the agency may collect a hefty fee from you. When the creditors do get around to verifying your debt, it will simply be added to your report again.

None of the advertised credit offers have accurate reporting from the credit bureaus.

There are many companies out there who will offer "free" credit services like reports and score monitoring to first-time customers. Be advised that while you may receive an initial report for free, you may be required to sign up for some kind of paid membership after your trial period is over. These reports are not directly from the credit bureaus, and they are not always accurate.

Credit bureaus do not maintain reporting agencies. There is only one agency maintained, an which deals directly with the bureaus. This site deals with both the FTC and the credit bureaus.

January 22, 2020

how to adopt habits to improve your personal finances

How to Adopt Habits to Improve Your Personal Finances.

To be comfortable enough to have the peace of mind to work on our various projects, we need to have money. Because when money is lacking it becomes a major problem that paralyzes us. To build a financially stable life, it is not enough to simply make more money. You must also build healthier financial habits by knowing how to manage spending and avoid pitfalls.

Method 1 Maximizing your Saving.

1. Automatically save a certain percentage of your income. Automate your payments to send 15% of your income each month into your savings account from your checking account. Set aside that money to save and live with the amount you have left. This way you save more easily and more regularly.

2. Adjust your spending to your savings and not vice versa. If you say you are going to put aside what you have left after spending what is necessary in a given month, you might never make it. Put aside money to save first, and calculate your spendings based on what you have left.

3. Set concrete goals for saving. For example, if you want to save € 50 per month, divide by 30 to get how much you need to save per day (€ 1.66). That's about the price of a cup of coffee - so have coffee at home rather than buying it. It is much easier to save € 1.66 per day than to save € 50 per month. Set a goal and deliberately adjust your spending to achieve it.

4. Invest in your future. The growth of your investments over time will be amazing if you start in your twenties. Create a pension account or a 401k, or pick another method of saving for your retirement. Do a little research to find out what will work best for you, but whatever you do, start now!

5. Don't be afraid to invest in yourself. A good education, though expensive, will help you find a better job. Investing in your knowledge and skills will be the best return you can get for your future. Remember to distinguish between investment and expenditure.

6. Eliminate existing debt and avoid future debt. Make paying off your debt a priority. If you're not careful, loans and credits can put you into a vicious cycle from which it can be very hard to escape. It is better to make efforts to avoid finding yourself in overwhelming debt in the first place.

Method 2 Minimizing your Spending.

1. Don't spend impulsively. It's tempting to fall into impulsive spending when you eat out or shop, especially online. This can be a major leak in your finances and the surest way to fall into a terrible financial abyss. Be aware of your spending impulses and try not to spend unless you absolutely have to.

2. Think before you buy. When you want to buy something, wait a few days or a week. If after that time, you still want to make that purchase, go ahead and buy it. However, if you find you no longer want or need it, you have avoided an unnecessary expense.

3. Evaluate your spending habits and cut out unnecessary spending. For 30 days, keep track of how you spend your money. Then consider each expense and decide whether it's absolutely necessary. Remove the unnecessary expenses to significantly cut down on your total spending.

4. Look for sales and other deals when shopping. Shopping for seasonal foods can be significantly cheaper than buying out-of-season fruits and vegetables. Off-brand items at supermarkets are significantly cheaper but of the same quality as their brand-name counterparts.

5. Make lists when you go shopping. Buy only from your list. This way you will buy items you need, rather than indulging in momentary whims. Supermarkets and other stores will try to make you spend impulsively, so sticking to your list can help you avoid this.

6. Don't let yourself put off changing your financial habits. If you say you'll start next month, chances are you'll find a reason to put it off again. The cycle of procrastination can be dangerous, so don't let yourself fall into it at all.

Tips.

The principle of enrichment is to earn more than we spend. So if you ever learn to control your spending, you can adjust whenever your income increase.

Be open to adapting your spending and your lifestyle as your income changes.

January 26, 2020

How to Adopt Habits to Improve Your Personal Finances

How to Adopt Habits to Improve Your Personal Finances.

To be comfortable enough to have the peace of mind to work on our various projects, we need to have money. Because when money is lacking it becomes a major problem that paralyzes us. To build a financially stable life, it is not enough to simply make more money. You must also build healthier financial habits by knowing how to manage spending and avoid pitfalls.

Method 1 Maximizing your Saving.

1. Automatically save a certain percentage of your income. Automate your payments to send 15% of your income each month into your savings account from your checking account. Set aside that money to save and live with the amount you have left. This way you save more easily and more regularly.

2. Adjust your spending to your savings and not vice versa. If you say you are going to put aside what you have left after spending what is necessary in a given month, you might never make it. Put aside money to save first, and calculate your spendings based on what you have left.

3. Set concrete goals for saving. For example, if you want to save € 50 per month, divide by 30 to get how much you need to save per day (€ 1.66). That's about the price of a cup of coffee - so have coffee at home rather than buying it. It is much easier to save € 1.66 per day than to save € 50 per month. Set a goal and deliberately adjust your spending to achieve it.

4. Invest in your future. The growth of your investments over time will be amazing if you start in your twenties. Create a pension account or a 401k, or pick another method of saving for your retirement. Do a little research to find out what will work best for you, but whatever you do, start now!

5. Don't be afraid to invest in yourself. A good education, though expensive, will help you find a better job. Investing in your knowledge and skills will be the best return you can get for your future. Remember to distinguish between investment and expenditure.

6. Eliminate existing debt and avoid future debt. Make paying off your debt a priority. If you're not careful, loans and credits can put you into a vicious cycle from which it can be very hard to escape. It is better to make efforts to avoid finding yourself in overwhelming debt in the first place.

Method 2 Minimizing your Spending.

1. Don't spend impulsively. It's tempting to fall into impulsive spending when you eat out or shop, especially online. This can be a major leak in your finances and the surest way to fall into a terrible financial abyss. Be aware of your spending impulses and try not to spend unless you absolutely have to.

2. Think before you buy. When you want to buy something, wait a few days or a week. If after that time, you still want to make that purchase, go ahead and buy it. However, if you find you no longer want or need it, you have avoided an unnecessary expense.

3. Evaluate your spending habits and cut out unnecessary spending. For 30 days, keep track of how you spend your money. Then consider each expense and decide whether it's absolutely necessary. Remove the unnecessary expenses to significantly cut down on your total spending.

4. Look for sales and other deals when shopping. Shopping for seasonal foods can be significantly cheaper than buying out-of-season fruits and vegetables. Off-brand items at supermarkets are significantly cheaper but of the same quality as their brand-name counterparts.

5. Make lists when you go shopping. Buy only from your list. This way you will buy items you need, rather than indulging in momentary whims. Supermarkets and other stores will try to make you spend impulsively, so sticking to your list can help you avoid this.

6. Don't let yourself put off changing your financial habits. If you say you'll start next month, chances are you'll find a reason to put it off again. The cycle of procrastination can be dangerous, so don't let yourself fall into it at all.

Tips.

The principle of enrichment is to earn more than we spend. So if you ever learn to control your spending, you can adjust whenever your income increase.

Be open to adapting your spending and your lifestyle as your income changes.

January 27, 2020

How did Warren Buffett get started in business?

How did Warren Buffett get started in business?

By BRENT RADCLIFFE.
Warren Buffett may have been born with business in his blood. He purchased his first stock when he was 11 years old and worked in his family’s grocery store in Omaha.
His father, Howard Buffett, owned a small brokerage, and Warren would spend his days watching what investors were doing and listening to what they said. As a teenager, he took odd jobs, from washing cars to delivering newspapers, using his savings to purchase several pinball machines that he placed in local businesses.

His entrepreneurial successes as a youth did not immediately translate into a desire to attend college. His father pressed him to continue his education, with Buffett reluctantly agreeing to attend the University of Pennsylvania. He then transferred to the University of Nebraska, where he graduated with a degree in business in three years.

After being rejected by the Harvard Business School, he enrolled in graduate studies at Columbia Business School. While there, he studied under Benjamin Graham – who became a lifelong friend – and David Dodd, both well-known securities analysts. It was through Graham's class in securities analysis that Buffett learned the fundamentals of value investing. He once stated in an interview that Graham's book, The Intelligent Investor, had changed his life and set him on the path of professional analysis to the investment markets. Along with Security Analysis, co-written by Graham and Dodd it provided him the proper intellectual framework and a road map for investing.

Benjamin Graham and The Intelligent Investor.
Graham is often called the "Dean of Wall Street" and the father of value investing, as one of the most important early proponents of financial security analysis. He championed the idea that the investor should look at the market as though it were an actual entity and potential business partner – Graham called this entity "Mr. Market" – that sometimes asks for too much or too little money to be bought out.

It would be difficult to summarize all of Graham's theories in full. At its core, value investing is about identifying stocks that have been undervalued by the majority of stock market participants. He believed that stock prices were frequently wrong due to irrational and excessive price fluctuations (both upside and downside). Intelligent investors, said Graham, need to be firm in their principles and not follow the crowd.
Graham wrote The Intelligent Investor in 1949 as a guide for the common investor. The book championed the idea of buying low-risk securities in a highly diversified, mathematical way. Graham favored fundamental analysis, capitalizing on the difference between a stock's purchase price and its intrinsic value.

Entering the Investment Field.
Before working for Benjamin Graham, Warren had been an investment salesman – a job that he liked doing, except when the stocks he suggested dropped in value and lost money for his clients. To minimize the potential of having irate clients, Warren started a partnership with his close friends and family. The partnership had unique restrictions attached to it. Warren himself would invest only $100 and, through re-invested management fees, would grow his stake in the partnership. Warren would take half of the partnership’s gains over 4% and would repay the partnership a quarter of any loss incurred. Furthermore, money could only be added or withdrawn from the partnership on December 31st, and partners would have no input about the investments in the partnership.

By 1959, Warren had opened a total of seven partnerships and had a 9.5% stake in more than a million dollars of partnership assets. Three years later by the time he was 30, Warren was a millionaire and merged all of his partnerships into a single entity.
It was at this point that Buffett’s sights turned to directly investing in businesses. He made a $1 million investment in a windmill manufacturing company, and the next year in a bottling company. Buffett used the value-investing techniques he learned in school, as well as his knack for understanding the general business environment, to find bargains on the stock market.

Buying Berkshire Hathaway.
In 1962, Warren saw an opportunity to invest in a New England textile company called Berkshire Hathaway and bought some of its stock. Warren began to aggressively buy shares after a dispute with its management convinced him that the company needed a change in leadership..  Ironically, the purchase of Berkshire Hathaway is one of Warren’s major regrets.
Understanding the beauty of owning insurance companies – clients pay premiums today to possibly receive payments decades later – Warren used Berkshire Hathaway as a holding company to buy National Indemnity Company (the first of many insurance companies he would buy) and used its substantial cash flow to finance further acquisitions.

As a value investor, Warren is a sort of jack-of-all-trades when it comes to industry knowledge. Berkshire Hathaway is a great example. Buffett saw a company that was cheap and bought it, regardless of the fact that he wasn’t an expert in textile manufacturing. Gradually, Buffett shifted Berkshire’s focus away from its traditional endeavors, instead using it as a holding company to invest in other businesses. Over the decades, Warren has bought, held and sold companies in a variety of different industries.

Some of Berkshire Hathaway’s most well-known subsidiaries include, but are not limited to, GEICO (yes, that little Gecko belongs to Warren Buffett), Dairy Queen, NetJets, Benjamin Moore & Co., and Fruit of the Loom.  Again, these are only a handful of companies of which Berkshire Hathaway has a majority share.
The company also has interests in many other companies, including American Express Co. (AXP), Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST), DirectTV (DTV), General Electric Co. (GE), General Motors Co. (GM), Coca-Cola Co. (KO), International Business Machines Corp. (IBM), Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), Proctor & Gamble Co. (PG) and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC).

Berkshire Woes and Rewards.
Business for Buffett hasn’t always been rosy, though. In 1975, Buffett and his business partner, Charlie Munger, were investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for fraud. The two maintained that they had done nothing wrong and that the purchase of Wesco Financial Corporation only looked suspicious because of their complex system of businesses.
Further trouble came with a large investment in Salomon Inc. In 1991, news broke of a trader breaking Treasury bidding rules on multiple occasions, and only through intense negotiations with the Treasury did Buffett manage to stave off a ban on buying Treasury notes and subsequent bankruptcy for the firm.
In more recent years, Buffett has acted as a financier and facilitator of major transactions. During the Great Recession, Warren invested and lent money to companies that were facing financial disaster. Roughly 10 years later, the effects of these transactions are surfacing and they’re enormous.

A loan to Mars Inc. resulted in a $680 million profit.
Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), of which Berkshire Hathaway bought almost 120 million shares during the Great Recession, is up more than 7 times from its 2009.
American Express Co. (AXP) is up about five times since Warren’s investment in 200813
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) pays $300 million a year and Berkshire Hathaway has the option to buy additional shares at around $7 each – less than half of what it trades at today.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) paid out $500 million in dividends a year and a $500 million redemption bonus when they repurchased the shares.

Most recently, Warren has partnered up with 3G Capital to merge J.H. Heinz Company and Kraft Foods to create the Kraft Heinz Food Company (KHC). The new company is the third largest food and beverage company in North America and fifth largest in the world, and boasts annual revenues of $28 billion. In 2017, he bought up a significant stake in Pilot Travel Centers, the owners of the Pilot Flying J chain of truck stops. He will become a majority owner over a six-year period.
Modesty and quiet living meant that it took Forbes some time to notice Warren and add him to the list of richest Americans, but when they finally did in 1985, he was already a billionaire. Early investors in Berkshire Hathaway could have bought in as low as $275 a share and by 2014 the stock price had reached $200,000, and was trading just under $300,000 earlier this year.

Comparing Buffett to Graham.
Buffett has referred to himself as "85% Graham." Like his mentor, he has focused on company fundamentals and a "stay the course" approach – an approach that enabled both men to build huge personal nest eggs. Seeking a seeks a strong return on investment (ROI), Buffett typically looks for stocks that are valued accurately and offer robust returns for investors.
However, Buffett invests using a more qualitative and concentrated approach than Graham did. Graham preferred to find undervalued, average companies and diversify his holdings among them; Buffett favors quality businesses that already have reasonable valuations (though their stock should still be worth something more) and the ability for large growth.

Other differences lie in how to set intrinsic value, when to take a chance and how deeply to dive into a company that has potential. Graham relied on quantitative methods to a far greater extent than Buffett, who spends his time actually visiting companies, talking with management and understanding the corporate's particular business model. As a result, Graham was more able to and more comfortable investing in lots of smaller companies than Buffett. Consider a baseball analogy: Graham was concerned about swinging at good pitches and getting on base; Buffett prefers to wait for pitches that allow him to score a home run. Many have credited Buffett with having a natural gift for timing that cannot be replicated, whereas Graham's method is friendlier to the average investor.

Buffett Fun Facts.
Buffett only began making large-scale charitable donations at age 75.
Buffett has made some interesting observations about income taxes. Specifically, he's questioned why his effective capital gains tax rate of around 20% is a lower income tax rate than that of his secretary – or for that matter, than that paid by most middle-class hourly or salaried workers. As one of the two or three richest men in the world, having long ago established a mass of wealth that virtually no amount of future taxation can seriously dent, Mr. Buffett offers his opinion from a state of relative financial security that is pretty much without parallel. Even if, for example, every future dollar Warren Buffett earns is taxed at the rate of 99%, it is doubtful that it would affect his standard of living.

Buffett has described The Intelligent Investor as the best book on investing that he has ever read, with Security Analysis a close second. Other favorite reading matter includes:
Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Philip A. Fisher, which advises potential investors to not only examine a company's financial statements but to evaluate its management. Fisher focuses on investing in innovative companies, and Buffett has long held him in high regard.
The Outsiders by William N. Thorndike profiles eight CEOs and their blueprints for success. Among the profiled is Thomas Murphy, friend to Warren Buffett and director for Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett has praised Murphy, calling him "overall the best business manager I've ever met."
Stress Test by former Secretary of the Treasury, Timothy F. Geithner, chronicles the financial crisis of 2008-9 from a gritty, first-person perspective. Buffett has called it a must-read for managers, a textbook for how to stay level under unimaginable pressure.
Business Adventures: Twelve Classic Tales from the World of Wall Street by John Brooks is a collection of articles published in The New Yorker in the 1960s. Each tackles famous failures in the business world, depicting them as cautionary tales. Buffett lent his copy of it to Bill Gates, who reportedly has yet to return it.

The Bottom Line.
Warren Buffett’s investments haven't always been successful, but they were well-thought-out and followed value principles. By keeping an eye out for new opportunities and sticking to a consistent strategy, Buffett and the textile company he acquired long ago are considered by many to be one of the most successful investing stories of all time. But you don't have to be a genius "to invest successfully over a lifetime," the man himself claims. "What's needed is a sound intellectual framework for making decisions and the ability to keep emotions from corroding that framework."

August 04, 2020

Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More.

Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More.

“In the chronicles of American financial history,” writes David Clark in The Tao of Charlie Munger: A Compilation of Quotes from Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman on Life, Business, and the Pursuit of Wealth, “Charlie Munger will be seen as the proverbial enigma wrapped in a paradox—he is both a mystery and a contradiction at the same time.”

On one hand, Munger received an elite education and it shows: He went to Cal Tech to train as a meteorologist for the Second World War and then attended Harvard Law School and eventually opened his own law firm. That part of his success makes sense.
Yet here’s a man who never took a single course in economics, business, marketing, finance, psychology, or accounting, and managed to become one of the greatest, most admired, and most honorable businessmen of our age. He was noted by essentially all observers for the originality of his thoughts, especially about business and human behavior. You don’t learn that in law school, at Harvard or anywhere else.
Bill Gates said of him: “He is truly the broadest thinker I have ever encountered.” His business partner Warren Buffett put it another way: “He comes equipped for rationality… I would say that to try and typecast Charlie in terms of any other human that I can think of, no one would fit. He’s got his own mold.”
How does such an extreme result happen? How is such an original and unduly capable mind formed? In the case of Munger, it’s clearly a combination of unusual genetics and an unusual approach to learning and life.
While we can’t have his genetics, we can try to steal his approach to rationality. There’s almost no limit to the amount one could learn from studying the Munger mind, so let’s at least start with a rundown of some of his best ideas.


Wisdom and Circles of Competence.
“Knowing what you don’t know is more useful than being brilliant.”
“Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom.”
Identify your circle of competence and use your knowledge, when possible, to stay away from things you don’t understand. There are no points for difficulty at work or in life.  Avoiding stupidity is easier than seeking brilliance.
Of course this principle relates to another of Munger’s sayings: “People are trying to be smart—all I am trying to do is not to be idiotic, but it’s harder than most people think.”
And this reminds me of perhaps my favorite Mungerism of all time, the very quote that sits right beside my desk:
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.”

Divergence.
“Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean.”
Here’s a simple axiom to live by: If you do what everyone else does, you’re going to get the same results that everyone else gets. This means that, taking out luck (good or bad), if you act average, you’re going to be average. If you want to move away from average, you must diverge. You must be different. And if you want to outperform others, you must be different and correct. As Munger would say, “How could it be otherwise?”

Know When to Fold ’Em.
“Life, in part, is like a poker game, wherein you have to learn to quit sometimes when holding a much-loved hand—you must learn to handle mistakes and new facts that change the odds.”
Mistakes are an opportunity to grow. How we handle adversity is up to us. This is how we become personally antifragile.

False Models.
Echoing Einstein, who said that “Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts,” Munger said this about his and Buffett’s shift to acquiring high-quality businesses for Berkshire Hathaway:
“Once we’d gotten over the hurdle of recognizing that a thing could be a bargain based on quantitative measures that would have horrified Graham, we started thinking about better businesses.”

Being Lazy.
“Sit on your ass. You’re paying less to brokers, you’re listening to less nonsense, and if it works, the tax system gives you an extra one, two, or three percentage points per annum.”
Time is a friend to a good business and the enemy of the poor business. It’s also the friend of knowledge and the enemy of the new and novel. As Seneca said, “Time discovers truth.”

Investing Is a Perimutuel System.
“You’re looking for a mispriced gamble,” says Munger. “That’s what investing is. And you have to know enough to know whether the gamble is mispriced. That’s value investing.”  At another time, he added: “You should remember that good ideas are rare— when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet heavily.”
May the odds forever be in your favor. Actually, learning properly is one way you can tilt the odds in your favor.

Focus.
When asked about his success, Munger says, “I succeeded because I have a long attention span.”
Long attention spans allow for a deep understanding of subjects. When combined with deliberate practice, focus allows you to increase your skills and get out of your rut. The Art of Focus is a divergent and correct strategy that can help you identify where the leverage points are and apply your efforts toward them.

Fake Knowledge.
“Smart people aren’t exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence.”
We’re so used to outsourcing our thinking to others that we’ve forgotten what it’s like to really understand something from all perspectives. We’ve forgotten just how much work that takes. The path of least resistance, however, is just a click away. Fake knowledge, which comes from reading headlines and skimming the news, seems harmless, but it’s not. It makes us overconfident. It’s better to remember a simple trick: anything you’re getting easily through Google or Twitter is likely to be widely known and should not be given undue weight.
However, Munger adds, “If people weren’t wrong so often, we wouldn’t be so rich.”

Sit Quietly.
Echoing Pascal, who said some version of “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone,” Munger adds an investing twist: “It’s waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait.”
The ability to be alone with your thoughts and turn ideas over and over, without giving in to Do Something syndrome, affects so many of us. A perfectly reasonable option is to hold your ground and await more information.

Deal With Reality.
“I think that one should recognize reality even when one doesn’t like it; indeed, especially when one doesn’t like it.”
Munger clearly learned from Joseph Tussman’s wisdom. This means facing harsh truths that you might prefer to ignore. It means meeting the world on the world’s terms, not according to how you wish it would be. If this causes temporary pain, so be it. “Your pain,” writes Kahil Gibran in The Prophet, “is the breaking of the shell that encloses your understanding.”

There Is No Free Lunch.
We like quick solutions that don’t require a lot of effort. We’re drawn to the modern equivalent of an old hustler selling an all-curing tonic. However, the world does not work that way. Munger expands:
“There isn’t a single formula. You need to know a lot about business and human nature and the numbers… It is unreasonable to expect that there is a magic system that will do it for you.”
Acquiring knowledge is hard work. It’s reading and adding to your knowledge so it compounds. It’s going deep and developing fluency, something Darwin knew well.

Maximization/Minimization.
“In business we often find that the winning system goes almost ridiculously far in maximizing and or minimizing one or a few variables—like the discount warehouses of Costco.”
When everything is a priority, nothing is a priority. Attempting to maximize competing variables is a recipe for disaster. Picking one variable and relentlessly focusing on it, which is an effective strategy, diverges from the norm. It’s hard to compete with businesses that have correctly identified the right variables to maximize or minimize. When you focus on one variable, you’ll increase the odds that you’re quick and nimble — and can respond to changes in the terrain.

Map and Terrain.
“At Berkshire there has never been a master plan. Anyone who wanted to do it, we fired because it takes on a life of its own and doesn’t cover new reality. We want people taking into account new information.”
Plans are maps that we become attached to. Once we’ve told everyone there is a plan and what that plan is, especially multi-year plans, we’re psychologically more likely to stick to it because coming out and changing it would be admitting we were wrong. This makes it harder for us to change our strategies when we need to, so we’re stacking the odds against ourselves. Detailed five-year plans (that will clearly be wrong) are as disastrous as overly general five-year plans (which can never be wrong).
Scrap the plan, isolate the key variables that you need to maximize and minimize, and follow the agile path blazed by Henry Singleton and followed by Buffett and Munger.

The Keys to Good Government.
There are three keys: honesty, effectiveness, and efficiency. Munger says:
“In a democracy, everyone takes turns. But if you really want a lot of wisdom, it’s better to concentrate decisions and process in one person. It’s no accident that Singapore has a much better record, given where it started, than the United States. There, power was concentrated in an enormously talented person, Lee Kuan Yew, who was the Warren Buffett of Singapore.”
Lee Kuan Yew put it this way: “With few exceptions, democracy has not brought good government to new developing countries. … What Asians value may not necessarily be what Americans or Europeans value. Westerners value the freedoms and liberties of the individual. As an Asian of Chinese cultural background, my values are for a government which is honest, effective, and efficient.”

One Step At a Time.
“Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up. Discharge your duties faithfully and well. Slug it out one inch at a time, day by day. At the end of the day—if you live long enough—most people get what they deserve.”
An incremental approach to life reminds one of the nature of compounding. There will always be someone going faster than you, but you can learn from the Darwinian guide to overachieving your natural IQ. In order for this approach to be effective, you need a long axis of time as well as continuous incremental progress.

Getting Rich.
“The desire to get rich fast is pretty dangerous.”
Getting rich is a function of being happy with what you have, spending less than you make, and time.

Mental Models.
“Know the big ideas in the big disciplines and use them routinely—all of them, not just a few.”
Mental models are the big ideas from multiple disciplines. While most people agree that these are worth knowing, they often think they can identify which models will add the most value, and in so doing they miss something important. There is a reason that the “know-nothing” index fund almost always beats the investors who think they know. Understanding this idea in greater detail will change a lot of things, including how you read. Acquiring the big ideas — without selectivity — is the way to mimic a know-nothing index fund.

Know-it-alls.
“I try to get rid of people who always confidently answer questions about which they don’t have any real knowledge.”
Few things have made as much of a difference in my life as systemically removing (and when that’s not possible, reducing the importance of) people who think they know the answer to everything.

Stoic Resolve.
“There’s no way that you can live an adequate life without many mistakes. In fact, one trick in life is to get so you can handle mistakes. Failure to handle psychological denial is a common way for people to go broke.”
While we all make mistakes, it’s how we respond to failure that defines us.


Thinking.
“We all are learning, modifying, or destroying ideas all the time. Rapid destruction of your ideas when the time is right is one of the most valuable qualities you can acquire. You must force yourself to consider arguments on the other side.”
“It’s bad to have an opinion you’re proud of if you can’t state the arguments for the other side better than your opponents. This is a great mental discipline.”
Thinking is a lot of work. “My first thought,” William Deresiewicz said in one of my favorite speeches, “is never my best thought. My first thought is always someone else’s; it’s always what I’ve already heard about the subject, always the conventional wisdom.”

Choose Your Associates Wisely.
“Oh, it’s just so useful dealing with people you can trust and getting all the others the hell out of your life. It ought to be taught as a catechism. … [W]ise people want to avoid other people who are just total rat poison, and there are a lot of them.”

August 07, 2020

There’s Enough Math in Finance Already. What’s Missing is Imagination

There’s Enough Math in Finance Already. What’s Missing is Imagination.

For some of us, it was Spock. For others, a humiliating performance as a pilgrim in the kindergarten musical.  For me, it was William Blake’s relentless (and beautiful) attacks on Reason. But everyone at some point encounters – and many of us swallow – the dangerous notion that creativity and calculation are irreconcilable enemies.

This perspective lives at the very heart of our school curricula from first grade through graduate school, as our talents are identified and we, complicit in the scheme, label ourselves ‘artistic’ or ‘sporty’ or ‘scientific.’ No doubt there are real, epigenetic differences in the way people think and see the world, but in epigenesis lies the key: Nature gives us talents, but nurture determines how we use them, and how mono or multidimensional our minds become.

Like many quants – the mathematicians whose equations shape high-stakes decision making on Wall Street – Emanuel Derman arrived on Wall Street with little knowledge of economic theory. Unlike many of his colleagues, though, he had a background in theoretical physics, a field in which imagination and mathematics are happy bedfellows. From 1990-2000, Derman led Goldman Sachs’ Quantitative Strategies group, presiding over the rise of mathematical modeling as the engine driving financial betting on Wall Street.

The nearly insurmountable challenge of mathematical modeling in finance, says Derman, author of the forthcoming Models.Behaving.Badly., is that you are trying to predict the future based the behavior of highly erratic variables – i.e. people. To forecast human behavior with some reasonable degree of accuracy, mathematical models need highly imaginative designers with a profound grasp of human psychology – oracles who can foresee shifts in the global financial landscape and predict people’s reactions to them. Such designers are rare indeed, if they exist at all.

Still, like weather forecasts, the best mathematical models can help us to make better decisions, so long as we keep in mind that their predictive power depends upon the creative vision of the people who designed them, and that it is always vulnerable to refutation by developments in the real world. In other words, so long as we control the tools, not the other way around.

What's the Significance?

Faulty financial models, and Wall Street's overreliance on them, certainly played a role in the collapse of 1998, whose ongoing repercussions are manifest in the demonstrations going on right now in New York City and nationwide. And there are other massive, underlying issues – greed, unequal distribution of opportunity – that bear significant responsibility and intense scrutiny, of course. But math is not to blame – it is a tool, like science, that when guided by imagination and human understanding can expand the scope of our vision. It can help us to peer, however dimly, into the future.

Math’s not to blame, but a religious reverence for mathematical objectivity might be. We are susceptible to a modern-day form of idol worship whereby the sophistication of our technology and data-crunching power sometimes dazzles us into forgetting that these are human creations, designed by people, for people. And when they are applied to human problems, we cannot afford to treat them as perfect, alien entities whose wisdom exceeds our own.

As the early Internet pioneer Jaron Lanier points out in his digital-age cautionary manifesto You Are Not a Gadget, “Software expresses ideas about everything from the nature of a musical note to the nature of personhood. Software is also subject to an exceptionally rigid process of “lock-in.”* Therefore, ideas (in the present era, when human affairs are increasingly software-driven) have become more subject to lock-in than in previous eras.”

If digitized ideas are uniquely vulnerable to lock-in, we need to be exceedingly careful and creative in crafting them. For example, the government-driven “school reform movement” that has swept public education nationwide since 2001’s No Child Left Behind Act, seeks to transform learning based on data-collection from standardized tests, themselves a highly imperfect model of learning. In many cases, school systems rely on data from these tests to make hiring and instructional decisions, to a degree entirely unwarranted by the tests’ current level of sophistication. The clarion call of this movement is the demand for “objective” learning. That’s what the tests are supposedly designed to measure. But learners aren’t really objective. Nor is thinking, which is what, in the end, schools are supposed to teach.

Computers, databases, and other models of reality aren’t going anywhere – the technology will continue to become more sophisticated and its role in our lives will continue to deepen. Now, therefore, is the time for us to recognize where machines can meet our needs and where they cannot – and to design them for human use rather than seeking to adapt ourselves to their shortcomings.

*The process whereby an idea or a model becomes the basis for subsequent development, so that its flaws cannot be remedied without dismantling the entire system that is built upon it.

July 11, 2020